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Overall Record: 27-29-18 Week Record: 5-6-4 Been keeping track of plays overall and seems like I can't get a handle on Bundesliga. May need to lessen the plays in that league. Hoping to turn it around here.
6 and 7. Burnley/Everton 1H over 1 (+100), Burnley 1H over 0.5 (+135): Numbers/trends play on Wolfsburg didn't work out unfortunately, but I firmly believe they do hold up in the long run (Wolfsburg did eventually score even w/ a man down). With that said, since giving up 3 to ManU, Everton hasn't given up a goal in 3 straight games. Just think the law of averages always wins out so taking a shot on Burnley to break Everton's streak, especially w/ 1st choice CB Jarrad Branthwaite out. Also, w/ EPL goalscoring at a record high, will gladly take pregame even money odds on a goal to feature in the 1H. |
I3C1H | 9 |
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@Martylee Nice call! Premier League is crazy lol I was staring at the Crystal Palace over 1.5 live at +900 and was like no way smh Something very off w/ City this year what do you think? |
I3C1H | 9 |
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@Martylee Yo Marty. Don't have a true feel for the total but do think there's a goal in the 1H lol. |
I3C1H | 9 |
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5. Chelsea/Sheffield United 1H over 1 (taking live): Sheffield just made the EPL’s first managerial change of the season, but we know what to expect of Sheffield under Chris Wilder given he managed this team from 2016-2021 before he parted w/ the club pretty much sentenced to relegation. In the 4 matches he’s managed against Chelsea, Sheffield scored in all w/ all featuring 3+ goals. Oh and Chelsea got shutout last match, the first since its’ offensive metrics really took off this season. Also wanted to make a comment regarding these 1H total bets since they can tend to push a lot. Sometimes I’ll take the live on the over 0.75 or 0.5 based on in-game stats so that I can at least get something out of a 1 goal half. Just something to consider. And there’s the 1H goal by Frosinone smh.
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I3C1H | 9 |
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3. and 4. Darmstadt/Wolfsburg 1H over (-125), Wolfsburg 1H over 0.5 (-120): Wolfsburg hasn’t found the net in 225 minutes; Darmstadt didn’t tally in its’ last 2 home games after getting on the board in the 1H of its’ first 5 home matches, all of which featured 2+ goals and 4/5 featuring both teams scoring. Wolfsburg has enough quality up front to halt its’ scoring drought, especially against the team leading the league in GA.
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I3C1H | 9 |
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Overall Record: 26-26-17
Week Record: 4-3-3 1. Celta Vigo/Granada 1H over 1 (-120): I mentioned before I look for spots such as fixtures involving teams that haven’t scored/conceded in multiple matches. Another spot I like? Fixtures that follow goalless games, especially if they involve teams that aren’t severely offensively challenged and/or feature leaky defenses. Celta Vigo coming off a goalless draw at home against a Granada side that gives up 2+ goals/match fits the bill. By the way, Granada has been down at halftime in 7 out of its’ 8 road matches so far. The only time it wasn’t was against Las Palmas. Sure, Celta Vigo’s position in the standings is far worse than Las Palmas, but it has better quality up front in Aspas and Larsen. The last time Granada faced a fellow relegation-battling side on the road? It was down 3-0 at halftime to Almeria. 2. Lecce/Frosinone 1H over 1 (even): Been paying attention to matches involving Frosinone as they seem to usually involve goals. Out of the teams in the bottom half of the table, it only trails Sassuolo in GF/GA w/ 44 total, which actually is good for a tie w/ the likes of both Milan clubs and one behind Roma (that’s surprising). Now it’s coming of a goalless draw against Torino against a team it hasn’t scored against in 3 consecutive fixtures. Really liking Frosinone's 1H over 0.5 at +142 as I expect btts here but going to lay off. For now. Last time Frosinone had a goalless draw, it followed that up w/ a 4-2 shootout that featured 3 goals in the 1H. Oh and Lecce has had 2 consecutive 0-0 scorelines at halftime. Just a lot to like here at even $.
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I3C1H | 9 |
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Smh Ajax and Sparta scored too fast. Been that kind of day so far. Was able to lock these 2 in. 4. West Ham/Freiburg 1H over 1 (-116) 5. Sporting CP/Strum Graz 1H over 1 (-111) Good luck! |
I3C1H | 3 |
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Overall Record: 25-26-16 Week Record: 3-3-2 Not a good start. Liking noon Europa games over Conference League but nothing worth taking pregame. Will await live plays but looking at Ajax/AEK, Aris/Sparta, West Ham/Freiburg 1H overs. Hopefully be able to post. Good luck! |
I3C1H | 3 |
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Overall Record: 25-24-15 Week Record: 3-1-1
Three games w/ implications as continuing in Europe = $$$. And expecting the teams still w/ a shot at grabbing first (i.e., Roma, Rennais/Villareal) will go for it to avoid playing in the Round of 32. Here we go. 1. LASK/Toulouse 1H over 1 (-110): LASK need a win coupled w/ a USG loss to at make it into the Conference League. LASK has performed much better in this competition at home, netting against both Liverpool and USG in the 1H. 2. Ferencváros/Fiorentina 1H over 1 (+124): Hungarians can overtake Fiorentina for 1 here w/ a win. Last game featured almost 40 shots between the 2. Like the plus money value here. 3. Legia Warszawa/AZ Alkmaar 1H over 1 (+110): Legia plays well at home (see first matchday against Aston Villa). AZ needs a win, and Legia is mathematically in it to go to the top, although it’s going to have to overturn a huge GD. Factors seem to add up to a goal minimum in the 1H. Also liking 1H goals in Fenerbahce/FC Spartak Trnava, Roma/Sheriff, and Rennes/Villareal but will wait for better odds. Good luck! |
I3C1H | 3 |
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Busy w/ work but...
5. Newcastle/AC Milan total bookings over 5.5 (+119): Not sure if this is still available but, if not, would wait to see if it can be grabbed somewhat similar. If Magic Mike is getting carded, this second half is going to explode w/ cards. |
I3C1H | 4 |
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Overall Record: 22-24-15
Week Record: 0-1-1
Really lucky to be able to turn the Red Star disappointment in the 1H into a pretty sizeable gain taking them to score over 1.5 live but wasn't able to post. Quickly...
3. Porto/Shakhtar Donetsk 1H over 1 (-120): Love finding spots where a team hasn't scored/conceded in multiple straight games. Here we have Shakhtar not having conceded 4 games in a row on the road against a team that seems to be finding its' offensive rhythm the last few games w/ knockout implications on the line. Don't think we see a barn buster like the reverse leg but do think we see a goal minimum.
4. AC Milan over 1.5 (+170): I get Newcastle is at home but it's down to its' backup midfielders and defenders and the recent results have shown. Meanwhile AC features its' first choice attacking options while seeming to be finally clicking after a slow start to the season. The over/under is set at 2.75 at -120 but AC Milan is getting +170 for 2 goals? I don't get it. Taking a bite here as this can get open VERY quickly.
Also will be looking to take the over on bookings in the following games: Newcastle/AC Milan, Dortmund/PSG, Atletico Madrid/Lazio. Would recommend monitoring what's going on in the first 2 games before jumping in.
Sorry about the late post. Hopefully live options are available. Good luck!
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I3C1H | 4 |
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Overall Record: 22-23-14
Been almost a week since last post. Games have been all over the place recently.
1 and 2. Crvena Zvezda/Manchester City 1H over 1 (live bet), Crvena Zvezda 1H over 0.5 (+180): Motivation. That's the key word for this round of matches. Do teams have something to play for at this point? Crvena Zevezda is already out of Europe altogether and City locked up the top spot of group so why take action here? Because Crvena Zvezda is a proud team and who wouldn't want to say they took it to the current champions of Europe, especially when this is the last European game of the season for the home team. And do you think City, in the middle of a domestic league funk that's rarely, if ever, been seen in Pep's tenure, wants to travel to Serbia in the middle of winter for a meaningless game? Probably not, but Pep may want to use this game to work out issues the team currently has. Regardless, think it's a good spot to take a shot on the team from Belgrade. City's defense hasn't exactly been formidable, and playing in Serbia isn't a gimme for top teams (just ask Liverpool when they lost 2-0 in Belgrade in its' last Champions League winning season). And books seem to agree, as odds for Red Star to score was sitting at -167 as of last night. Will be interesting to see the lineup Pep rolls out.
Be back later for noon plays. Definitely see potential in the bookings market for a few of these upcoming games.
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I3C1H | 4 |
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Overall Record: 22-23-14 |
I3C1H | 1 |
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Overall Record: 22-23-14 |
I3C1H | 4 |
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4 and 5. Anthony Gordon to have 1+ shot on goal (-114), 2+ shot on goal (+400): Think the 1+ shot on goal is a lock as Gordon will want to score today. Love taking players to score against their former teams, especially in circumstances involving negative emotions. Don't know though if he'll actually get on the scoresheet so decreasing risk here since it most likely will be low-scoring. |
I3C1H | 5 |
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@Martylee I completely agree. Think I'll be on the over for bookings instead. |
I3C1H | 5 |
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Been going back and forth all morning on this Everton/Newcastle game. Don't know why my gut feels like there will be goals but think the over on total bookings is a much better play, especially as Anthony Gordon probably ruffled some feathers when he pushed his way out last season. Last season, he came on as a late sub when the two teams met in a 4-1 drubbing by Newcastle so he didn't have time to do much, but now as an integral part of Howe's side, think there will be emotional fireworks involved. He's already been booked 7 times this season, including 6 times in the EPL although 4 of them were in the first 5 matches. Probably will take the over on bookings at plus money, Gordon to get booked, and maybe even a small runner on him to score and get a brace. Still thinking things through... 2. Tottenham/West Ham 1H over 1 (will take live): A bit hesitant after yesterday's debacle in the Aston Villa/City game but Moyes traditionally struggles against the Big 6 and Ange Postecoglou. That's enough of a reason for me to bite.
3. Feyenoord/Volendam 1H over 1 (will take live): After two duds against quality competition, pretty sure Feyenoord will be eager to get back into the win column quickly. Pregame 1H over is set at 2 at -110 so not sure how likely I'll be able to get this in but we'll see.
After looking at numbers, going to stay off the total for the 1H in the Everton/Newcastle game. Thinking tight and cagey here.
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I3C1H | 5 |
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Overall Record: 21-22-12
Week Record: 8-7-3 Was a bit disappointed w/ the results yesterday. For whatever reason, had a bias that goals were going to be at a premium in the midweek EPL games but the record goalscoring rate continues. Ironic that the one game expected to have fireworks ended up being the one w/ the least number of goals. Oh well. 1. PSV/Heerenveen 1H over 1 (will take live): 1+ 1H goals in games featuring PSV in all competitions this season. 7 straight matches w/ 1+ 1H goals involving these two teams. And Heerenveen has scored 8 straight since it last conceded against Vitesse in the 1H 3 matches ago. It's due to give up a goal. There's value in PSV's 1H over 1.5 but think it's a gamble I'm ok holding off for now. Be back in a bit w/ later plays. |
I3C1H | 5 |
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@Martylee Ah nice! Chalk up another win! The result in the City game wasn't as nearly as surprising as the statistics in the game. 2 shots??? 2?! All game?! Something looks off about this team whether it's a hangover from last campaign, the loss of on-field leaders, or a combination of those and other factors. Will be interesting to see how this unfolds...
8 and 9 and 10. Vasco de Gama/Bragantino 1H over 1 (even), Internacional/Botafogo 1H over 1 (even), Sao Paulo/Flamengo 1H over 1 (+112): Last game of the season w/ results determining relegation, spots in Libertadores/Sudamericana, and possibly even the title. Thinking there should be a level of urgency/desperation in these games. May even jump on Fluminense/Gremio live. |
I3C1H | 22 |
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@Martylee Nice call on the Palace under btw! |
I3C1H | 22 |
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