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New Mexico Bowl Prediction 2013 | Washington St vs. Colorado St
Don't miss out on our bowl package for only $99 as we wrap up another profitable college season. I'm a 2x NCAAF Season champion 09 & 2011 at Sportscapping.com against some of the best and look to have a great run in the bowl champions ******FREE PICK - TAKE WASH ST -4 1.1* FREE PLAY ******* Most teams out of the Pac 12 would not be excited to be going to this bowl game, but Washington State has not been in a while and has to be pumped. Washington State is a bit under rated here as they have had arguably the toughest schedule playing 5 teams that finished in the top 25 in BCS including 4 in the top 14 which included Auburn who they had on the ropes to open the season. Washington State is going to make no secret about their goal which is passing the ball. Colorado State is just dreadful at stopping it ranked 99th in opp QB rating, 97th in completion % defense and 100th in yards/attempt. Colorado State's only shot is to force turnovers which they didn't do a good job of this year. On the flip side Colorado State on paper has just as much of an advantage with Kapri Bibbs rushing for 28 TD's and a 6.19 ypc going up against Washington State's 84th ranked defense. However, Colorado State only faced two top 75 teams lost both. The other 9 were ranked on average 105th vs. the run. Could it get any easier for a rushing offense? Washington State is also better facing 6 in the top 50 in rushing offense. With some time to prepare they should be able to stop the run with their aggressive front 7. Washington State also forces a ton of turnovers 27 on the season. get more sports picks. |
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In case you'd rather just see my logic behind plays. I'll give you my 3.3* college game for Thanksgiving Night. If you like what you read feel free to take advantage of our weekend promo that allows you to get 7 days free when you purchase one of my 5.5* MAX POD's which by the way are 58% ATS winners combined in my career! Forget all the other bull shit trends and guarantees that everyone else sells. I'm not here to market or feed you a load of crap. I work hard to give you long term winners, and all of my plays are documented. Heck you can EXPORT them to an excel sheet right on my website. Texas -4 3.3* play (By Freddy Wills) 2x NCAAF Champ!
If you are looking for other top handicappers simply chekc out - Handicapper Leaderboard
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This is a 4 play package and has to be the most exciting two play package of the year with all the BCS implications in play with Missouri in the SEC on the road and Baylor on the road at Oklahoma State. My package comes with two spread plays as well as a total and a ML bonus backed by a full in depth analysis! Buying is easy! All you have to do is login using your FACEBOOK or TWITTER account and purchase below! Only $11.95 - BUY NOW You Will Get: Missouri vs Ole Miss Betting Prediction AND Baylor vs Oklahoma State Betting Prediction Also available this week are $75 packages which give you access to the handicapper of your choice for an entire month for ALL SPORTS! Purchase from discount packages from both Payne Sports or Freddy Wills |
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www.sportsbetcapping.com/freddywills
5* NCAAF POD - Wednesday 11-4 ATS on NCAAF POD's This Year! Preview: 5* NCAAF POD - Wednesday 11-4 ATS on NCAAF POD's This Year!Don't miss out on my NCAAF POD as we have gone on quite the run on our NCAAF picks
especially during mid week games. We finished off a 7-4 ATS week last
week and 2-1 on our NCAAF top plays where we have earned an 11-4 ATS record this year
and +$133,000 in our career for $1,000 players. This play comes backed
with a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence.
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Payne Sports
has been on a roll all season profiting every weekend overall in
football and head into this weekend off a 6-0 ATS week last week.
Already off to a fast start after nailing Lafayette on Tuesday to make
it seven straight heading toward the weekend. Do not forget to check out
NFL as we are currently number 2 overall at CappersMonitorsPicks and are 6-0-1 on our NFL 5.5 plays this year. Lets get to our free 4.4 unit early morning shocker going at high noon on Saturday.
Last week our 4.95 ATS EARLY MORNING SHOCKER was Missouri as they took Georgia in Athens down outright and this week we are taking West Virginia +6 over Texas Tech Red Raiders. Texas Tech comes in boasting a 6-0 record and one of the surprises of this football season at number 15 in the rankings. The are number six in total offense at almost 550 yards a game and number three in their passing attack at over 400 yards a game. If we look at this closer at this game, Tech has only faced one defense in their six wins and that was TCU, where TCU dominated the game, but Tech was able to squeak that win out. West Virginia comes in 3-3 record, but is 3-0 at home with an impressive massive dog victory over Okie St. They come off a bye after getting utterly embarrassed against Baylor and now here comes the 15 team in the country. West Virginia had a top 40 defense, before Baylor game and believe they are good enough despite the one game. This could be the game that decides whether they go bowling this season or not, so I look for West Virginia to have extra motivation and be prepared off the bye week. I give Kliff Kingsbury credit for what he has done in such a short time, but I believe his luck runs out here in Morgantown with a possible back up quarterback going. Throw in the fact the line opened up at 8 with the public pounding Texas Tech, but reverse line movement driving it down to 6. This tells me Vegas has some wiggle room to suck more Tech backers in and make this a nice payday for the home dog dying for the win, so do not be shocked to see West Virginia shock the Red Raiders Saturday in Morgantown. Takes West Virginia +6 4.4 Unit Play |
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This clearly looks like the Big Ten Championship preview in the making.
It was a great game last year as Ohio State roared back to win by a TD
in over time, but it did not matter much since Ohio State was not
eligible and now wouldn't it be nice if Wisconsin could get revenge now
that Ohio State is eligible and thinks they already have a ticket to the
big game.
The Offenses: Both teams rely on the running game and will run the ball more than 60% of the time, but Wisconsin does it better behind their three headed rushing attack of Melvin Gordon, James White, and Corey Clement. Gordon is quickly becoming a household name as he has power and speed and is averaging 11.77 ypc. Ohio State has done it too, but both of these teams will be facing the best defenses on the other side of the ball. However, Wisconsin once again has the better front seven and is more capable of stopping the run. Braxton Miller will return and is clearly better than Joel Stave, but Miller has not played much this year due to injury and Ohio State's running game got stuffed last year against Wisconsin. Stave has actually also gotten better hooking up with WR Jarred Abbrederis who is an under rated receiver and easily will be playing at the next level (think better than Eric Decker). The Defenses: Before Brett Bielema left Wisconsin he was touting this defense as the best he has had. Led by senior Chris Borland at line backer they are top in the nation allowing less than 4 yards per play. Ohio State is ranked 9th in the nation vs. the run and it appears they will be able to give Wisconsin some troubles. However, they have played Florida A&M, California ranked 101st in rushing ypc, San Diego State 119th, and Buffalo 121st and now they face Wisconsin which is ranked #1. It's a lot to ask your defense to do and the uncertainty with Miller returning leads me to believe that the Wisconsin defense will have a better shot at shutting down Ohio State than the other way around. Take Wisconsin +7 3.3* Free Play I love the Badgers here going on the road at night to have a chance to upset Ohio State. All the pressure is on Ohio State as they are supposed to be the team going undefeated and now a confident Wisconsin team that already got screwed over at Arizona State on the last second mistake by the refs. They have a huge chip on their shoulder especially considering how they lost the last two years to Ohio State. The front 7 was a huge question mark for Ohio State coming into the season and we are about to see why. Freddy Wills is 9-2 ATS in his last 11 NCAAF picks alone and is a 2x college football champion on Sportscapping.com visit him on his own website Sportsbetcapping.com for his lowest prices. |
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Utah State wants that signature win over a BCS team really bad and they
keep getting closer each and every year. In 2009 they lost by 8 Texas
A&M, in 2010 it was just 7 to Oklahoma, 2011 just 4 points to
Auburn, and by 2 at Wisconsin in 2012. So can this finally be it for
Utah State?
When USC Has The Ball: USC finally put some offense out there last week against a decent defense in Boston College, but BC was awful on defense last year and had to travel across the country so how much stock can you really put in their 35 point efforts? At the end of the day there are more questions than answers for USC's offense that seems to have some depth issues at WR and their offensive line has had some major issues. Their real strength is running the ball, but at some point they are going to have to pass to win this game, because Utah State is capable of shutting down a running game. Utah State's front 7 is led by their linebacker strength led by Kyler Fackrell and Jake Doughtry which should be able to get off the field on third down. Utah State's defense is ranked 21st in third down conversion defense allowing 29%. When Utah State Has The Ball: They will have the best player on the field in QB Chuckie Keeton who also has help at RB with Joe Hill and Joey De Martino which gives this rushing offense some nice balance. I think there is value here with USC's defense getting a ton of praise for really no reason. They luooked stout against BC, Washington State and Hawaii, but all three of those teams are predictable and one dimensional. Washington State is 2nd in passing play% throwing 70% of the time, Hawaii is 18th, and Boston College is 109th passing just 36% of the time. Utah State is a perfect balance and can do both behind a veteran offensive line that is arguably one of the best in football with a combined 125 starts. They will pass the ball 49% of the time and run 51% of the time. There has been a lot of media hype calling USC's defense great and I think it's about to get a bit of a shock when they face a hurry up offense with a dual threat QB. Utah State also has life on 3rd down ranking 4th in conversions. The three previous opponents that USC has faced all have been terrible with conversion percentages of 37.5, 29.17, and 17. The Pick: Utah State +7 -115 2.5* FREE PLAY If you can get the TD spread available at many books grab it. Despite going on the road this Utah State team is for real and USC is in shambles hidden behind last week's brief positive moment against a BC team that had to travel from the East coast to play. |
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College football is here and that means college football picks on Thursday! We have three NCAAF Picks
you can access on my page for tomorrow's games and one is free! Along
with the free college play we are also giving you a free MLB pick below
based on Thursday's hot and col starters.
Early Bird College Football Packages NOW! 2X National Handicapper Champion! Tigers -180 2** FREE PLAY Max Scherzer is 19-1 and he's not slowing down posting a 1.80 ERA over his last three combined starts. He gets a day start to go for win #20 and it is an important one for the Tigers after losing 3 straight to the A's. Scherzer has a 1.56 ERA in August and a 2.97 ERA over his previous 3 years in August and should be primed to slow down the A's offense. He's got much better numbers than Bartolo Colon who peaked and has struggled down the stretch. Scherzer has elite stuff a A's are ranked 16th and 28th against his two best pitches which are the fastball/slider combination. Bartolo Colon has not pitched since August 13th and he's got a 7.82 ERA over his last three starts. He's really cooled off and that's what happens when all you do is throw fastballs. His velocity has also slowly declined throughout this season which is huge when you throw 85% of your pitches as fastballs. His true ERA relies in his xFIP which is 4.14. He rarely gets people out himself with just 4.84 K/9 and the Tigers should take advantage as they have a .893 OPS against him in 167 AB including Miguel Cabrera who is 6-13. He also has to go up against Scherzer who the Tigers always seem to hit for and are 41-14 in his last 55 starts. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Yovani Gallardo (3-0, 17 IP, 1.29 WHIP, 2.65 ERA) Jon Lestter (2-1, 22 IP, 1.05 WHIP, 1.23 ERA) Ubaldo Jimenez (1-2, 18 IP, 1.22 WHIP, 2.50 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Bartolo Colon(0-3, 12.2 IP, 2.21 WHIP, 7.82 ERA) Bruce Chen (0-3, 16 IP, 1.62 WHIP, 7.31 ERA) Carlos Torres (1-2, 14 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 6.43 ERA) Jake Odorizzi (1-2, 14.2 IP, 1.36 WHIP, 6.14 ERA) Jordan Lyles (2-1, 19 IP, 1.58 WHIP, 6.16 ERA) Note: Today's Free pick along with all of our sports picks will be backed by our third party independent sports monitor. Also check out our NCAAF picks and college football preview articles as we have already posted the Big Ten College Football Preview and Odds |
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Braves -140 2* FREE PLAY
Alex Wood has posted some strong numbers thus far this season and he has even stronger numbers of late with a 0.98 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over his last three starts combined. He'll face the Cleveland Indians from the American League who have hit lefties well, but come into this game with a .224 average and 2.78 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 combined. I also love to fade an American League team that relies on their hitting in National League park against a pitcher they haven't faced before. You are likely to get a bargain on the odds and the fact that the Indians lose a hitter is a huge loss for their offense that is already starting to sputter. When you look at their 7 games they have played on the road without a DH this is evident as they have scored 0, 2, 4, 2, 2, 2 and 10 runs. In only one game did they have a huge game. The Braves throw a solid lefty out there and their bullpen is rested after a day off where they are actually 37-16 in their last 53 games. The Indians are 16-37 in their last 53 inter league games and throw a quality RHP of their own out there but... Danny Salazar is raw and the Braves are 42-14 in their last 56 home games vs. RH starter. Even without Uggla and Heyward they will be just fine as the two have been known to struggle any way and the Braves keep winning. Salazar has impressive stuff, but his 25% HR/FB ratio is alarming and that's where the Braves should be able to get the win because their record when hitting a HR is excellent. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Andy Pettitte (3-0, 17 IP, 1.47 WHIP, 1.06 ERA) Jonathan Niese (2-1, 19 IP, 1.21 WHIP, 2.84 ERA) Mat Latos (2-1, 23 IP, 0.87 WHIP, 1.17 ER) CJ Wilson (2-1, 19.1 IP, 1.55 WHIP, 1.86 ERA) Clayton Kershaw (3-0, 24 IP, 0.71 WHIP, 0.38 ERA) James Shields (2-1, 21 IP, 1.24 WHIP, 2.14 ERA) Kevin Correia (1-2, 21 IP, 1.29 WHIP, 2.57 ERA) Derek Holland (2-1, 19 IP, 1.05 WHIP, 2.37 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Jeff Locke (1-2, 12.1 IP, 2.35 WHIP, 8.76 ERA) Roberto Hernandez (1-2, 14.1 IP, 1.81 WHIP, 7.53 ERA) |
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Tigers -155 2.5* FREE PLAY
Justin Verlander has had a weird season highlighted by control problems, but he's posted a 2.57 ERA over his last three starts and 2 of those came on 5 days rest which means he's plenty rested for this day start on Thursday. Verlander has actually flat out dominated during day starts this season posting a 2.46 ERA this season and looking back further he has a 2.41 ERA over the last three years. He's pitched well on 4 days rest with 12 of 14 quality starts and has a 2.77 ERA at home on 4 days rest. Tigers are 40-16 in his last 56 overall on 4 days rest. He's had plenty of success dominating the Royals too especially at home where he posts a 1.74 ERA since 2011. Royals on the other hand start Danny Duffy who had a 5 IP and 5 ER performance in his only start at Detroit. Duffy has not been very good int he minors over 9 AAA starts he is walking 4.13 guys per 9 and that is just not going to cut it on the road against the Tigers who are scoring 5.85 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home. These are great for the Tigers if you can grab these odds early as they are 39-12 in their last 51 as a favorite -151-200. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Zack Greinke (3-0, 19.2 IP, 1.07 WHIP, 1.83 ERA) Chad Gaudin (3-0, 18.1 IP, 0.98 WHIP, 0.98 ERA) Nathan Eovaldi (1-2, 20 IP, 1.05 WHIP, 1.35 ERA) Alex Wood (2-1, 19 IP, 0.74 WHIP, 1.89 ERA) R.A. Dickey (2-1, 20.2 IP, 1.21 WHIP, 1.74 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Jake Westbrook (1-2, 17 IP, 1.47 WHIP, 6.35 ERA) Brandon McCarthy (0-3, 14 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 6.43 ERA) Jose Alvarez (1-2, 13.2 IP, 1.76 WHIP, 6.59 ERA) Andy Pettitte (1-2, 14 IP, 2.21 WHIP, 6.43 ERA) Jeremy Hellickson (0-3, 12 IP, 2.06 WHIP, 9.75 ERA) Juan Nicasio (1-2, 14 IP, 2.14 WHIP, 9.64 ERA) |
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Brewers +123 1.5* FREE PLAY
The Reds have been red hot, but facing the Cubs can make any team get on a roll. Now they have to face Kyle Lohse and the Brewers on the road where they are 1-5 in their last 6 visits. The Brewers are still capable of getting wins despite the absence of a lot of their stars and Kyle Lohse is a huge reason as he posts a 2.50 ERA over his last 5 starts. What is even more amazing is that he has a 1.92 ERA over his last 8 starts against the Reds dating back to 2009. He is also on 5 days rest for this match up where he has a 2.62 ERA this year when on 5-6 days rest. The Brewers are also 7-0 in their last 7 home games and will face a lefty which their offense has hit well. Tony Cingrani has been fantastic but he's on 4 days rest and he already struggles with control. The Brewers are facing him for the third time already which is a lot since Cingrani has not been starting for long. The Brewers are ranked 8th in OPS vs. LHP and over their last 10 games they are hitting .316 and scoring 10.70 runs per 9 vs. LHP. I think they could break out here again with some more runs while the Reds struggle against a quality pitcher that they have a history of struggling against and in case you are wondering the Brewers bullpen has been terrific posting a 1.93 ERA over the last 10 games. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Lance Lynn (1-2, 20.2 IP, 0.92 WHIP, 2.61 ERA) Dan Haren (3-0, 21 IP, 0.67 WHIP, 1.29 ERA) Tony Cingrani (1-2, 17 IP, 0.88 WHIP, 1.59 ERA) Tyson Ross (2-1, 21 IP, 0.86 WHIP, 1.29 ERA) Anibal Sanchez ( 3-0, 21.2 IP, 0.83 WHIP, 2.08 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Phil Hughes (1-2, 11 IP, 2.45 WHIP, 11.45 ERA) Mike Pelfrey (1-2, 14 IP, 2.07 WHIP, 6.43 ERA) Joe Saunders (1-2, 15.1 IP, 1.89 WHIP, 6.46 ERA) |
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Yankees -109 2* FREE PLAY
The Yankees very well could be back and it's all because of Curtis Granderson in my opinion. However, Ivan Nova has a lot to say about that as he has pitched lights out for a while now and posts a 0.86 ERA over his last three starts combined. Nova has been great at home posting a 2.36 ERA and a 2.59 ERA during night games. He is set up well and has all the advantages against Jered Weaver who is more of a fly ball pitcher and has had troubles in this ball park. For instance Nova is only giving up 25% fly balls while Weaver is ranked 7th with a 43.2% fly ball ratio. It also does not help Weaver that he's given up 10 HR combined to Alex Rodriguez and Granderson combined in just 49 total AB. Weaver actually has a 6.20 ERA in his last three starts at Yankee Stadium and the Yankees poured it on a bit on Tuesday night with the bats and I think it will continue against Weaver. Weaver also has solid numbers, but Nova is just more fresh off back to back starts on 5 days rest and he didn't throw 100 pitches. Weaver's raw stats indicate he shouldn't be pitching as well as he has this season which I like when I fade a pitcher. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Christopher Rusin (2-1, 18 IP, 1.33 WHIP, 2.00 ERA) Jered Weaver (2-1, 21.2 IP, 0.97 WHIP, 2.49 ERA) Tim LIncecum (2-1, 21 IP, 1.14 WHIP, 0.86 ERA) David Price (1-2, 22 IP, 0.68 WHIP, 1.23 ERA) Dillon Gee (2-1, 21.2 IP, 0.88 WHIP, 2.49 ERA) Jarred Cosart (0-3, 18 IP, 1.50 WHIP, 2.00 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Carlos Carrasco (1-2, 13.2 IP, 2.41 WHIP, 9.88 ERA) Kyle Gibson (2-1, 13.2 IP, 1.90 WHIP, 7.90 ERA) Bronson Arroyo (1-2, 16 IP, 1.44 WHIP, 6.19 ERA) John Lannan (1-2, 16.1 IP, 1.78 WHIP, 7.16 ERA) Francisco Liriano (2-1, 16.1 IP, 1.65 WHIP, 6.06 ERA) Aaron Harang (1-2, 12 IP, 1.83 WHIP, 11.25 ERA) |
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too bad it was a loss but we bounced back well the next day!
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Pirates -135 1.5** FREE PLAY
A.J. Burnett posts a 1.17 ERA over his last three starts and though he just came off a complete game against the Rockies I like for him to pitch well against them once again. For one the Rockies are ice cold and having no Carlos Gonzalez against RHP at home will be a problem. The Rockies are scoring just 2.27 runs per 9 over their last 10 combined and Burnett is an ideal candidate to have success against the Rockies. For one the Rockies have struggled against fast ball pitchers and Burnett is just that throwing 60% fast balls and averaging over 92mph. He's also a ground ball pitcher getting 56% ground balls and he's got a 2.72 ERA on 5 days rest. Burnett will also face Juan Nicasio who the Pirates have hit well in 2 career starts. In 39 AB the Pirates have a .859 OPS against Nicasio who has really struggled. He's on 5 days rest for the 8th time but he only has 1 start on 5 or more days of rest that lasted more than 5 innings. That means the bullpen will play a critical role and the Rockies bullpen has struggled big time. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Anibal Sanchez (3-0, 20.2 IP, 0.97 WHIP, 1.31 ERA) Tyson Ross (2-1, 20 IP, 0.70 WHIP, 1.35 ERA) Tony Cingrani (2-1, 18.2 IP, 1.02 WHIP, 2.41 ERA) Mark Buehrle (3-0, 22 IP, 0.82 WHIP, 2.05 ERA) Nathan Eovaldi (1-2, 19 IP, 1.16 WHIP, 1.42 ERA) Ubaldo Jimenez (1-2, 17.2 IP, 1.42 WHIP, 2.04 ERA) Felix Doubrant (1-2, 18.2 IP, 1.29 WHIP, 2.41 ERA) Jeremy Guthrie (3-0, 21 IP, 0.95 WHIP, 1.29 ERA) Hisashi Iwakuma (1-2, 19 IP, 1.11 WHIP, 0.95 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Phil Hughes (2-1, 12.1 IP, 2.19 WHIP, 7.30 ERA) Brad Peacock (0-3, 14.2 IP, 1.84 WHIP, 9.20 ERA) Juan Nicasio (0-3, 15.1 IP, 1.62 WHIP, 7.04 ERA) Tom Gorzelanny (1-2, 12 IP, 1.33 WHIP, 6.75 ERA) |
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Rays -119 2* FREE PLAY
David Price takes the mound with good odds ont he road where he's been great over the course of his career. Price has a 1.07 ERA and a 0.47 WHIP over his last three games combined and he'll face a Dodgers team that I believe is going to have some issues against quality pitchers especially lefties without Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp in the lineup. Price in 49 AB against him has held Dodgers hitters to a .570 OPS over his career and the Dodgers are just 12-30 in their last 42 inter league games against LHP. The Rays on the other hand have been scorching vs. LHP all season long. They will face Chris Capuano who is coming off back to back quality starts, but now he faces the Rays who are 2nd in OPS vs. LHP on the year and are an amazing 39-18 in their last 57 vs. LH starters. They are one of a few teams averaging over 5 runs per 9 vs. LHP on the road and Chris Capuano is struggling with a 5.56 ERA at home and a 6.08 ERA at night. Really the only advantage the Dodgers have in this game Friday night is their bullpen, but the Rays are off a day off unlike the Dodgers and they have Price on the hill so the bullpen probably won't play a huge factor. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Matt Garza (2-1, 22.1 IP, 0.99 WHIP, 2.82 ERA) Erik Bedard (0-3, 17.2 IP, 0.98 WHIP, 2.60 ERA) Dan Haren 2-1, 19 IP, 0.84 WHIP, 2.84 ERA) Jerred Weaver (2-1, 22.2 IP, 0.79 WHIP, 1.59 ERA) Scott Kazmir (3-0, 19 IP, 0.84 WHIP, 1.89 ERA) Lance Lynn (2-1, 21 IP, 0.95 WHIP, 1.71 ERA) Rick Porcello (3-0, 20.1 IP, 1.21 WHIP, 1.74 ERA) Ivan Nova (1-2, 21 IP, 1.14 WHIP, 1.71 ERA) Francisco Liriano (3-0, 21.2 IP, 0.83 WHIP, 0.42 ERA) Patrick Corbin (1-2, 20 IP, 1.15 WHIP, 2.25 ERA) Ervin Santana (3-0, 21 IP, 1.05 WHIP, 1.71 ERA) Kyle Lohse (3-0, 18 IP, 1.06 WHIP, 1.50 ERA) Chris Capuano (3-0, 17.1 IP, 1.04 WHIP, 2.60 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Kyle Gibson (2-1, 14 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 7.07 ERA) Esmil Rogers (0-3, 16.1 IP, 2.14 WHIP, 8.27 ERA) Jeremy Hefner (1-2, 15.2 IP, 1.53 WHIP, 6.32 ERA) Joe Saunders (1-2, 15.2 IP, 2.04 WHIP, 6.89 ERA) Ryan Vogelsong (1-2, 11.1 IP, 1.94 WHIP, 7.15 ERA) |
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Tigers -142 2* FREE PLAY
Max Scherzer just continues to get the job done posting a 0.83 ERA over his last three starts while the Tigers have gone 3-0. He has faced the Indians three times this year already and has a 2.74 ERA. He also has a 2.21 ERA on the road and a 2.64 ERA during night starts. Indians hitters have a .210 AB and a .577 OPS on 210 AB. We have some good sample sizes there and to go along with it is Scherzer who has a 2.23 ERA on 4 days rest on the road. Scherzer also is on a fresh 4 days rest because he made his last start on 6 days rest. Cleveland's probable starter can not say the same. Zack McCalister has struggled against some of the Tigers big hitters and he's also failed to go deep into games particularly on 4 days rest. Now he has good numbers at home, but over 6 starts on 4 days rest he's averaged just 5.1 IP and has a 4.93 ERA. It's clear that the Indians will be relying on their bullpen Thursday night and that's not a good sign because they are ranked 24th in ERA. McCallister's solid numbers are a bit misleading because he has a 4.48 xFIP which is nothing compared to Scherzer's 2.93. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Dillon Gee (1-2, 21 IP, 0.76 WHIP, 2.14 ERA) Bruce Chen (3-0, 18 IP, 0.67 WHIP, 2.00 ERA) Jose Fernandez (3-0, 23 IP, 0.70 WHIP, 1.57 ERA) Jeff Samadzija (1-2, 18.2 IP, 1.50 WHIP, 2.89 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Jake Westbrook (1-2, 17 IP, 1.47 WHIP, 6.35 ERA) |
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Yankees +116 3** FREE PLAY
The A-Rod saga will die down and the Yankees can get back to chasing after a post season birth. It all starts on Tuesday when their ace Hiroki Kuroda takes the mound against the White Sox ace Chris Sale. Kurdoa posts a 0.86 ERA over his last three starts and he's fresh on 5 days rest for this one. That's important because he has a 1.36 ERA this season on 5 days rest over 10 starts and he makes this one on back to back 5 days rest so we know he's really fresh. It also helps that he has a 2.53 ERA in three starts vs. the White Sox, and that the White Sox are 24th in OPS vs. RHP on the year. The White Sox also are scoring 1.19 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10. Chris Sale is definitely an ace and the reason we are getting great odds on Kuroda. However, the White Sox are pushing him into a territory he's not used to at this point in the season. He's making his 4th start in 16 days meaning they have all come on 4 days rest and you can tell by his WHIP that he's starting to struggle just a bit. The Yankees by no means are hitting the ball well, but they are hitting better than the White Sox and have a huge advantage out of the bullpen where they are 17-10 compared to the White Sox who are 13-27. Yankees bullpen is nearly 2 runs better in ERA when you look at the home and away splits. The White Sox are so bad that they are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. a RH starter at home. I'll take the dog with Hiroki Kuroda at +116 fresh on 5 days rest. Notable Hot Starters L3 GS: Mat Latos (2-1, 18.2 IP, 1.34 WHIP, 2.41 ERA) Wade Miley (2-1, 18 IP, 1.17 WHIP, 1.50 ERA) Felix Hernandez (1-2, 22 IP, 0.82 WHIP, 0.82 ERA) Justin Masterson (3-0, 21.1 IP, 0.70 WHIP, 0.84 ERA) Henderson Alvarez (2-1, 20.1 IP, 0.84 WHIP, 0.89 ERA) James Shields (2-1, 20 IP, 1.45 WHIP, 2.25 ERA) Edwin Jackson (2-1, 21.1 IP, 0.97 WHIP, 2.49 ERA) Julio Teheran (3-0, 18 IP, 0.89 WHIP, 1.00 ERA) Yu Darvish (2-1, 19.1 IP, 0.83 WHIP, 0.47 ERA) Clayton Kershaw (2-1, 23 IP, 0.57 WHIP, 1.17 ERA) Joe Kelly (2-1, 17.2 IP, 1.25 WHIP, 0.51 ERA) Matt Cain (2-1, 20 IP, 1.15 WHIP, 1.80 ERA) Notable Cold Starters L3 GS: Justin Verlander (1-2, 17.2 IP, 1.92 WHIP, 6.62 ERA) Kyle Kendrick (1-2, 13.2 IP, 1.90 WHIP, 9.88 ERA) Gio Gonzalez (1-2, 15 IP, 2.00 WHIP, 7.80 ERA) Jordan Lyles (0-3, 14.2 IP, 2.11 WHIP, 9.82 ERA) Josh Johnson (0-3, 10 IP, 2.90 WHIP, 16.20 ERA) |
dynamicmetsfan | 3 |
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We are on a roll with our free MLB sports picks and were are now 19-7 in our last 26 free MLB picks. Friday we continue to battle with another free pick from our hot and cold probable pitchers sheet. We had a total of 14 to choose from which is a new record while there were 4 struggling pitchers that are worth mentioning.
Baltimore Orioles RL +130 FREE PLAY Chris Tillman certainly is not a household name, but very quietly he's been putting up a very solid season. He comes in posting a 3-0 record and a 2.14 ERA over his last three starts. All year he's shined during night starts with an incredible 10-1 record while his offense has really backed him up. He's got great numbers against the Mariners in 4 starts posting a 0.98 ERA and a 0.70 WHIP. The Mariners have 56 AB and a .411 OPS against him. Tillman will have to other things working for him. He's on 6 days rest where he's pitched extremely well this season and he is facing Aaron Harrang. |
dynamicmetsfan | 1 |
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SPORTSBETCAPPING.COM'S FREDDY WILLS:
Cleveland Indians -137 2.5* FREE PLAY Justin Masterson comes into this start with a 1.27 ERA over his last three along with a 0.75 WHIP. He will face off against the White Sox ace who is also posting a solid ERA of late with a 2.28, but has a 1.27 WHIP. Masterson has flat out dominated the White Sox hitters with two complete game shutouts this year allowing 2 ER over 25 IP in three starts. They have just a .606 OPS in over 280 at bats against him. Meanwhile Chris Sale has somewhat struggled against the Indians posting a 1.55 WHIP over his last three starts and a .709 OPS in his career. Masterson has been dominant all year at home posting a 2.63 ERA and during his day starts with a 2.06 ERA. That should benefit him because the Indians are #2 in the league in OPS during day games. The Indians are also red hot scoring 8.19 runs per 9 over their last 10 vs. LHP and are scoring more than 1.5 runs per 9 vs. LHP than the White Sox are against RHP this season. White Sox are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. RH starter while Cleveland is 35-17 in their last 52 home games. I'll take the value we get with Masterson against Chris Sale who is nasty in his own right but is on his 3rd straight start on 4 days rest while throwing an average 117 pitches in his last two. |
dynamicmetsfan | 1 |
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Notable Cold Starters:
Kevin Slowey (1-2, 14.2 IP, 1.50 WHIP, 6.75 ERA) Edinson Volquez (1-2, 15 IP, 1.93 WHIP, 8.40 ERA) Alfredo Aceves (2-1, 14.1 IP, 2.16 WHIP, 6.91 ERA) Note: Today's Free pick along with all of our sports picks will be backed by our third partyindependent sports monitor. |
dynamicmetsfan | 3 |
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