if GS goes down 1-3 they not winning the series I would bet my life on it that's why I said +900 cause if I was a bookie I would jack the price so high so people like you would jump on it but you go ahead and compute your statistical probabilities all you want
i see
i would bet that +900 anytime
i have all kind of possibilty to make something out of that
may be you will get my money in your pocket but i would cash in somewhere with memphis bet big , without risking any of my money lol
if GS goes down 1-3 they not winning the series I would bet my life on it that's why I said +900 cause if I was a bookie I would jack the price so high so people like you would jump on it but you go ahead and compute your statistical probabilities all you want
i see
i would bet that +900 anytime
i have all kind of possibilty to make something out of that
may be you will get my money in your pocket but i would cash in somewhere with memphis bet big , without risking any of my money lol
If they have the same MLs as earlier in the series, the Warriors would be at about even money (-550/-600 for the two home games and -200 at Memphis for game 6)...Obviously, if they go down 3-1, lines won't be the same, but won't change as drastically as the Houston series.
Series line will be Memphis -125 to -140 range if they win tonight.
Books will not give you better future odds on the W's than what you would get from betting a rolling accumulator on them in games 5, 6, and 7 (which again would yield about a +100 payout if ML odds for those games were -600, -200, and -600)
yes they absolutely will. You don't realize the power of going up 3-1 in a series if you seriously believe that. I would literally take out a loan to bet Memphis to win the series at -125 if they go up 3-1. That line is asinine. Golden State will at least be +300 to win the series down 3-1
If they have the same MLs as earlier in the series, the Warriors would be at about even money (-550/-600 for the two home games and -200 at Memphis for game 6)...Obviously, if they go down 3-1, lines won't be the same, but won't change as drastically as the Houston series.
Series line will be Memphis -125 to -140 range if they win tonight.
Books will not give you better future odds on the W's than what you would get from betting a rolling accumulator on them in games 5, 6, and 7 (which again would yield about a +100 payout if ML odds for those games were -600, -200, and -600)
yes they absolutely will. You don't realize the power of going up 3-1 in a series if you seriously believe that. I would literally take out a loan to bet Memphis to win the series at -125 if they go up 3-1. That line is asinine. Golden State will at least be +300 to win the series down 3-1
But your prediction doesn't matter, golden state wins by double digits tonight so unfortunately the debate wont be won by anyone
Let's say GS does go down 3-1 though......
to anyone wanting I will gladly give you Golden State @ +150 to win the series before the books release the line. This way you can get your money in good
But your prediction doesn't matter, golden state wins by double digits tonight so unfortunately the debate wont be won by anyone
Let's say GS does go down 3-1 though......
to anyone wanting I will gladly give you Golden State @ +150 to win the series before the books release the line. This way you can get your money in good
yes they absolutely will. You don't realize the power of going up 3-1 in a series if you seriously believe that. I would literally take out a loan to bet Memphis to win the series at -125 if they go up 3-1. That line is asinine. Golden State will at least be +300 to win the series down 3-1
While I do agree with you on the Memphis -125 being the way to go in a hypothetical 3-1 scenario, I would not expect someone living in the state of Nevada to write that the odds would be "at least +300".
For this to actually happen, the game by game prices would have to drop BELOW GS-200 when they are at home in games 5 and 7. So you are telling me that Golden State will all of a sudden be laying 4.5-5 points at home (-200) when they have been laying 11 points in games 1 and 2?
Is this what you really think or have you not thought this all the way through?
There is NO WAY Vegas would make an adjustment this extreme unless Curry gets hurt in game 4.
yes they absolutely will. You don't realize the power of going up 3-1 in a series if you seriously believe that. I would literally take out a loan to bet Memphis to win the series at -125 if they go up 3-1. That line is asinine. Golden State will at least be +300 to win the series down 3-1
While I do agree with you on the Memphis -125 being the way to go in a hypothetical 3-1 scenario, I would not expect someone living in the state of Nevada to write that the odds would be "at least +300".
For this to actually happen, the game by game prices would have to drop BELOW GS-200 when they are at home in games 5 and 7. So you are telling me that Golden State will all of a sudden be laying 4.5-5 points at home (-200) when they have been laying 11 points in games 1 and 2?
Is this what you really think or have you not thought this all the way through?
There is NO WAY Vegas would make an adjustment this extreme unless Curry gets hurt in game 4.
But the thing is, Golden State will not ever be going down 3-1 in this series. The books would never give you that easy of money on Golden State. They got people trapped right now where they want them. They got all the money coming in on Memphis now to even it out. But you'll see Golden State wins tonight, and the series.
This board is getting more retarded by the day. Everyone picking Memphis to beat golden State, just because memphis got lucky and won a couple of games.
But the thing is, Golden State will not ever be going down 3-1 in this series. The books would never give you that easy of money on Golden State. They got people trapped right now where they want them. They got all the money coming in on Memphis now to even it out. But you'll see Golden State wins tonight, and the series.
This board is getting more retarded by the day. Everyone picking Memphis to beat golden State, just because memphis got lucky and won a couple of games.
The NBA won't let the Warriors go down 1-3. The Splash Brothers are their puppies.
EXACTLY. Finally someone in here talking some sense.
Golden State is too good anyway to get legitimately beat by memphis. Golden State did not try to win game 3. I watched it. They lost game 3, probably because too much money was on them for the ML. That was obvious by the payout. Now tonight books trying to fool people into thinking Memphis is going to win after they got everyone's money on game 3.
Anyone who was on Golden State in game 3 and Memphis in this game should seriously stop betting.
The NBA won't let the Warriors go down 1-3. The Splash Brothers are their puppies.
EXACTLY. Finally someone in here talking some sense.
Golden State is too good anyway to get legitimately beat by memphis. Golden State did not try to win game 3. I watched it. They lost game 3, probably because too much money was on them for the ML. That was obvious by the payout. Now tonight books trying to fool people into thinking Memphis is going to win after they got everyone's money on game 3.
Anyone who was on Golden State in game 3 and Memphis in this game should seriously stop betting.
If they have the same MLs as earlier in the series, the Warriors would be at about even money (-550/-600 for the two home games and -200 at Memphis for game 6)...Obviously, if they go down 3-1, lines won't be the same, but won't change as drastically as the Houston series.
Series line will be Memphis -125 to -140 range if they win tonight.
Books will not give you better future odds on the W's than what you would get from betting a rolling accumulator on them in games 5, 6, and 7 (which again would yield about a +100 payout if ML odds for those games were -600, -200, and -600)
This is pretty much right. There might be a slight modification depending on how game 4 goes. If Memphis just destroys Golden St. and whole team has their heads down, then maybe Vegas takes the mental aspect into consideration. Course, that will be reflected on spreads for games 5-7, so the math still works out.
The other wild card would be injuries. Seth Curry goes down, THEN it bumps up to +600 or whatever. Mike Conley goes down but Memphis wins, maybe it is a pick 'em.
If they have the same MLs as earlier in the series, the Warriors would be at about even money (-550/-600 for the two home games and -200 at Memphis for game 6)...Obviously, if they go down 3-1, lines won't be the same, but won't change as drastically as the Houston series.
Series line will be Memphis -125 to -140 range if they win tonight.
Books will not give you better future odds on the W's than what you would get from betting a rolling accumulator on them in games 5, 6, and 7 (which again would yield about a +100 payout if ML odds for those games were -600, -200, and -600)
This is pretty much right. There might be a slight modification depending on how game 4 goes. If Memphis just destroys Golden St. and whole team has their heads down, then maybe Vegas takes the mental aspect into consideration. Course, that will be reflected on spreads for games 5-7, so the math still works out.
The other wild card would be injuries. Seth Curry goes down, THEN it bumps up to +600 or whatever. Mike Conley goes down but Memphis wins, maybe it is a pick 'em.
This is pretty much right. There might be a slight modification depending on how game 4 goes. If Memphis just destroys Golden St. and whole team has their heads down, then maybe Vegas takes the mental aspect into consideration. Course, that will be reflected on spreads for games 5-7, so the math still works out.
The other wild card would be injuries. Seth Curry goes down, THEN it bumps up to +600 or whatever. Mike Conley goes down but Memphis wins, maybe it is a pick 'em.
This is pretty much right. There might be a slight modification depending on how game 4 goes. If Memphis just destroys Golden St. and whole team has their heads down, then maybe Vegas takes the mental aspect into consideration. Course, that will be reflected on spreads for games 5-7, so the math still works out.
The other wild card would be injuries. Seth Curry goes down, THEN it bumps up to +600 or whatever. Mike Conley goes down but Memphis wins, maybe it is a pick 'em.
While I do agree with you on the Memphis -125 being the way to go in a hypothetical 3-1 scenario, I would not expect someone living in the state of Nevada to write that the odds would be "at least +300".
For this to actually happen, the game by game prices would have to drop BELOW GS-200 when they are at home in games 5 and 7. So you are telling me that Golden State will all of a sudden be laying 4.5-5 points at home (-200) when they have been laying 11 points in games 1 and 2?
Is this what you really think or have you not thought this all the way through?
There is NO WAY Vegas would make an adjustment this extreme unless Curry gets hurt in game 4.
I think usually you are correct that you can just use the sum of a parts of a wager to calculate odds but I don't agree that this can be done in a 3-1 scenario. Obviously if a team is up 3-1 they are doing something better than the other team to be in that situation and they only need to win 1 game out of 3 to win the series. Not to mention it seems you are downplaying the fact that Memphis still has one more game at home that will essentially be a 2-3 pt spread most likely. Bettors will not bet into a golden state series price in a situation where they have to win 3 straight if the price is only +120. That line will skyrocket and books will be put in a precarious situation. FWIW I do hope you are right if this series does go 3-1 and I can get Memphis at -125 will be my biggest play of the playoffs and one of the biggest of the year. Would be a huge mistake by the books to lay near even odds into something that has only happened 6 times in the history of the NBA. But I see your point...agree to disagree
While I do agree with you on the Memphis -125 being the way to go in a hypothetical 3-1 scenario, I would not expect someone living in the state of Nevada to write that the odds would be "at least +300".
For this to actually happen, the game by game prices would have to drop BELOW GS-200 when they are at home in games 5 and 7. So you are telling me that Golden State will all of a sudden be laying 4.5-5 points at home (-200) when they have been laying 11 points in games 1 and 2?
Is this what you really think or have you not thought this all the way through?
There is NO WAY Vegas would make an adjustment this extreme unless Curry gets hurt in game 4.
I think usually you are correct that you can just use the sum of a parts of a wager to calculate odds but I don't agree that this can be done in a 3-1 scenario. Obviously if a team is up 3-1 they are doing something better than the other team to be in that situation and they only need to win 1 game out of 3 to win the series. Not to mention it seems you are downplaying the fact that Memphis still has one more game at home that will essentially be a 2-3 pt spread most likely. Bettors will not bet into a golden state series price in a situation where they have to win 3 straight if the price is only +120. That line will skyrocket and books will be put in a precarious situation. FWIW I do hope you are right if this series does go 3-1 and I can get Memphis at -125 will be my biggest play of the playoffs and one of the biggest of the year. Would be a huge mistake by the books to lay near even odds into something that has only happened 6 times in the history of the NBA. But I see your point...agree to disagree
I think usually you are correct that you can just use the sum of a parts of a wager to calculate odds but I don't agree that this can be done in a 3-1 scenario. Obviously if a team is up 3-1 they are doing something better than the other team to be in that situation and they only need to win 1 game out of 3 to win the series. Not to mention it seems you are downplaying the fact that Memphis still has one more game at home that will essentially be a 2-3 pt spread most likely. Bettors will not bet into a golden state series price in a situation where they have to win 3 straight if the price is only +120. That line will skyrocket and books will be put in a precarious situation. FWIW I do hope you are right if this series does go 3-1 and I can get Memphis at -125 will be my biggest play of the playoffs and one of the biggest of the year. Would be a huge mistake by the books to lay near even odds into something that has only happened 6 times in the history of the NBA. But I see your point...agree to disagree
Well.......should Memphis win tonight, I will also be taking them to win the series and I will be expecting a -125/-140. I see your points, but barring an injury I don't see Vegas budging like you predict. Appreciate your opinion and insight none-the-less.
I think usually you are correct that you can just use the sum of a parts of a wager to calculate odds but I don't agree that this can be done in a 3-1 scenario. Obviously if a team is up 3-1 they are doing something better than the other team to be in that situation and they only need to win 1 game out of 3 to win the series. Not to mention it seems you are downplaying the fact that Memphis still has one more game at home that will essentially be a 2-3 pt spread most likely. Bettors will not bet into a golden state series price in a situation where they have to win 3 straight if the price is only +120. That line will skyrocket and books will be put in a precarious situation. FWIW I do hope you are right if this series does go 3-1 and I can get Memphis at -125 will be my biggest play of the playoffs and one of the biggest of the year. Would be a huge mistake by the books to lay near even odds into something that has only happened 6 times in the history of the NBA. But I see your point...agree to disagree
Well.......should Memphis win tonight, I will also be taking them to win the series and I will be expecting a -125/-140. I see your points, but barring an injury I don't see Vegas budging like you predict. Appreciate your opinion and insight none-the-less.
People could of taken GS for the series tonight before the game, if they knew GS would win tonight. BUT it would of been a sucker bet still because the price was -235 on the series, yet the ML on GS tonight was only -175
So, why take -235 and have to win 3 games when you can get -175 to win just one game. Talk about a sucker bet. Even though GS will win the series for sure... Just sayin
People could of taken GS for the series tonight before the game, if they knew GS would win tonight. BUT it would of been a sucker bet still because the price was -235 on the series, yet the ML on GS tonight was only -175
So, why take -235 and have to win 3 games when you can get -175 to win just one game. Talk about a sucker bet. Even though GS will win the series for sure... Just sayin
But that's a moot point because there was no way GS was losing tonight. First thought was memphis i was overhinking it...then I quickly realized it would be GS in a blowout tonight
But that's a moot point because there was no way GS was losing tonight. First thought was memphis i was overhinking it...then I quickly realized it would be GS in a blowout tonight
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