Note: If you were unable to get Miami at -3 it is now at -3.5 or -4 everywhere. I suggest buying down to 3 as a little insurance.
This game will be won via the Miami ground game !! Before you start going off about how rediculous this sounds.................let me explain.
Miami has exceptional WR's...............Wisconsin on the other hand has a VERY, VERY suspect secondary. So, Miami should be able to pass all over them all afternoon right?
Well, it won't quite play out as obvious and predictable as that.
You see.......after Wisconsin gets burned a few times deep (and this will surely happen) they'll be dropping 4 to cover that problem and thus weakening their run stop capabilities. Miami will simply start pounding the rock inside, throw in a few sweeps and Miami will have some MAJOR gains on the ground. This coupled with a few short Miami screen passes and we have the makings for a big Miami win and cover !!!
Note: If you were unable to get Miami at -3 it is now at -3.5 or -4 everywhere. I suggest buying down to 3 as a little insurance.
This game will be won via the Miami ground game !! Before you start going off about how rediculous this sounds.................let me explain.
Miami has exceptional WR's...............Wisconsin on the other hand has a VERY, VERY suspect secondary. So, Miami should be able to pass all over them all afternoon right?
Well, it won't quite play out as obvious and predictable as that.
You see.......after Wisconsin gets burned a few times deep (and this will surely happen) they'll be dropping 4 to cover that problem and thus weakening their run stop capabilities. Miami will simply start pounding the rock inside, throw in a few sweeps and Miami will have some MAJOR gains on the ground. This coupled with a few short Miami screen passes and we have the makings for a big Miami win and cover !!!
that being said..............I would like to point out, even if Wisconsin drops 4 to cover the deep ball they may STILL continue to get burnt down field. Could be long day for Wis. secondary.
that being said..............I would like to point out, even if Wisconsin drops 4 to cover the deep ball they may STILL continue to get burnt down field. Could be long day for Wis. secondary.
I hope you are right, as Miami is one of my bigger bowl plays, although the line stinks imo...I would have thought it would have been closer to a TD then 3 1/2??? I guess we will see, and Wisconsin used to do quite well in bowl games, but look at last year's debacle against florida state. The U for me!
I hope you are right, as Miami is one of my bigger bowl plays, although the line stinks imo...I would have thought it would have been closer to a TD then 3 1/2??? I guess we will see, and Wisconsin used to do quite well in bowl games, but look at last year's debacle against florida state. The U for me!
NO ONE NEEDS THE HALF A POINT RIGHT NOW THE LINE IS DOWN TO 2 WHICH IS CRAZY THE PUBLIC SEEMS TO BE ON WISCONSIN SO IMA GO WITH MIAMI EVEN THOUGH I HATE TO BECAUSE BRANDON LANG HAS A 100 DIMER ON THEM AFTER GOING 0 FOR 3 YESTERDAY WOULD RATHER FADE HIM BUT JUST THINK MIAMI DOES IT BY 2 MIGHT EVEN TEASE IT...
NO ONE NEEDS THE HALF A POINT RIGHT NOW THE LINE IS DOWN TO 2 WHICH IS CRAZY THE PUBLIC SEEMS TO BE ON WISCONSIN SO IMA GO WITH MIAMI EVEN THOUGH I HATE TO BECAUSE BRANDON LANG HAS A 100 DIMER ON THEM AFTER GOING 0 FOR 3 YESTERDAY WOULD RATHER FADE HIM BUT JUST THINK MIAMI DOES IT BY 2 MIGHT EVEN TEASE IT...
NO ONE NEEDS THE HALF A POINT RIGHT NOW THE LINE IS DOWN TO 2 WHICH IS CRAZY THE PUBLIC SEEMS TO BE ON WISCONSIN SO IMA GO WITH MIAMI EVEN THOUGH I HATE TO BECAUSE BRANDON LANG HAS A 100 DIMER ON THEM AFTER GOING 0 FOR 3 YESTERDAY WOULD RATHER FADE HIM BUT JUST THINK MIAMI DOES IT BY 2 MIGHT EVEN TEASE IT...
I know you're joking and you don't really believe this
NO ONE NEEDS THE HALF A POINT RIGHT NOW THE LINE IS DOWN TO 2 WHICH IS CRAZY THE PUBLIC SEEMS TO BE ON WISCONSIN SO IMA GO WITH MIAMI EVEN THOUGH I HATE TO BECAUSE BRANDON LANG HAS A 100 DIMER ON THEM AFTER GOING 0 FOR 3 YESTERDAY WOULD RATHER FADE HIM BUT JUST THINK MIAMI DOES IT BY 2 MIGHT EVEN TEASE IT...
I know you're joking and you don't really believe this
Note: If you were unable to get Miami at -3 it is now at -3.5 or -4 everywhere. I suggest buying down to 3 as a little insurance.
This game will be won via the Miami ground game !! Before you start going off about how rediculous this sounds.................let me explain.
Miami has exceptional WR's...............Wisconsin on the other hand has a VERY, VERY suspect secondary. So, Miami should be able to pass all over them all afternoon right?
Well, it won't quite play out as obvious and predictable as that.
You see.......after Wisconsin gets burned a few times deep (and this will surely happen) they'll be dropping 4 to cover that problem and thus weakening their run stop capabilities. Miami will simply start pounding the rock inside, throw in a few sweeps and Miami will have some MAJOR gains on the ground. This coupled with a few short Miami screen passes and we have the makings for a big Miami win and cover !!!
Note: If you were unable to get Miami at -3 it is now at -3.5 or -4 everywhere. I suggest buying down to 3 as a little insurance.
This game will be won via the Miami ground game !! Before you start going off about how rediculous this sounds.................let me explain.
Miami has exceptional WR's...............Wisconsin on the other hand has a VERY, VERY suspect secondary. So, Miami should be able to pass all over them all afternoon right?
Well, it won't quite play out as obvious and predictable as that.
You see.......after Wisconsin gets burned a few times deep (and this will surely happen) they'll be dropping 4 to cover that problem and thus weakening their run stop capabilities. Miami will simply start pounding the rock inside, throw in a few sweeps and Miami will have some MAJOR gains on the ground. This coupled with a few short Miami screen passes and we have the makings for a big Miami win and cover !!!
if you're so confident on them getting up two scores early why in the world would you suggest people to buy a half point?
You do realize how awful buying points is for long term sports betting profits?
Jim, I am sorry but you are ABSOLUTELY 100% wrong in this regard.
I will not attack your intelect or views or opinion about buying point, but I will say this............buying off the number 3, 4 or 7 is one of the smartest/ most profitable actions a sport bettor can make for long term success.
Trust me ......................fortunes are both won AND lost by the hook !!
Avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4, or 7 in your line......the cost is usually just .7 cents on the dollar. Peanuts when you are dealing with G note wagers.
I could write pages to elaborate on this topic but will end it right there.
if you're so confident on them getting up two scores early why in the world would you suggest people to buy a half point?
You do realize how awful buying points is for long term sports betting profits?
Jim, I am sorry but you are ABSOLUTELY 100% wrong in this regard.
I will not attack your intelect or views or opinion about buying point, but I will say this............buying off the number 3, 4 or 7 is one of the smartest/ most profitable actions a sport bettor can make for long term success.
Trust me ......................fortunes are both won AND lost by the hook !!
Avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4, or 7 in your line......the cost is usually just .7 cents on the dollar. Peanuts when you are dealing with G note wagers.
I could write pages to elaborate on this topic but will end it right there.
Jim, I am sorry but you are ABSOLUTELY 100% wrong in this regard.
I will not attack your intelect or views or opinion about buying point, but I will say this............buying off the number 3, 4 or 7 is one of the smartest/ most profitable actions a sport bettor can make for long term success.
Trust me ......................fortunes are both won AND lost by the hook !!
Avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4, or 7 in your line......the cost is usually just .7 cents on the dollar. Peanuts when you are dealing with G note wagers.
I could write pages to elaborate on this topic but will end it right there.
Jim, I am sorry but you are ABSOLUTELY 100% wrong in this regard.
I will not attack your intelect or views or opinion about buying point, but I will say this............buying off the number 3, 4 or 7 is one of the smartest/ most profitable actions a sport bettor can make for long term success.
Trust me ......................fortunes are both won AND lost by the hook !!
Avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4, or 7 in your line......the cost is usually just .7 cents on the dollar. Peanuts when you are dealing with G note wagers.
I could write pages to elaborate on this topic but will end it right there.
Jim, I am sorry but you are ABSOLUTELY 100% wrong in this regard.
I will not attack your intelect or views or opinion about buying point, but I will say this............buying off the number 3, 4 or 7 is one of the smartest/ most profitable actions a sport bettor can make for long term success.
Trust me ......................fortunes are both won AND lost by the hook !!
Avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4, or 7 in your line......the cost is usually just .7 cents on the dollar. Peanuts when you are dealing with G note wagers.
I could write pages to elaborate on this topic but will end it right there.
good luck to you !!
Long term success comes in knowing if you need to buy off the .5 point then you have the balls to take the other side.
Long term success comes in knowing that if 7.5 is that big of a deal then you take the dog.
Long Term success comes in knowing value, and I promise you if you think there is long term success in buying points I feel sorry for you.
I am not trying to be a dick, or start a fight at all,
but covers is filled with people who buy points like they mean nothing. People who think that constantly buying yourself off key numbers will work out for you in the long run.
Do as you please, but please don't try and tell me it's profitable to eat .20 to .30 cents any time you see a team that is -3.5 or -7.5
Jim, I am sorry but you are ABSOLUTELY 100% wrong in this regard.
I will not attack your intelect or views or opinion about buying point, but I will say this............buying off the number 3, 4 or 7 is one of the smartest/ most profitable actions a sport bettor can make for long term success.
Trust me ......................fortunes are both won AND lost by the hook !!
Avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4, or 7 in your line......the cost is usually just .7 cents on the dollar. Peanuts when you are dealing with G note wagers.
I could write pages to elaborate on this topic but will end it right there.
good luck to you !!
Long term success comes in knowing if you need to buy off the .5 point then you have the balls to take the other side.
Long term success comes in knowing that if 7.5 is that big of a deal then you take the dog.
Long Term success comes in knowing value, and I promise you if you think there is long term success in buying points I feel sorry for you.
I am not trying to be a dick, or start a fight at all,
but covers is filled with people who buy points like they mean nothing. People who think that constantly buying yourself off key numbers will work out for you in the long run.
Do as you please, but please don't try and tell me it's profitable to eat .20 to .30 cents any time you see a team that is -3.5 or -7.5
would like to clarify..............avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4 or 7 in your line as an ATS favorite.
dogs will not burn you in this case you will merely push..........BIG, BIG difference as opposed to favs.
Let me put it like this.
When reading a line, if a team is a 6.5-7.5 point favorite, the oddsmakers are telling you that team might not be as strong as a favorite as you think.
If oddsmakers feel a team is really strong they will make them as a two score favorite (ie 8 or more). They know that if they make a team -7.5 most of the betting public will feel like they have to buy it down the 7. This means they will have a ton of action of people willing to eat .20 or .30 cents. Why do they get so much action? Because people want short term success, which is what buying points is. So now they essentially have a dog, getting +120 or +130, and have them at +7.
would like to clarify..............avoid the hook whenever you are dealing with a 3, 4 or 7 in your line as an ATS favorite.
dogs will not burn you in this case you will merely push..........BIG, BIG difference as opposed to favs.
Let me put it like this.
When reading a line, if a team is a 6.5-7.5 point favorite, the oddsmakers are telling you that team might not be as strong as a favorite as you think.
If oddsmakers feel a team is really strong they will make them as a two score favorite (ie 8 or more). They know that if they make a team -7.5 most of the betting public will feel like they have to buy it down the 7. This means they will have a ton of action of people willing to eat .20 or .30 cents. Why do they get so much action? Because people want short term success, which is what buying points is. So now they essentially have a dog, getting +120 or +130, and have them at +7.
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