Sunday's NFL Week 13 betting cheat sheet: Late action

Nov 28, 2013 |
Sunday's NFL Week 13 betting cheat sheet: Late action
Thomas hauled in five passes for 121 yards in the Broncos' Week 11 victory
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Thomas hauled in five passes for 121 yards in the Broncos' Week 11 victory
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills (-3, 46.5)

Injuries have been a killer and the schedule hasn't made it any easier for Atlanta, which is in the midst of playing five of seven on the road - and the two home games in that span were against NFC powers Seattle and New Orleans. Still, the Falcons have not been competitive for much of the five-game skid, getting outscored by an average of 18.5 points over a four-week stretch.

Buffalo has endured injury problems of its own, but rookie quarterback EJ Manuel returned from a three-game absence to throw for 245 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Jets. Running back Fred Jackson said the week off came at a good time for the Bills, who expect to have leading receiver Stevie Johnson and rookie wideout Robert Woods back in the lineup.

LINE: The Bills opened at -3.5 but have been bet down a half-point. The total is currently 46.5
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Atlanta (+5.5) - Buffalo (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Bills -4.5

* Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on fieldturf.
* Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Atlanta's last seven games following a bye week.

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 42)

Kellen Clemens has stepped in nicely for the injured Sam Bradford, recording a 100.5 passer rating with four touchdowns and no interceptions over the last three weeks. Last week, Clemens was helped out by three rookies - Benny Cunningham, Zac Stacy and wideout Tavon Austin, who combined for 261 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 26 attempts.

The 49ers rank last in the NFL in passing yards (173.5 per game), so the return of wideout Michael Crabtree, who had 85 catches for 1,105 yards and nine touchdowns last season - all team highs - should be a welcome sight. Frank Gore, on the other hand, appears to finally be on the decline, as the 30-year-old running back has averaged more than four yards per carry just once in his last six games.

LINE: San Francisco opened as a 9.5-point fave, but is now -7.5. The total is down a point to 42.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s under clear skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: St. Louis (+2.5) + San Francisco (-6.0) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -11.5

* Rams are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. divisional foes.
* 49ers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers (-1, 48.5)

Quarterback Andy Dalton continues to be plagued by inconsistency despite his three-TD performance against Cleveland, getting intercepted twice and throwing for only 93 yards - the second-fewest yards since his NFL debut. Star wideout A.J. Green was limited to two catches for seven yards by the Browns, halting a streak of five-consecutive 100-yard games.

San Diego typically plays to the level of its competition, owning wins over division leaders Philadelphia, Dallas, Indianapolis and Kansas City while losing to five sub-.500 teams. Philip Rivers is having a career renaissance, bouncing back from two turnover-riddled seasons to lead the league in completion percentage (70.8) while throwing for 22 touchdowns and eight picks.

LINE: The Chargers opened as a 1-point dog but have been bet up to a 1-point fave. The total is up three points to 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies and wind blowing across the length of the field at 4 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cincinnati (-3.0) - San Diego (0) - home field (-3.0) = Even

* Bengals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven December games.
* Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. teams with winning records.
* Over is 7-1-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (+5, 48.5)

Denver's offense continues to set a near-record pace, as the team's 429 points are the second-most in history through 11 games and Peyton Manning's 3,722 passing yards are the most ever at this point in the season. The defense had put together an impressive string of games before the second half last week when Tom Brady picked apart a banged-up secondary with cornerbacks Champ Bailey, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and safety Duke Ihenacho injured.

Kansas City did a credible job of slowing down Denver's explosive offense in the first meeting, but the Chiefs' defense got dinged against the Chargers. Linebackers Tamba Hali (ankle) and Justin Houston (elbow) both left in the first half last week and neither is likely to play - a significant blow as the two have combined for 20 sacks - although Hali is quoted as saying he's ready but does not have medical clearance.

LINE: Denver opened at - 3.5 but the line has been bet up to -5. The total is steady at 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Denver (-7.5) - Kansas City (-2.5) - home field (-3.0) = Broncos -2

* Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss.
* Chiefs are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.

New York Giants at Washington Redskins (+1, 46)

Elli Manning did rally New York from a 15-point deficit last week but he threw for only 174 yards and had trouble moving the team for much of the day in a loss against the Cowboys despite Andre Brown and Brandon Jacobs rushing for a combined 202 yards. Victor Cruz has one touchdown catch since scoring three times in Week 1 and Hakeem Nicks, who was scratched last week with an abdominal injury, has yet to get in the end zone.

Robert Griffin III turned in another clunker and Washington was limited to a pair of field goals and 190 yards by San Francisco. Griffin threw for a season-low 118 yards and an interception, giving him 11 on the season - more than double the total from his mesmerizing rookie campaign. Second-year running back Alfred Morris needs 30 yards to reach the 1,000-yard mark again.

LINE: The Giants are holding as 1-point faves with the total down a half-point to 46.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-30s under partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New York (+1.0) + Washington (+5.0) - home field (-3.0) = Giants -1

* Giants are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games vs. the NFC.
* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

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