Over bettors sizing up Bailey's start after no-hitter
Cincinnati Reds pitcher Homer Bailey takes the mound against the Milwaukee Brewers Monday, the right-hander's first start since throwing his second career no-hitter last Tuesday.
Bailey's no-no was the majors’ 35th no-hit performance since 1999. In that span, and excluding two collective no-hitters involving more than one pitcher (Houston 2003, Seattle 2012), starters coming off a no-hitter have provided solid value to over bettors, going 19-12-1 over/under in the following appearance – 60.9 percent for the over.
Last season, MLB fans witnessed seven no-hit performances, including a no-hitter from Bailey versus the Pittsburgh Pirates on September 28. Outside of the Mariners’ no-hit group effort on June 8, the other six starters went a collective 4-2 over/under in their following trip to the mound.
Those six pitchers also recorded a 3-3 win/loss mark in those efforts. Since 1999, pitchers coming off a no-hitter have gone 19-15 in their next appearance, lasting an average of just over 5 2/3 innings and boasting a collective ERA of 4.34 in those subsequent starts.
Cincinnati is 7-9-1 over/under in Bailey’s 17 appearances this season.