What Bettors Need to Know: Stanley Cup finals Game 7

Ari Baum-Cohen writes for Illegalcurve.com.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings (-180, 5.5)

Home ice is nice

The home team has won every game this series and Pittsburgh must try to break that trend in order to win its first Stanley Cup since 1992. The Wings have only lost once at home (11-1) in this year’s playoffs.

The Wings will have last change at home, and will have the matchup advantages against Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. Detroit has done an excellent job containing Pittsburgh’s two young superstars at home. Malkin has two assists in three games in Detroit while Crosby has yet to register a point.

Goaltending

Detroit’s Chris Osgood and Pittsburgh’s Marc-Andre Fleury have played well this postseason, but both have been much better at home than on the road.

Osgood is sporting a 1.40 goals against average at the Joe Louis Arena compared to a GAA of almost a goal and a half higher on the road. 

Fleury made several spectacular stops in the third period of Game 6 to keep the Penguins in front. In Detroit, however, he has not been as fortunate. Fleury’s performance in Game 5 was not awful, but he did let in five goals. The young netminder also allowed some questionable goals in Games 1 and 2 at Detroit.

Secondary scoring

Typically this section would be about Detroit’s depth, but several Wings players have gone missing this series, most notably Marian Hossa. The All-Star forward, a perennial point-per-game player, has gone relatively unnoticed throughout the series. Jiri Hudler, Tomas Holmstrom and Daniel Cleary have all been playing below their capabilities as well.

Jordan Staal has emerged as a secondary scoring option for the Pens. Staal had a game-changing, short-handed goal in Game 4 and was responsible for the opening goal in Tuesday’s tilt. Crosby and Malkin have not registered a point in the Pens’ last two games but Pittsburgh has managed to stay alive in the series.
 
Overcoming the odds

Detroit is currently -180 to win Game 7, the most either team has been favored this series.  Home teams are 12-2 in Game 7s of Stanley Cup finals, and a road team has only won the Stanley Cup once after trailing 3-2 in the final series (1-21).

However, in sports, any team can win on any given day. Good luck, bad bounces and turnovers 180 feet from the net can be the difference between a Stanley Cup win and a summer of regret.

Other notes

- Penguins are 5-2 in their last seven games following a win.

- Red Wings are 5-1 in their last six after scoring two goals or less in their previous game.

- The under is 4-0 in Pittsburgh’s last four road games.

- The over is 8-2-2 when Pittsburgh is a road underdog of +151 to +200

- The under is 5-0 in Detroit’s last five home games.

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Posted by nuggins
5 years ago

wow oak...wtf is that...anyways....2009 STANLEY CUP CHAMPION PITTSBURGH PENGUINS!!! bank it...
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Posted by oaktownpics
5 years ago

this is a easy pick redwings go win.they go win at home because red wings are real good at home because they try harder they a little good as a vistor but i say the score go be redwings 5 and the penguins 2 and the redwings go throw a party in they locker room to because penguins is not all that they suck as a visitor team because every time they play as a visitor they go lose you not go take pengunis as your survivor because you aint go servive never take pitt as your survivor when they is a visitor team they will make you have to START OVER AND YOU DO NOT WANT TO TO START OVER AGAIN BECAUSE YOU GO HAVE TO WAIT INTIL TOMORROW AND PICK YOUR SURVIVOR AGAIN SO TAKE PENGUINS WHEN THEY AT HOME BECAUSE STARTIN OVER IS BAD AND YOU GO HAVE TO TRY TO HOPE YOUR TEAM WINS THE GAME AND GET YOUR FIRST PICK WAIT TOMORROW MAKE THE SECOND THEN YOU GO HAVE TO HOPE YOUR TEAM YOU PICKED AS YOU SURVIVOR WIN AND IT IS GO BE HARD IT IS GOING TO BE A COIN TOSS START ALL OVER AGAIN AT ZERO OR GET YOUR THIRD PICK IN AND GET LUCKY AND YOU HAVE TO HOPE YOU GET YOUR PICK IN BECAUSE YOU JUST STARTED A NEW STREAK YOU CAN NOT MISS A PICK IN THREE DAYS.SO YOU BETTER TAKE PENGUNIS WHEN THEY AT HOME NOT AS A VISITOR TEAM YOU GO HAVE TO START ALL OVER AGAIN,.BUT AS LONG AS YOU DO NOT TAKE PENGUNIS AS YOUR SURVIVOR WHEN THEY AS A VISITOR YOU SAFE BUT IF YOU TAKE THEM AS A HOME TEAM YOU GO WHEN YOU GOT TO TAKE REDWINGS TODAY BECAUSE THEY YOUR ONLY LUCK TODAY FANS.JUST INCASE YOU TAKE PENGUNIS I WILL BE ON HERE TALKIN ALL DAY INTIL THIS IS OVER BUT REDWINGS GO WIN 5-2 THATS WHAT I SAY YOU GOT TO PUT YOUR MONEY ON REDWINGS IF YOU HAVE YO MONEY IN THE BANK TAKE YOU MONEY OUT OF THE BANK AND PUT YOUR MONEY ON THE REDWINGS YOU WILL GET EVEN MORE MONEY IF YOU TAKE REDWINGS FANS YOU GOT TO TRUST ME PEOPLE THAT IS TALKIN ON THIS PROPT BECAUSE YOU MIGHT CAN NOT BREATH WIN YOU TAKE PENGUNIS BECAUSE THEY GO BREAK YOUR HART IN TO A MILLION PECIECES IN YOUR FUCKIN BODY SO PUT YOUR MONEY ON REDWINGS DO IT DO IT DO IT DO IT DO IT PLAESE DO NOT TAKE PITTSBURGH PENGUINS OVER THE MAD ANIAMLS THAT ARE HUNGARY AND HUNTING FOR FFOOD THE DETROIT RED WINGS SO REMEBER DO NOT TAKE THE PITTSBURGH PENGUNIS OR I SHOULD SAY PITTSBURGH LOSER PENGUNIS WHE N THEY AS A VISITOR ONLY TAKE THE PITTSBURGH PENGUNINS WHEN THEY ARE AT HOME THATS ONLY WHEN YOU BET ON THE PITTSBURGH PENGUNINS AND TAKE THE DERTIOT REDWINGS OR SHOULD I SAY DETROIT SNAKE REDWINGS WHEN THEY A VISITOR AND A HOME TEAM SO THATS ALL I HAVE TO SAY
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Posted by h1tz0r
5 years ago

di ck*
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Posted by h1tz0r
5 years ago

logan why are you being a person for? Maybe they edited the article as soon as somone pointed it out... Get brains dude...
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Posted by nuggins
5 years ago

GO PENS!!!
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Posted by bilsfn15
5 years ago

Unit_G...you are either a PENS fan or a Wings hater...cheap shot artists, the wings...a finess team hahahahhahaha....cheap shots, lets goin with Malkin, he has been doing some dirty crap this series...crosby with the stick to Maltby's skate at the end of game one...poor sport. well pitt will be going home without the silver again...the cup will stay in HOCKEYTOWN
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Posted by dogcity
5 years ago

hey leek, ive been tailing your picks all playoff series, and just a couple questions 1- asides from you being on pittsburgh at a +money, do you think taking pitts +1.5 has any value? 2- if you were to bet props, crosby vs zetty or malkin vs franzen ( most points ) who do you think is gunna step up big? your thoughts are always appreciated BOL
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Posted by pfly1987
5 years ago

Is crosby playing 2nite--Heard he was hurt? Whats the news?
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Posted by Joker25
5 years ago

Im a die-hard Pens fan but im just taken the under
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Posted by Joker25
5 years ago

I posted the tues nite trend for the Pens and they added to that streak hoping they add to this trend to
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Posted by Johnnypicks
5 years ago

joker. sorry but......irrelevant post...this is game 7 = WINGS!
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Posted by Joker25
5 years ago

Pens 6-0-1 last 7 Fri nite games
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Posted by Jon_Campbell
5 years ago

Unit G, if what you say about the Wings is true then you've got to give them their props. This is a veteran squad that knows how to dish it out without getting caught. And you can't call the Wings cowardly. They have met, and won, the physical battles in every series so far. Datsyuk has been throwing hits and mucking in the corners for four rounds. But if you think the jabs have only been one way, I have to disagree. Nobody has been greasier around the net than Guerin this series. As soon as there is a whistle, he takes the first cheap shot at whoever happens to be there and hasn't been called for anything. It's the finals, the players have to live with that stuff.
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Posted by Unit_G
5 years ago

One more thing. In a Stanley Cup Championship Game 7, all . . . ALL those stats go out the f_ckin' window. Let's remember that *that* is what makes these contests to entertaining when they come along. Enjoy the show.
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Posted by Unit_G
5 years ago

Just to bring thing back to Real Street: Crosby's minutes were reduced considerably in Game 6. Probably to safeguard against the Wings taking a cheapshot at both he and Malkin. And the Red Wings ARE cheapshot artists. Or, at the very least, they play a cowardly game which involves subtle trips and knocking the net off when their opposition has the puck in a scrum out in front of their net. ANYWAY. Yet the Wings' defense has been adequate, but they've had an easy go of things, as Crosby (and to a lesser extent Malkin) simply haven't been on the ice. It's probably difficult for one boxer to knock another boxer out, when that second figher isn't even in the ring.
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Posted by LeeK3
5 years ago

Nice stats and thank you for the information, but the very last one is wrong, you say the Under is 5-0 in Detroit's last five games. Maybe you mean last five HOME games but you left out the word HOME, because games 3 and 4 at the Igloo both went OVER. You may want to fix that..... or face public humiliation.
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Top Response

Posted by bilsfn15
5 years ago

"Unit_G...you are either a PENS fan or a Wings hater...cheap shot artists, the wings...a finess team hahahahhahaha....cheap shots, lets goin with Malkin, he has been doing some dirty crap this series...crosby with the stick to Maltby's skate at the en..."