NFL Power Rankings: Week 16

By Matt Fargo - Covers Expert

No surprise as the New England Patriots retain the top spot in this week's rankings. The next two sports also remain unchanged as the Broncos and Seahawks hold on to No. 2 and No. 3 respectively.

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 11-3-0
-9.5 New England
The Patriots blowout win against Miami clinched the AFC East and they can clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs with a win and Denver loss.
2 2 same 11-3-0
-8.25 Denver
Denver remains number two and can clinch a first round playoff bye with a win at Cincinnati on Monday night. 7-3 ATS L10 games on the road.
3 3 same 10-4-0
-6 Seattle
The Seahawks have won four straight games and remain a game behind the Cardinals and are at Arizona this Sunday night. 20-7-1 ATS L28 games vs. winning teams.
4 5 up 1 10-4-0
-5.25 Indianapolis
Indianapolis clinched the AFC South and is still in the mix for home field throughout the playoffs. 34-16-2 ATS L52 games after allowing less than 15 points.
5 6 up 1 8-6-0
-4.75 Kansas City
Kansas City halted its three-game losing streak and remains in the playoff picture with Pittsburgh and San Diego remaining. 11-5 ATS L16 road games.
6 7 up 1 11-3-0
-4.5 Arizona
Arizona may have won in St. Louis but it lost another quarterback and Ryan Lindley will get the start against Seattle. 13-3 ATS L16 games following a win.
7 4 down 3 10-4-0
-4.5 Green Bay
The Packers dropped three spots after a loss in Buffalo and head to Tampa Bay for their final road game of the season. 1-8 ATS L9 against losing teams.
8 8 same 9-5-0
-3.5 Baltimore
Baltimore survived a scare from Jacksonville to remain a half-game behind Cincinnati in the AFC North. 1-5-1 ATS L7 games after allowing less than 15 points.
9 11 up 2 8-6-0
-3.25 Buffalo
The Bills are still alive for a playoff berth and go to Oakland in another must win game before heading to New England. 3-10 ATS L13 after allowing less than 15 points.
10 9 down 1 7-7-0
-3.25 Miami
Miami has lost two straight games and is still mathematically alive for a playoff berth but the chances are bleak. 1-6 ATS L7 games after allowing more than 30 points.
11 10 down 1 9-5-0
-2.75 Philadelphia
The Eagles had won 10 straight regular season home game but lost their last two and they are on the outside looking in. 0-6 ATS L6 after a double-digit home loss.
12 12 same 8-6-0
-2.25 San Diego
San Diego closed its home schedule with two straight losses and end the season with two road games starting Saturday night in San Francisco. 1-8 ATS L9 games.
13 14 up 1 10-4-0
-2 Dallas
Dallas improved to 7-0 on the road and can clinch the NFC East with a win against the Colts and an Eagles loss against Washington. 1-4 ATS L5 home games.
14 13 down 1 10-4-0
-2 Detroit
Detroit has won three straight games and closes the season with two road games including the season finale at Green Bay which could decide the division.
15 19 up 4 9-4-1
-1.25 Cincinnati
The Bengals have posted three shutouts since 2006, all at Cleveland. Host Denver Monday. 6-0 ATS L6 at home against teams with a winning road record.
16 15 down 1 7-7-0
-0.5 Houston
The Texans' slim playoff chances are even slimmer now with having to use their fourth quarterback of the season. 5-1 ATS L6 after scoring less than 15 points.
17 17 same 9-5-0
-0.5 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is off consecutive road wins and hosts Kansas City in a near must win for both teams. 6-1 ATS L7 at home games against teams with a winning road record.
18 16 down 2 6-8-0
-0.25 St. Louis
The Rams hosts the Giants this week in their final home game of the season after losing Thursday against Arizona. 4-0 ATS L4 games following a loss.
19 18 down 1 7-7-0
0.75 San Francisco
San Francisco has been eliminated from the playoffs after three straight losses and the future of Jim Harbaugh is in question. 2-6 ATS L8 home games.
20 21 up 1 6-8-0
1.75 New Orleans
The Saints are now in control of their playoff destiny as they will win the division if they win their final two games. Looking to snap a four-game home losing streak.
21 23 up 2 6-8-0
2 Minnesota
Minnesota has covered four straight and seven of its last eight games heading into Miami for its last road game of the season. 4-0 ATS L4 games following a loss.
22 20 down 2 7-7-0
2.75 Cleveland
Cleveland got shutout against the Bengals in its final home game as Johnny Manziel's first career start was a disaster. 3-7-1 ATS L11 games against losing teams.
23 22 down 1 5-9-0
3 Atlanta
Like the Saints, Atlanta can control its playoff destiny as it will win the division if it wins its final two games. 5-1 ATS L6 games within the NFC South.
24 26 up 2 5-9-0
3 N.Y. Giants
The Giants have won consecutive games for the first time since early October but could be in for a letdown with the Eagles on deck. 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losing teams.
25 25 same 5-8-1
3.75 Carolina
After going winless for seven consecutive games, Carolina has won two straight and hosts the reeling Brown this Sunday. 10-4-1 ATS L15 home games.
26 24 down 2 5-9-0
4.25 Chicago
The Bears have lost the first two games of a three-game homestand and will be out for revenge against the Lions Sunday. 3-13 ATS L16 divisional games.
27 28 up 1 3-11-0
5.25 N.Y. Jets
The Jets continue to play hard despite a lost season but now face New England in their final home game. 0-10-1 ATS L11 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing.
28 27 down 1 2-12-0
6 Oakland
Oakland lost its 10th straight road game last week at Kansas City and heads home to try and play spoiler against Buffalo. 5-1 ATS L6 games following an ATS loss.
29 29 same 3-11-0
6.75 Washington
The Redskins have dropped six straight but should be motivated by hosting Philadelphia and Dallas the final two weeks. 1-8 ATS L9 games following a loss.
30 30 same 2-12-0
7 Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 0-6 at home with games remaining against Green Bay and New Orleans, both of which are in must win mode. 8-21-1 ATS L30 games in December.
31 32 up 1 2-12-0
8.25 Jacksonville
After 13 straight weeks in the basement, the Jaguars have emerged from the bottom of the rankings. They are favored for the first time this week since Week Four in 2012.
32 31 down 1 2-12-0
8.75 Tennessee
Tennessee takes the tumble to the bottom after losing its eighth straight game and heads to Jacksonville on Thursday night. 3-12-2 L17 games following a loss.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.