The 2026 Championships at Wimbledon begin on Monday, and we'll be here every day offering daily predictions and future predictions for the sport's third Grand Slam event of the season.
We've scored the Wimbledon odds and have found terrific plus-money opportunities throughout the fortnight.
Read on for our Wimbledon predictions and free tennis picks, beginning Monday, June 29.
💰 Top Wimbledon predictions for Monday, June 29
Phil Naessens Wimbledon predictions for Monday, June 29.
Best prediction: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic: Walton moneyline (+134)
Adam Walton arrives at Wimbledon in sharp grass court form, having beaten Nick Kyrgios in Mallorca last week. His grass Dominance Rating of 1.07 over the last 52 weeks outperforms Dino Prizmic's 1.01, and Walton's 9% ace rate on grass is a major weapon on this surface. Prizmic is just 1-2 on grass in his brief career and flopped in Queen's Club qualifying. Walton provides excellent value at even money.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinska: Sawangkaew moneyline (+101)
Mananchaya Sawangkaew arrives battle-hardened, surviving three grueling rounds at Roehampton, the toughest grass courts in the world, boasting a remarkable 7-2 grass record over the last 52 weeks with a DR of 1.05. Maja Chwalinska comes in cold off the Roland Garros final, is 0-1 on grass in the last 52 weeks with a DR of 0.88, and hasn't swung a racket since the clay season. Even money is a gift.
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📊 Wimbledon odds: Favorites & full field
The 2026 Championships at Wimbledon begin Monday, June 29, and end with the July 12 Gentlemen's Singles final.
Men's Wimbledon odds
| Player |  |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | -150 |
| Novak Djokovic | +733 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1567 |
| Ben Shelton | +1900 |
| Taylor Fritz | +2400 |
| Jakub Mensik | +3233 |
| Jack Draper | +3233 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +4900 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | +4900 |
| Alex de Minaur | +4900 |
Women's Wimbledon odds
| Player | |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +317 |
| Elena Rybakina | +614 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +809 |
| Iga Swiatek | +1011 |
| Coco Gauff | +1329 |
| Jessica Pegula | +1329 |
| Amanda Anisimova | +1900 |
| Iva Jovic | +2400 |
| Karolina Muchova | +2400 |
| Madison Keys | +3233 |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
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🏆 Wimbledon outright picks card
Phil Naessens' outright picks
- Outright: Ben Shelton (+1900): Ben Shelton arrives at Wimbledon as arguably the hottest player on grass in 2026. The American won Stuttgart, reached the Halle QF, and carries a 6-1 grass record this season with a DR of 1.06. His serve is a nuclear weapon on this surface, posting a 13.5% ace rate and an extraordinary 93.6% hold percentage. Ranked 6th in my Crush & Rush News Power Rankings with a favorable draw, 20/1 is exceptional value for a genuine contender.
- Outright: Aryna Sabalenka (+317): Aryna Sabalenka arrives as the undisputed world number 1, Elo ranked first with a rating of 2220, and holding a 7-2 grass record over the last 52 weeks with a DR of 1.13. Her most compelling stat is a perfect 5-0 tiebreak record on grass over that span, which is absolutely critical at a slam. With a favorable half of the draw, Anisimova struggling, and Rybakina looking shaky at just 3-3 on grass with an 0-2 tiebreak record, +317 on the tournament favorite represents outstanding value
🎾 Wimbledon 2026: Key takeaways
- COURT: Grass
- Weather: Unseasonably hot to begin the fortnight, and even warmer temperatures are expected through the final weekend.
- STORYLINE: Serena Williams returns to the tour after a four-year absence. She's a seven-time Wimbledon champion and seeks her 24th Grand Slam title. She opens her 2026 campaign against unseeded Australian Maya Joint.
🎾 Surface breakdown: Slippery when Wet!
Grass is the fastest surface in tennis and often produces results that differ dramatically from the rest of the season. The low, skidding bounce rewards players with big serves like Jannik Sinner's, aggressive first-strike tennis like Taylor Fritz's, and the ability to finish points quickly at the net like Novak Djokovic's.
Conversely, heavy topspin baseliners like Casper Ruud and defensive specialists like Francisco Cerundolo often have less time to set up their shots, making Wimbledon one of the most unpredictable Grand Slams.
Experience also plays a significant role on grass because the surface rewards precise movement and positioning. Players like Barbora Krejicova, who have consistently performed well at Wimbledon or other grass-court events, typically enjoy an advantage over opponents with stronger overall rankings but limited success on the surface.
For bettors and fans alike, recent form should always be viewed through the lens of surface specialization. Strong clay-court or hard-court results don't always translate to grass, where a dominant serve, efficient crush-and-rush tennis, and comfort on the slick footing often separate champions from the rest of the field.
Players to watch
- Men's - Player: Ben Shelton
- Women's - Player: Jessica Pegula
Player profiles to target
- Big Servers: With London experiencing a heat wave, the serve is the most important weapon in a player's arsenal.
- Return of Serve: The return of serve is the second-most important shot on grass, and a 45% or better win rate is ideal.
📢 How will Serena Williams do in her Wimbledon return?
Serena Williams couldn't have asked for a much better opening-round draw.
While there are obvious questions about how the 44-year-old will handle her first singles match in nearly four years. Kalshi has Maya Joint opening as a 58% favorite, despite having lost 13 of her last 14 matches after a promising start to the season.
That's why the markets have Serena Williams Wimbledon odds for this match so high, and if she smokes Joint, she'll have to fend off a swarm of gifted players like Iga Swiatek, Marta Kostyuk, Jasmine Paolini, and Alexandra Eala just to get out of her quarter, and that is highly unlikely.
🏥 Why is Carlos Alcaraz not participating in Wimbledon?
Carlos Alcaraz will not defend his Wimbledon title after withdrawing because of a lingering right wrist injury suffered during the clay-court season. The injury also forced him to miss the Madrid Open, the Italian Open, the French Open, and the entire grass-court swing as he continues his recovery.
Rather than risk aggravating the problem, the two-time Wimbledon champion opted to prioritize his long-term health with the goal of returning for the North American hard-court season and defending his US Open crown
📈 Odds movement & market notes
The 2026 Wimbledon futures market changed dramatically after Carlos Alcaraz withdrew with a wrist injury, leaving Jannik Sinner as the overwhelming championship favorite.
What was expected to be another Sinner-Alcaraz showdown quickly became Sinner's tournament to lose, with the markets shortening his odds to between -175 and -200. Novak Djokovic remains the second choice at around +500, while French Open champion Alexander Zverev follows in the +800 to +1100 range.
The women's market has been more competitive.
Aryna Sabalenka enters Wimbledon as the consensus favorite at approximately +300 to +340, with former champion Elena Rybakina close behind between +400 and +600. French Open winner Mirra Andreeva has emerged as a leading contender at around +700, while defending Wimbledon champion Iga Swiatek sits in the +700 to +800 range.
Serena Williams' return also sparked significant betting interest, with the seven-time Wimbledon champion opening as a +3200 long shot despite her legendary grass-court résumé.
📺 How to watch Wimbledon 2026
How to watch:
- Main television broadcast: ESPN
- Court hopping coverage: ESPN Unlimited
- Streaming: ESPN Unlimited
❓ Wimbledon 2026 FAQ
Who are the 2026 Wimbledon favorites?
World No. 1 Jannik Sinner is the overwhelming favorite to win his second consecutive Wimbledon crown, while No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is a 3/1 favorite to hoist her first Wimbledon title.
When is Wimbledon 2026?
The Championships at Wimbledon begins Monday, June 29, and ends on Sunday, July 12.
Where will Wimbledon 2026 be played?
The All England Lawn and Tennis Club, SW19, London, England.
Are Wimbledon odds the same across all sportsbooks?
No, the Wimbledon odds are not the same across all sportsbooks. That's why its important to have as many betting options as possible.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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