Cleveland 2nd AFC North11-6
Pittsburgh 3rd AFC North10-7
ESPN+, ABC

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh props

Acrisure Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
+130

The Steelers rank as the most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to notch 3.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs. Najee Harris has been among the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Najee Harris

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Steelers rank as the most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to notch 3.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs. Najee Harris has been among the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

George Pickens Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
+122
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
+122
Projection Rating

The Steelers rank as the most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to accrue 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.4% in games he has played).

George Pickens

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

The Steelers rank as the most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to accrue 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.4% in games he has played).

David Njoku Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

D. Njoku
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to garner 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among TEs. David Njoku has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among tight ends. David Njoku has been among the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

David Njoku

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to garner 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among TEs. David Njoku has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among tight ends. David Njoku has been among the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Jaylen Warren Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

J. Warren
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jaylen Warren

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.1
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.1

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Steelers rank as the most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to total 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs. Pat Freiermuth's 39.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 93rd percentile for tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The Steelers rank as the most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to total 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs. Pat Freiermuth's 39.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 93rd percentile for tight ends.

Nick Chubb Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

N. Chubb
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Nick Chubb

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.6

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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