Kentucky @ Louisville Picks & Props
UK vs LOU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Injuries have taken a major toll on the Louisville offense, and the Cardinals have lost three straight after being in the discussion for an ACC Championship spot. The offense is missing its biggest playmakers, and the defense has worn down.
Now they face a Kentucky team that has the better quarterback and a strong defense. The Wildcats have a Top 25 run defense, and the offense ranks 44th in points per quality drive.
While the Cardinals have done decently against the run, they have one of the highest missed-tackle rates in college football. That sets Kentucky up to do what Mark Stoops loves most—grind out drives on offense and wind down the clock.
Kentucky must win this game to get to a bowl, and Louisville is reeling after going from being in the driver’s seat for the ACC to losing three straight. I’ll take the more motivated team getting plus-odds in a rivalry game as the Wildcats win the Governor’s Cup.
UK vs LOU Consensus Picks
62% picking Louisville
Total Picks UK 313, LOU 514
UK vs LOU Props
Fred Farrier II Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Hardley Gilmore IV Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Cutter Boley Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Jason Patterson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
DJ Miller Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
J.J. Hester Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Braxton Jennings Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Duke Watson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Kendrick Law Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Dante Dowdell Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Jaleel Skinner Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
TreyShun Hurry Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Caullin Lacy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Nate Kurisky Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Antonio Meeks Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Kris Hughes Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Miller Moss Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Louisville
Willie Rodriguez Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Cameron Miller Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
Seth McGowan Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Kentucky
UK vs LOU Trends
Kentucky Trends
Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.22 Units / 9% ROI)
Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Kentucky has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-5.80 Units / -44% ROI)
Kentucky has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 4 away games (-4.45 Units / -100% ROI)
Kentucky has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.22 Units / -23% ROI)
Kentucky has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 4 away games (-3.00 Units / -75% ROI)
Kentucky have only covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.85 Units / -21% ROI)
Louisville Trends
Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Louisville has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Louisville has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-13.95 Units / -17% ROI)
Louisville has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games at home (-12.60 Units / -31% ROI)
Louisville have not covered the Spread in any of their last 7 games at home (-7.70 Units / -100% ROI)
Louisville have not covered the 1Q Spread in any of their last 6 games at home (-6.55 Units / -100% ROI)
Louisville has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games (-6.20 Units / -74% ROI)
UK vs LOU Top User Picks
Kentucky Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SteveA2009 | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 2 | ckope1 | 8-2-0 | +6260 |
| 3 | mjboxer | 7-3-0 | +5350 |
| 4 | lsbellmom | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 5 | checkers | 7-3-0 | +4750 |
| 6 | kensmith | 8-2-0 | +4350 |
| 7 | ACEhole_1 | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 8 | rstacey | 8-1-1 | +3800 |
| 9 | Juice66 | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 10 | april420 | 6-4-0 | +3650 |
| All Wildcats Money Leaders | |||
Louisville Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mod2323 | 10-0-0 | +7900 |
| 2 | alayne89 | 9-1-0 | +5950 |
| 3 | jwheels | 9-1-0 | +5950 |
| 4 | deweyay9 | 9-1-0 | +5750 |
| 5 | djmdthedoc | 9-1-0 | +5300 |
| 6 | VisionQ3 | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 7 | midsro49 | 9-1-0 | +4800 |
| 8 | bluorch158 | 9-1-0 | +4750 |
| 9 | gargoyle127 | 10-0-0 | +4750 |
| 10 | stakay125 | 9-1-0 | +4700 |
| All Cardinals Money Leaders | |||