Portland Trail Blazers Picks
4th in Northwest
(41 - 40)
Next Game
SA @ POR Picks
NBA Picks
De'Aaron Fox o19.5 Points Scored (-110)
In 54 games alongside Wembanyama this regular season, Fox averaged 16.5 points. In 18 games with Wembanyama sidelined, Fox averaged 24.6 points. He attempted 4.2 more shots per game without Wembanyama on the court, including two additional 3-pointers per game.
Similar to the logic of Fox scoring 8.1 points more in games without Wembanyama, Stephon Castle found 6.8 rebounds per game in eight games without the Spurs’ centerpiece, compared to just 5.1 per game in 60 games with Wembanyama. This prop could cash if Wemby plays, but looks quite likely if he does not. And unsurprisingly, San Antonio’s defensive rating spikes without Wembanyma on the court, 6.6 points worse per 100 possessions in 18 games without him. Somewhat surprisingly, the Spurs’ offensive rating does not waver.
There is value in this moneyline. A spread of +1.5 is effectively a tilted pick’em. And it is undervaluing what Wembanyama means. San Antonio was favored by 10.5 in Game 2. Adjusting for homecourt, a quick line of +4.5 would make sense on Friday night. Is Wembanyama really worth only three points? Until Portland is favored, lean into this, via spread or moneyline.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus
47% picking San Antonio vs Portland to go Under
Total PicksSA 41, POR 37
Top User Picks
More Picks'lsbellmom' picks San Antonio vs Portland to go Under (220.5)
lsbellmom is #10 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (50-30-0) and +9100 units on the season.
'saintsnola15' picks San Antonio vs Portland to go Over (220.5)
saintsnola15 is #2 on picking games that Portland is in with a record of (40-26-0) and +10900 units on the season.