Denver @ Philadelphia props

Paul Reed has converted 4.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Paul Reed will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Jamal Murray has attempted a mere 5.7 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.8 rate last year. Jamal Murray has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year. In regard to scoring, the Nuggets's unimpressive 111.6 points per game when playing away from home places 10th-worst in the league this year. The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has secured 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (saving possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

Peyton Watson has sunk 46.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 16.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one for threes; the other team has posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.5%). The Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 37.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Christian Braun has converted 47.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 8.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while playing on the road. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one for threes; the other team has posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.5%). The Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Christian Braun has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% higher than he's converted overall this season while on the road.

Compared to last year's 37.5% clip, Nicolas Batum's scoring efficiency has jumped this year to 54.0%. Relative to last season's 34.0% rate, Nicolas Batum's 3-point ability has spiked this season to 47.9%. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Tyrese Maxey has failed to make 5.1 attempts from beyond the arc per game this year, significantly more than his 3.7 rate last year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA at home this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.

The 7th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 28.2% higher than he's converted overall this year while at home. The matchup against the Nuggets is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the NBA).

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 24 games (18.4). The Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA at home this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.

Aaron Gordon has converted 69.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 12.2% more than he's converted in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 46.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 18.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 45.6% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, marking this as a good matchup. The Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

In regard to scoring, the Nuggets's unimpressive 111.6 points per game when playing away from home places 10th-worst in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 11.3 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive production. The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has secured 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (saving possessions that can create further opportunities for offense). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, struggling to draw fouls.

Nikola Jokic has converted 77.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 16.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has sunk 64.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 21.2% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one for threes; the other team has posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.5%). The number of shot attempts from the field against Joel Embiid has been quite high (12.1 per game) when on his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Tobias Harris has made 8.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Tobias Harris has played 33.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (26th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, branding this as a strong matchup. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Morris Sr. has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Patrick Beverley has gone over 4.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Reggie Jackson has not yet played a game this season.