Miami @ Utah Picks & Props

Duncan Robinson has made a whopping 3.1 three-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.7 rate last season. With respect to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of successful threes places highest in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

The most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense). Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

The Jazz check in as the least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Utah Jazz. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 41.1% of his 3-point shots this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year. With respect to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of successful threes places highest in the NBA this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Collin Sexton has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this season. The Jazz check in as the least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Utah Jazz. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Jimmy Butler has posted 19.0 points per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.4 minutes per game on the road this year. With respect to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of successful threes places highest in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a positive matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler measures in the 99th percentile for foul shots made, registering a monstrous 7.3 per game this year.

Kris Dunn has sunk 85.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 23.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season on his home court. Kris Dunn has successfully made 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 50.0% more than he's converted overall this season while on his home court. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup for offensive output. The Utah Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team has secured 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Utah Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team has secured 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense). John Collins has made 92.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's converted overall this year. John Collins should see an increase in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Simone Fontecchio has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home. The Jazz check in as the least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Utah Jazz.

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 91st percentile, totaling a whopping 21.8 points per game this year. Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. With respect to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of successful threes places highest in the NBA this year. Bam Adebayo has made 5.5 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against John Collins is a good one for getting to the foul line; when Collins is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.6 foul shots per game (86th percentile).

Jordan Clarkson has gone over 15.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Love has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kelly Olynyk has not yet played a game this season.