Memphis @ Denver Picks & Props

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have secured 12.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Ja Morant will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance for all stats.

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 96th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.2 fouls per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have notched 17.0 points per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Nuggets's unimpressive 20.7 free throws per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Desmond Bane has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Desmond Bane has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 20.4 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive productivity. The 8th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made a mere 55.0% of his shots from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 62.7 rate last season. While on the road and guarding other starting Cs, Bismack Biyombo places in the 7th percentile with a mere 0.9 threes attempted against him per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Nuggets's unimpressive 20.7 free throws per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Compared to last season's 13.8 mark, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has surged this season to 25.6 minutes per game. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; opposing squads have totaled the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (31.3). When facing other starting Cs, Nikola Jokic places in the 93rd percentile with a massive 11.0 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 8th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 66.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.9% more than he's made overall this year while at home. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 43.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have captured 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense). Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court. Reggie Jackson will likely see a rise in performance in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 49.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.4% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have captured 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The 8th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. Among all players in the NBA, Marcus Smart rates in the 85th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a a very good 89.3% rate this year. The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

John Konchar has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.