Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props

Out of all players in the league, Garrison Mathews ranks in the 15th percentile for playing time, registering a measly 11.0 minutes per game this year. Garrison Mathews has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied overall this year. This matchup is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, opposing teams have compiled the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (38.6%). The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Garrison Mathews has sunk a measly 0.0% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 91.0 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic registers in the 82nd percentile for shots away from home, totaling 13.3 per game this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 4.3 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Saddiq Bey slots into the 78th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 5.1 per game this year. Saddiq Bey has tallied 37.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are at home, the other team's starting PFs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.1 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (32.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production across the board.

Kevin Love has put up 13.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the season. Kevin Love has attempted 7.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (32.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 59.0% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 85.8% of his foul shots this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.

Tyler Herro has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have notched 15.1 points per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the Hawks, making this a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 9th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 0.2 per game this year. The number of 3-point shots sunk against Clint Capela has been very low (0.3 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 12.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (55.3%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry rates in the 87th percentile for 3-point proficiency playing at home with a an outstanding 46.0% rate this year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat. Kyle Lowry has made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season on his home court.

Trae Young has put up 33.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's put up over the course of the year. In contrast to last season's 2.2 rate, Trae Young's three-pointers made have surged this season to 3.5 per game. Among all players in the league, Trae Young rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.9 minutes per game away from home this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

De'Andre Hunter has made 59.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's converted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has made 52.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Caleb Martin has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.0 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one; when the Atlanta Hawks are on the road, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (21.1). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray measures in the 91st percentile for shots, putting up 16.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray lands in the 88th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, compiling 6.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.

Josh Richardson has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.