Chicago @ Miami Picks & Props

In comparison to last season's 0.0% mark, Orlando Robinson's 3-point prowess has jumped this season to 100.0%. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Chicago Bulls are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. In contrast to last year's 75.0% rate, Orlando Robinson's foul-shot performance has surged this year to 100.0%.

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Chicago Bulls are at home, their opposition has attempted a colossal 23.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season at home. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 14th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.8). The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Coby White has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year. Coby White stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Ayo Dosunmu has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 9.5 more than he's played overall this season at home. The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.8%). The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

In comparison to last year's 2.0 rate, Nikola Vucevic's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.5. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have put up 11.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

Caleb Martin has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season. The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). In comparison to last season's 82.7% rate, Caleb Martin's foul-shot proficiency has fallen this season to 33.3%.

Alex Caruso has made a terrific 55.2% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 48.4 mark last season. Alex Caruso has successfully made an impressive 1.6 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.9 mark last year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.4 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan has made a mere 40.4% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 50.7 rate last year. Compared to last year's 22.5% rate, DeMar DeRozan's 3-point performance has diminished this year to 12.1%. DeMar DeRozan has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%).

Compared to last season's 38.5% clip, Patrick Williams's three-point performance has spiked this season to 45.0%. Patrick Williams has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 6.9 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 27th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.9%). The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Kyle Lowry has made 55.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. Relative to last season's 94.9% rate, Kyle Lowry's free-throw efficiency has increased this season to 91.7%. Kyle Lowry should see an increase in performance across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Andre Drummond has converted 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. Andre Drummond has been on the court for 12.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the league: 18th percentile. Andre Drummond has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has averaged 51.7% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a good matchup.

Kevin Love has successfully made a terrific 44.2% of his field goals this season, quite a bit higher than his 37.9 mark last season. Kevin Love has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. In comparison to last year's 17.1 rate, Kevin Love's playing time has spiked this year to 21.4 minutes per game. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have totaled 84.1 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bulls, making this a difficult matchup.

Torrey Craig has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.