why don't you cap/bet/ gamble or whatever you wanna call it yourself? if your no good at pickin winners, find a new hobby man. if you tail guys picks and the picks don't win, your the the loser, not the guy you tailed.
WHY DO I KEEP TAILING YOU?? YOU LOST EVERY SINGLE THING THAT YOU BET TONIGHT
Losers follow losers. Nothing new.
WHY DO I KEEP TAILING YOU?? YOU LOST EVERY SINGLE THING THAT YOU BET TONIGHT
Losers follow losers. Nothing new.
I will be looking for the Arkansas total to move from currently 63.5 up to 67 or better triggering a play on the over. I will also be leaning on Arkansas to cover the number as of now hoping the line does not go down...
FUPM
Lucky has a very good point which I would like addressed as well....
KS knows better but I do not understand it either????
I will be looking for the Arkansas total to move from currently 63.5 up to 67 or better triggering a play on the over. I will also be leaning on Arkansas to cover the number as of now hoping the line does not go down...
FUPM
Lucky has a very good point which I would like addressed as well....
KS knows better but I do not understand it either????
Do you usually bet heavy during a cold run?
Dont you know, that is money management rule number 3b
Bet large when losing to make up for all losses.
Do you usually bet heavy during a cold run?
Dont you know, that is money management rule number 3b
Bet large when losing to make up for all losses.
Do you usually bet heavy during a cold run?
Do you usually bet heavy during a cold run?
Dont you know, that is money management rule number 3b
Bet large when losing to make up for all losses.
Dont you know, that is money management rule number 3b
Bet large when losing to make up for all losses.
I will be looking for the Arkansas total to move from currently 63.5 up to 67 or better triggering a play on the over. I will also be leaning on Arkansas to cover the number as of now hoping the line does not go down...
FUPM
Lucky has a very good point which I would like addressed as well....
KS knows better but I do not understand it either????
FUPM
I will be looking for the Arkansas total to move from currently 63.5 up to 67 or better triggering a play on the over. I will also be leaning on Arkansas to cover the number as of now hoping the line does not go down...
FUPM
Lucky has a very good point which I would like addressed as well....
KS knows better but I do not understand it either????
FUPM
Kansas State Vs.
Arkansas:
Questions that need accurate answers:
1)
To what extent can Arkansas limit Collin Klein’s
rushing yards?
2)
The ATS will be determined by talent on the
field, unless Bill Snyder’s strategically dominant prowess can beat the odds
once more this season; Can Snyder out-coach Bobby Petrino in this game?
Bobby Petrino: Petrino is the all-time best SEC (as we all
know; SEC is the class of Div. 1 ball) ATS coach in SEC history (yes, he beat
out Saban’s 71-53 mark rather easily—57%).
Petrino is 65-39 (69%) overall ATS, 43-27 ATS against the spread as a
favorite (61.4%). Though he is only 1-4 in Bowl games ATS. In watching Petrino over the years, I think
he is one of those coaches who pays attention to the lines and attempts to supersede
the spread to sway AP polls in his teams favor, but he is certainly not one of
the coaches that pulls back once he has a game in hand; he keeps his foot on
the gas peddle. Petrino is 3-3 SU in
Bowl games, and he is very aware that Bowl games are the ‘red ink’ on his
coaching resume, and I see him trying to replace that ink with black starting
tonight.
Bill Snyder:
Snyder would get my ‘Coach of the Year’ vote without a second thought about
it. He has taken a KST team that is 111th
ranked pass defense, , has a running back impersonating a QB, a run offense
that ranks 10th in the country simply b/c their Klein (QB) has 1099
rushing yards (but only 3.8 ypa) to lead the team (John Hubert is second in
rushing with 933, and averaging 5.0 per), the next rusher on KSU is too far
behind in attempts/yards to even discuss here.
In short, all Snyder has is a QB that will run on just about any team;
the QB option (run) is the only thing a team has to stop to beat KSU. With this team of non-stars, he has pulled
out a 10-2 SU record vs a fairly tough schedule……… Coach of the Year; hands
down.
KSU: KSU will run 6.5
of every 10 offensive plays, and over half of those plays will be QB Collin
Klein running, but he has only averaged 3.8 (for the season) per run. 2.9 plays of 10 Klein will pass for an
average of 6.95 per attempt. So, you
have one guy on this offense who will either run, or pass 63% of the time. The Ark. Defensive focus needs to be
massively focused on Klein, but how well will they be able to contain him?
Arkansas: ARK has
allowed a whopping 182 yards per game on the ground, but has improved greatly
in its last 3 games (including giving up 286 to LSU in it’s season finale) including
holding miss St. to only 2.6 ypa. All in
all, Ark has a questionable run D, which KSU will hope to take advantage
of. I wonder how KSU will fair ATS in
this one because of their clear lack of confidence in their passing game. Even getting annihilated by Oklahoma in the 2nd
half, Snyder continued to run run run, no matter how futile the effort
apparently was. Although Ark was beaten
this season only by the (arguably) top 2 teams in the country (LSU and Roll
Tide), AND those two teams are run heavy teams (as is KSU), the big difference
is they are also the #1 and #6 teams in rushing defense, and #1 and #7 in pass
defense, while KSU is ranked 49th
in rushing yards allowed, and 111th in passing yards allowed (pretty
big disparity). ARK lost ATS 5 times
this season, but vs. visiting teams they are 7-1 ATS this season (though this
is not a home game for ARK, it is about 33% closer for ARK fans to travel
to). Of the 5 teams that beat ARK ATS
this season: 4 of 5 were in the top 20 in passing yds allowed in the
nation. It appears there is a
commonality of teams that have won ATS vs ARK; they are either highly ranked in
passing D, or they are highly ranked in passing Offense: Roll
Tide (1st in passing D) , LSU (7th in passing D), Vandy
(15th in passing D), Mississippi (20th in
passing D, and Troy (17th
in passing O)… any/all teams that are not ranked in the top 20 in Passing O, or
D, Arkansas has beaten the spread by a combined total of 86.5 pts, or an
average of beating the spread by 12.5 pts.
It is also interesting to note the Arkansas vs teams not playing in the
opposing team’s home stadium (Ark is 7-1 ATS… though KSU is 5-0 ATS away from
Bill Snyder stadium)
Kansas State Vs.
Arkansas:
Questions that need accurate answers:
1)
To what extent can Arkansas limit Collin Klein’s
rushing yards?
2)
The ATS will be determined by talent on the
field, unless Bill Snyder’s strategically dominant prowess can beat the odds
once more this season; Can Snyder out-coach Bobby Petrino in this game?
Bobby Petrino: Petrino is the all-time best SEC (as we all
know; SEC is the class of Div. 1 ball) ATS coach in SEC history (yes, he beat
out Saban’s 71-53 mark rather easily—57%).
Petrino is 65-39 (69%) overall ATS, 43-27 ATS against the spread as a
favorite (61.4%). Though he is only 1-4 in Bowl games ATS. In watching Petrino over the years, I think
he is one of those coaches who pays attention to the lines and attempts to supersede
the spread to sway AP polls in his teams favor, but he is certainly not one of
the coaches that pulls back once he has a game in hand; he keeps his foot on
the gas peddle. Petrino is 3-3 SU in
Bowl games, and he is very aware that Bowl games are the ‘red ink’ on his
coaching resume, and I see him trying to replace that ink with black starting
tonight.
Bill Snyder:
Snyder would get my ‘Coach of the Year’ vote without a second thought about
it. He has taken a KST team that is 111th
ranked pass defense, , has a running back impersonating a QB, a run offense
that ranks 10th in the country simply b/c their Klein (QB) has 1099
rushing yards (but only 3.8 ypa) to lead the team (John Hubert is second in
rushing with 933, and averaging 5.0 per), the next rusher on KSU is too far
behind in attempts/yards to even discuss here.
In short, all Snyder has is a QB that will run on just about any team;
the QB option (run) is the only thing a team has to stop to beat KSU. With this team of non-stars, he has pulled
out a 10-2 SU record vs a fairly tough schedule……… Coach of the Year; hands
down.
KSU: KSU will run 6.5
of every 10 offensive plays, and over half of those plays will be QB Collin
Klein running, but he has only averaged 3.8 (for the season) per run. 2.9 plays of 10 Klein will pass for an
average of 6.95 per attempt. So, you
have one guy on this offense who will either run, or pass 63% of the time. The Ark. Defensive focus needs to be
massively focused on Klein, but how well will they be able to contain him?
Arkansas: ARK has
allowed a whopping 182 yards per game on the ground, but has improved greatly
in its last 3 games (including giving up 286 to LSU in it’s season finale) including
holding miss St. to only 2.6 ypa. All in
all, Ark has a questionable run D, which KSU will hope to take advantage
of. I wonder how KSU will fair ATS in
this one because of their clear lack of confidence in their passing game. Even getting annihilated by Oklahoma in the 2nd
half, Snyder continued to run run run, no matter how futile the effort
apparently was. Although Ark was beaten
this season only by the (arguably) top 2 teams in the country (LSU and Roll
Tide), AND those two teams are run heavy teams (as is KSU), the big difference
is they are also the #1 and #6 teams in rushing defense, and #1 and #7 in pass
defense, while KSU is ranked 49th
in rushing yards allowed, and 111th in passing yards allowed (pretty
big disparity). ARK lost ATS 5 times
this season, but vs. visiting teams they are 7-1 ATS this season (though this
is not a home game for ARK, it is about 33% closer for ARK fans to travel
to). Of the 5 teams that beat ARK ATS
this season: 4 of 5 were in the top 20 in passing yds allowed in the
nation. It appears there is a
commonality of teams that have won ATS vs ARK; they are either highly ranked in
passing D, or they are highly ranked in passing Offense: Roll
Tide (1st in passing D) , LSU (7th in passing D), Vandy
(15th in passing D), Mississippi (20th in
passing D, and Troy (17th
in passing O)… any/all teams that are not ranked in the top 20 in Passing O, or
D, Arkansas has beaten the spread by a combined total of 86.5 pts, or an
average of beating the spread by 12.5 pts.
It is also interesting to note the Arkansas vs teams not playing in the
opposing team’s home stadium (Ark is 7-1 ATS… though KSU is 5-0 ATS away from
Bill Snyder stadium)
Summary:
Both these teams are historically bad in bowl games; ARK is
12-23-1 SU, and 8-16 ATS. KSU is 6-8 SU,
and 4-10 ATS, but this matchup tends to tell a deeper story in my opinion. You have Bobby Petrino with substantially
better talent than Snyder does in this one.
Snyder needs to win this turnover margin tonight, or he has little
chance. KSU will try to run Klein, and
Petrino knows it. ARK’s entire injury
list is made up of RB’s, but ARK is going to attack KSU’s weak pass D all
night, and they will strike fast and often.
KSU will stay the course in the slow running attack no matter the
score/time on clock—they really have no choice to do anything else. KSU is not lucky, they have a 10-2 record
because they have an HC that has simply outsmarted his competition over and
over, but with a month to plan/prepare I think Petrino has had ample time to
focus his boys on containing Klein, and forcing KSU to get/stay behind and stay
there, or break the mold and attempt a passing game (which will meet devastating
opposition).
Score:
Arkansas 51 KSU 28
I locked this side in @ -7.5 yesterday for 6.6 U’s
Jumping on the Over 65 for 2 U’s as well
Summary:
Both these teams are historically bad in bowl games; ARK is
12-23-1 SU, and 8-16 ATS. KSU is 6-8 SU,
and 4-10 ATS, but this matchup tends to tell a deeper story in my opinion. You have Bobby Petrino with substantially
better talent than Snyder does in this one.
Snyder needs to win this turnover margin tonight, or he has little
chance. KSU will try to run Klein, and
Petrino knows it. ARK’s entire injury
list is made up of RB’s, but ARK is going to attack KSU’s weak pass D all
night, and they will strike fast and often.
KSU will stay the course in the slow running attack no matter the
score/time on clock—they really have no choice to do anything else. KSU is not lucky, they have a 10-2 record
because they have an HC that has simply outsmarted his competition over and
over, but with a month to plan/prepare I think Petrino has had ample time to
focus his boys on containing Klein, and forcing KSU to get/stay behind and stay
there, or break the mold and attempt a passing game (which will meet devastating
opposition).
Score:
Arkansas 51 KSU 28
I locked this side in @ -7.5 yesterday for 6.6 U’s
Jumping on the Over 65 for 2 U’s as well
Do you usually bet heavy during a cold run?
Do you usually bet heavy during a cold run?
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