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MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 83 of 119 «  81 82 83 84 85   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012
CanisMajor PM CanisMajor
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quote#2051
Posted: 6/12/2012 9:14:44 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by robbypark:

Nothing falls as official system plays tomorrow but my chases for starting tomorrow are:

-SF Giants : Astros are playing better as of late but against the solid starting pitching of the Giants, I don't think Houston could possibly sweep SF on the road.

-Baltimore Orioles: The Pirates have overachieved so far this year and their winning record is a pretty deceptive because they've been on the fortunate end of a lot of one-run games.  The Orioles are a whole other beast and more potent offensively than any team the Pirates have faced. No way the Pirates sweep the Orioles in Bal.

Detroit Tigers: Simply put, they have to win.  The huge comeback against Cinci I think has turned this club around and I see them taking 2/3 at the least in Chicago.  I sure as hell don't see the awful Cubs sweeping the Tigers

Texas Rangers: I shouldn't have to say much on this one.  There is simply no way in hell the Rangers get swept at home by the Diamondbacks.  No way in hell.

Seattle Mariners: I've followed the Mariners for years and I know exactly how bad they are.  You guys have seen me post many plays against them this year.  With this stated, as bad as they are, they are not nearly as bad as the Padres.  Seattle played San Diego last year and not only did they sweep, they flat out dominated the Padres.


Take it for what it's worth, but I haven't lost a series chase yet this year on my own personal plays.  Good luck to all!

 

+1 

MortgageMan PM MortgageMan
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quote#2052
Posted: 6/12/2012 10:48:58 AM

I don't get a chance to post much but, I do follow this thread religiously. I agree with most of Robbypark's thoughts on today's games and will chase them all except the Rangers. They have three of their starting pitchers on the DL and AZ has been streaking lately. I have been burned before chasing a team with this many injuries so, even though I normally would agree that AZ shouldn't be able to sweep Texas in Texas, I will sit back and be a fan in this series.

San Fran shouldn't have a problem beating Houston at least once in this series.

I am a huge Pirate fan and since our two best pitchers, Burnett and McDonald won't be going against the Orioles, I feel confident that Balt should be able to beat either Lincoln, Correia or Bedard. I hate to bet against my team but, I do love money!! LOL!!

The Cubs are in a downward spiral and they shouldn't be able to sweep a AAA team currently. Plus, Verlander will pitch in this sereis so, I will be chasing Detroit.

I am a little nervous chasing Seattle but, I will tail you on this one. Seattle has been swept 3 times this year...twice on the road but, only once at home against the White Sox. Plus, to make me feel better backing Seattle, the Padres haven't swept anyone this year and I don't expect them to start now.

Good luck everyone!!

bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#2053
Posted: 6/12/2012 5:20:00 PM
Strong work robbypark. Hope to Park one out with Robby!
trychome PM trychome
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quote#2054
Posted: 6/13/2012 1:41:39 AM
on that det and sea chase tomorrow! 
RealRedDragon PM RealRedDragon
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quote#2055
Posted: 6/14/2012 7:42:43 AM
LOL
When the system's finally broken down it became popular all over the World!
Check up Russian version http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_bFc7r7ByY&feature=player_embedded
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#2056
Posted: 6/14/2012 11:17:49 AM
I don't know if I have the stones to bet chase SEA for a "C" bet - anyone have any suggestions?
GeorgieLV PM GeorgieLV
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quote#2057
Posted: 6/14/2012 12:02:01 PM
going with...

06/14/12(15:45 ET)
Giants(SanFrancisco) -126 Listed
06/14/12(22:10 ET)
Padres(SanDiego) +120 Listed
06/14/12(19:05 ET)
Orioles(Baltimore) -107 Listed
06/14/12(14:20 ET)
Tigers(Detroit) -220 Listed
twodigitz PM twodigitz
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quote#2058
Posted: 6/14/2012 12:46:24 PM

B2W,

what is going on in here??? waaaaaaaaaaaay too much capping and waaaaaaaay too many discussions on tweak the system since the dodgers loss and waaaaaaaaay too many "unofficial" plays

I thought this system is based on a simple premise of good teams beating bad teams, not betting on two good teams or two bad teams and trying to "guess" the one who isnt going to get swept between the two.

I just think all the unofficial plays need to get out of this thread and start their own one with all their dgen plays.

This system WORKS but people need to be disciplined and have great money managment and if you cant afford a "c" or "d" game, maybe u need to bet smaller on the a, b, games or just not bet this system.

Obviously, we dont want any "c" games but that is what the filters are for so we can LIMIT the "c" games.

All im saying is its not a bad thing we dont have plays early in the week like this week, but if u did what robbypark did, u are now in a "c" game situation were as you could of just not be stressing at all and wait until tomorrow to see if anything shows up.

I am hoping for seattle to come through for all of u but man, seattle for a c game is just not a good feeling, and I can only imagine.

It also just does not seem smart to play 5  unofficial plays ANYTIME, you are asking for a C game or worse.

There is a guy andrew choe on twitter that posts all his plays based on his system and he did do well this week with only playing 3 out of 5 games robbvypark mentioned(he did not play seattle) but he also had some tough LOSSES already playing unofficial plays.

MY goal is to have 50 OFFICIAL plays this year that I think that wont go into a "C" game and each of those series are bet at $250, so MY goal is to hit $12500 by the seasons end. I know we will have more than 50 plays and with all these guys want to bet more series I'm sure we will easily have over 50 "official" plays again this year, If I dont like the series like the dodgers/mil the other week, I just bet those series at $25 if its a 4 game series and $50 if its a 3 game chase. I have made my own filters to give me more guidelines as to which games deserves the $250 bets.

I will be busy from today til July 15th but I hope I can come back then and possibly help out some people who went crazy with some unofficial plays that lost...

If possible, it would be great if u can get rid of all the unoffcial plays out of the thread so it would lessen up the clutter, IMO it should really only be irage and B2W who should be posting plays and official records, if you have questions, just PM one of them, I'm sure they will be more than happy to answer questions that is not already posted in this thead.

GL all and always thanks to B2W for the great system you have kindly shared with all of us!!

bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#2059
Posted: 6/14/2012 2:48:50 PM
Amen brotha! I agree with the good teams playing bad teams theory on chases my man. GL to all. Slow yr with plays and A Game wins. No problem, it will pick up.
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gbpackman PM gbpackman
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quote#2060
Posted: 6/14/2012 3:15:07 PM
The question is: Who has the BALLS to list the official plays??? hehe
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#2061
Posted: 6/14/2012 3:48:10 PM
I have a play......play with yourself and you never lose :)
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SoCal311 PM SoCal311
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quote#2062
Posted: 6/14/2012 4:51:02 PM
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#2063
Posted: 6/14/2012 8:13:05 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by gbpackman:

The question is: Who has the BALLS to list the official plays??? hehe

I DO.    

bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#2064
Posted: 6/14/2012 8:36:09 PM

http://www.wunderground.com/sports/MLB/?MR=1

Great site here. You should ALWAYS consider the wind, humidity, temperature and pressure.  I would post which stadiums are the best/worst but that would take too long.  But!!! OAK, SF and SD lousy hitters parks (dense air). Mia doesn't give up a lot of HR's but a lot of points are scored there. COL...Well, if you don't know COL stadium by now, just quit. But the wind there is VERY important too.  Blowing out to CF or so will most likely give you an OVER.  Pressure.  A low pressure lets the ball travel longer.  Anything below 30.10 is good pressure imo. 29 is optimal.  Air pressure, BTW, is the biggest factor on how far a ball will fly. All else being equal also, balls will travel FARTHER in in higher humidity (air is less dense).  Great example, Chicago. California ballparks, low elevation and dense air- low scoring. 

Do some research. 

 

SoCal311 PM SoCal311
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quote#2065
Posted: 6/14/2012 8:43:50 PM
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#2066
Posted: 6/14/2012 8:51:10 PM

One more hint on OVERS/UNDERS.....  Find what stadiums are the best for HR's, runs scored and so forth... Another website, not as great as WUNDERGROUND.COM is....

http://www.baseball-weather.com/

Don't neccessarily just take the OVER for the game...Look at TEAM TOTALS as well.  (I personally don't ever take Unders Unless there is a really GREAT reason. Too easy to hit a 3 run HR in the 1st, followed up by 2 walks and a double in the bottom half of the 1st). O/U are about 50% trend each, I know. But I hit higher than that with the Overs or Team Total Overs. 
GL and do some research. The weather has a bigger impact than you think. 

No plays tomorrow,,,,as of right now. 

 

SoCal311 PM SoCal311
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quote#2067
Posted: 6/14/2012 11:55:32 PM
B2W even though there are no offical plays are there any series that you like or has an edge this weekend? GL
joelifer PM joelifer
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quote#2068
Posted: 6/15/2012 1:44:28 AM
Why is Boston not a play with that 61 RPI over the Cubs? Game A matchup does turn me off of Red Sox though.
robbypark PM robbypark
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quote#2069
Posted: 6/15/2012 5:07:49 AM
friggin Seattle man!!!  Damn, went down a few units just on those damn Mariners.
robbypark PM robbypark
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quote#2070
Posted: 6/15/2012 5:13:04 AM
Looks like we have one OFFICIAL plays for tomorrow for the system:

-Boston Red Sox


DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#2071
Posted: 6/15/2012 9:51:31 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by robbypark:

Looks like we have one OFFICIAL plays for tomorrow for the system:

-Boston Red Sox


I would let B2W post the official plays - besides BOS is not techincially a play with the filters.

They dont' have .500 record (.492) and they have not won more than 3 in there last 10 (they only won 3)

 

bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#2072
Posted: 6/15/2012 10:38:35 AM

Boston isn't official. Filtered out like degen said. 

I don't see a whole lot of series I like to win one game as unofficial.  Nobody to me really stands out. 

Also, I posted about the weather last night, don't get fooled by the wind at Wrigley.  The O/U right now is at 9.5. The wind is blowing towards Left Field right NOW but it will switch to the 3rd base line by game time and THEN directly at 3rd base by the 5th inn or so.  Just an FYI . O/U suspect either way IMO.

da_muffinman PM da_muffinman
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quote#2073
Posted: 6/15/2012 1:18:47 PM
it's at 10 now, I'm pounding the under and the mini under 5.5
s1win21 PM s1win21
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quote#2074
Posted: 6/15/2012 10:10:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

One more hint on OVERS/UNDERS.....  Find what stadiums are the best for HR's, runs scored and so forth... Another website, not as great as WUNDERGROUND.COM is....

http://www.baseball-weather.com/

Don't neccessarily just take the OVER for the game...Look at TEAM TOTALS as well.  (I personally don't ever take Unders Unless there is a really GREAT reason. Too easy to hit a 3 run HR in the 1st, followed up by 2 walks and a double in the bottom half of the 1st). O/U are about 50% trend each, I know. But I hit higher than that with the Overs or Team Total Overs. 
GL and do some research. The weather has a bigger impact than you think. 

No plays tomorrow,,,,as of right now. 

 

Appreciate the knowledge...thanks for sharing. Was an under guy for a few years when I was pounding Peavy, Webb and Timmy Smoke on the West Coast. After getting beat up the last few years on unders I have joined the over thought process when looking at games. These garbage bullpens some teams have forced me to be extremely selective on unders.

Thanks again for the site info.

fija1001 PM fija1001
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quote#2075
Posted: 6/16/2012 5:10:09 PM

Don't neccessarily just take the OVER for the game...Look at TEAM TOTALS as well.  (I personally don't ever take Unders Unless there is a really GREAT reason. Too easy to hit a 3 run HR in the 1st, followed up by 2 walks and a double in the bottom half of the 1st). O/U are about 50% trend each, I know. But I hit higher than that with the Overs or Team Total Overs. 


LOL at you making up a 1st inning that goes horribly wrong to justify not taking a under. I can say the same damn thing about a horrible pitcher throwing  7 innings and only letting up 2 runs on a 10 1/2 o/u for you taking the over. I have no idea how this horrible thread has 2000k posts. Have there been any offical plays this year? Oh wait there were some in the first week of the season but when 2 teams lost games AB and C you made up some lame behind excuse about how you mis calculated the start date. LOL

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