Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Jokic Does it All for Nuggets

We're coming out of the long Thanksgiving weekend, but today's NBA slate is stuffed with more value than our bellies are with leftovers. Find out what three players we're targeting to shine for their teams — or ones that won't.

Nov 28, 2022 • 15:04 ET • 4 min read
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets NBA
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The NBA has 10 games on the slate for hungry basketball bettors to dig into. That means plenty of options on the table when it comes to NBA player props.

Tonight, we look to take advantage of a Hornets’ offense with absolutely no buzz when they take on the Celtics. The Joker will cause all sorts of problems for an inexperienced Rockets team, and do the Jazz have a chance to slow down DeMar DeRozan who is on another one of his patented hot streaks?

Find out all the details in my favorite NBA player prop picks for Monday, November 28.

NBA player props for November 28

Picks made on 11/28/2022 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

All bark no buzz

To put it nicely, getting buckets has been a problem for the Charlotte Hornets this season. And trying to fix that problem in Monday night’s matchup against the Boston Celtics won’t be easy.

Obviously, injuries have hampered the buzz around the Hornets this campaign, but it’s hard to imagine they would be as bad as they’ve been through the first 20 games. They rank dead last in the NBA in offensive rating and 24th in scoring. 

It hasn’t helped that Charlotte’s best players have been slumping as well, which includes Terry Rozier. The shooting guard is scoring 20.5 points per game but is shooting an ugly 38% from the field. He’s also been ice cold from 3-point range of late.

Rozier is shooting just 20.6% from beyond the arc over his last six games, hitting one three or fewer five times over that stretch.

And now, he gets a tough matchup against a Celtics team with strong perimeter defense. Boston allows the fifth-fewest 3-point attempts per game while limiting opponents to 34.9% shooting from deep. 

With Marcus Smart hounding him all game long, I’m betting Rozier doesn’t snap his cold streak and goes Under his made threes prop at nice plus money. A number he has stayed Under five times in the last six games.

Terry Rozier prop: Under 2.5 threes made (+110)

Joker and the thief

Everyone knows that two-time reigning MVP Nikola Jokic does it all for the Denver Nuggets, but that is still kind of underselling his true impact. Because the points, fancy passes, and gaudy rebounding numbers are almost a given at this point.

Part of what makes Jokic great is his high basketball IQ. It provides him with terrific court vision and in turn great anticipation, meaning he has been racking up steals. The Nuggets’ big man has averaged 1.4 steals per game over the last three seasons and his ability to pick pockets could be a problem for the Houston Rockets Monday night.

The Rockets have shown their youth in their 5-14 start and that has meant turning over the ball, a lot. Houston ranks dead last in the NBA in both turnover rate and opponent steals per game. 

Jokic has recorded multiple steals in five of his last eight games, and getting plus money for a guy who averages basically one and a half steals per game to get two against a team that gives away the ball like Santa gives away presents on Christmas feels like a gift.

Nikola Jokic prop: Over 1.5 steals (+120)

DeMar points DeBetter

DeMar DeRozan is on another one of his patented hot streaks. The Chicago Bulls' guard is averaging 32.6 points per game over his last five contests, and he’ll look to keep his rhythm going when he and his teammates visit the Utah Jazz on Monday night.

DeRozan is shooting 53.3% from the field during that stretch and has posted at least 28 points in all five of those games.

The Jazz came back down to Earth after their hot start, losing seven of their last nine games and four in a row overall. A big part of the struggles can be attributed to a struggling defense. Utah ranks 23rd in the NBA in defensive rating and 25th in opponent field goal percentage — and opposing guards have really been a problem.

The Jazz give up the seventh most points per game to opposing guards and have given up big performances recently to guards Devin Booker, Steph Curry, Norm Powell, and Reggie Jackson over the last four games. All who put up at least 27 points.

On top of that, the Jazz also struggle on the interior, giving up the most points in the paint per game in the NBA. And you know DeRozan and his mid-range weapons will be able to take advantage of that.

I’m betting that DeMar keeps his hot hand going against a Utah team on a downward trend and hits at least the 28-point mark for the sixth straight game.

DeMar DeRozan prop: Over 27.5 points (-105)

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