NBA Picks: Our Expert Moneyline Parlay Bet for January 16

Stop guessing and start tailing. We’ve crunched the numbers on tonight’s heavy hitters to create a high-value moneyline parlay.

Jon Metler - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jon Metler • Betting Analyst
Jan 16, 2026 • 11:15 ET • 4 min read
LA Clippers guard James Harden (1) shoots the ball against Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges (0).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. LA Clippers guard James Harden (1) shoots the ball against Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges (0).

Friday night in the NBA is made for big boards and even bigger payouts. I'm building a three-leg moneyline parlay for January 16, targeting a trio of squads with the momentum to carry your slip to the finish line.

First, I'm backing Joel Embiid and the Sixers to avenge their recent stumble against the Cavs. Then, I'm riding the Clippers’ four-game win streak as they head North to tame the Raptors. Finally, I'm banking on the Timberwolves to outmuscle the suddenly reeling Rockets.

This parlay has been BOOSTED by our friends at bet365. Let's get the party started with my NBA picks!

NBA moneyline parlay for January 16

Celtics 76ers moneyline

Suns Clippers moneyline

Bucks Timberwolves moneyline

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Cavaliers Cleveland Cavaliers vs 76ers Philadelphia 76ers

  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena
  • TV: ESPN, FDSN, NBCSP
  • Pick: 76ers (-125)

The market has shrunk this edge as the 76ers were -125 on the opener but there's still one there as I believe the 76ers should be trading closer to a -155 favorite on the moneyline against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday.

The Cavaliers demolished the 76ers on Wednesday but the rematch will look a lot different as Darius Garland has been ruled out for this one. This is a huge bailout for the 76ers defense, which isn't filled with multiple point of attack defenders to slow down two high usage guards that can create a ton of offense in Garland and Donovan Mitchell.

Now the 76ers defense can solely focus on Mitchell, matching the offense of Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid on the other side becomes a lot more difficult for the Cavaliers.

Clippers Los Angeles Clippers vs Raptors Toronto Raptors

  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Scotiabank Arena
  • TV: NBA League Pass, FDSN, Sportsnet
  • Pick: Clippers (-125)

The Los Angeles Clippers are trading as a -125 favorite on the moneyline against the Toronto Raptors on Friday and I'm hitting the button on that number as I believe they should be trading closer to a -150.

The Raptors defense is very vulnerable to high usage pick-and-roll ball handlers which is a massive problem when you're facing James Harden and Ivica Zubac, or when Brook Lopez is setting screens.

The Raptors have the better record and appear as the better team in this matchup on the surface, but don't get it confused. There's a reason the Clippers are favored on the road. The Clippers are much better than their record and are fourth in net rating in the NBA over their last 10 games.

Timberwolves Minnesota Timberwolves vs Rockets Houston Rockets

  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Toyota Center
  • TV: ESPN, SCHN, TSN
  • Pick: Timberwolves (+145)

No Anthony Edwards? No problem. At +145 give me the Minnesota Timberwolves on the moneyline. I think the Wolves should be trading closer to a +115 underdog than a +145.

Everything in the Houston Rockets offense flows through Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun and the Wolves have the perfect defensive matchups for these two players in Jaden McDaniels and Rudy Gobert.

It's the second night of a back-to-back for the Rockets after getting beat up by the Thunder, and let's face it, Houston is reeling a bit at the moment. Plus, do you really think Julius Randle will have any problem picking up the extra usage that's available with Ant out?

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Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, Jon naturally turned his focus to the NBA when he entered the sports betting world. With over 15 years of experience, he specializes in spreads, moneylines, and player props—always chasing value through sharp market analysis. A firm believer in analytics, Jon trusts the numbers to guide his bets. He monitors NBA betting markets 365 days a year and uses 10+ sportsbooks to find the best prices. If there are NBA games on, Jon’s up early, caffeinated, and already placing his favorite bets.

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