Tottenham Hotspur's Premier League future is on a knife-edge with relegation still a threat entering the final two weeks of the English Premier League season, according to the latest betting odds.
BetMGM lists Tottenham at +275 to be relegated, suggesting they have a 26.7% chance falling out of the top flight of English soccer.
Key Takeaways
- A big six club has only been relegated once in the Premier League era.
- Tottenham won last year’s Europa League final, but also finished 17th in the table.
- A two-point gap separates Tottenham and 18th-place West Ham United.
Tottenham and London rivals, West Ham United have been locked in a battle against the drop and to remain in the Premier League for the 2026-27 campaign.
Just two weeks ago, Tottenham found itself at -140 (58.3% chance) to be demoted to the EFL Championship. West Ham was +125 (44.4% chance).
Spurs picked a great time to produce two of their most critical results of the season, beating fifth-place Aston Villa in the first weekend of May, 2-1. They followed that up with a 1-1 draw against Leeds United, securing four points from a possible six.
West Ham — which had maintained a two-point cushion ahead of Spurs — suffered consecutive defeats during the same stretch, falling 0-3 to Brentford and 0-1 to Arsenal. Failing to improve their 36-point season total has put them two points behind Tottenham and 18th in the table, meaning they would be the last of three teams to be relegated, if the standings hold.
London Mayor, Sir Sadiq Khan, says that non-Tottenham football fans living in London should support West Ham in the relegation battle. 😶 pic.twitter.com/tvQhvU2IB0
— Spurs Army (@SpursArmyTweets) May 12, 2026
Nottingham Forest and Leeds had been flirting with a relegation battle, with odds of +1800 or longer at the end of April. They, along with 15 other teams, are now safe from the dreaded drop.
On the flip side, Burnley (21 points) and Wolverhampton Wanderers (18 points) are mathematically guaranteed to be sent down at the end of the season.
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Can Tottenham avoid relegation?
Leicester City winning the Premier League as a +50000 underdog is the largest upset in modern professional sports, much less soccer or the Premier League.
Tottenham being relegated wouldn’t be quite on the same level, but it also wouldn’t be far off.
Tottenham has only been relegated once since competitive soccer returned in 1946 following the conclusion of World War II. A 22nd-place finish in 1976-77 sent them down to the second division, only for them to achieve promotion the following year and immediately return to the top.
In the early 2010s, Tottenham was part of a group of EPL teams known as the “Big Six.” Fellow members of the informal group included Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool.
The title was used to refer to teams that perennially challenged for the league title and Champions League qualification. The clubs also had significantly more financial backing than the majority of their opponents, which helped ensure their stay atop the table.
The relegation of any big six side, even in an era in which parity has been introduced to the EPL, would be borderline unprecedented. The only big six club to suffer demotion during the Premier League era was Manchester City in 2000-01, although that was before a financial takeover that led the club’s reinvention. At that time, City were in a regular battle against the drop.
Tottenham will finish its season by visiting its rival, ninth-place Chelsea, whom they haven’t beaten since February 2023 and lost to in November, 0-1. There are +110 odds of a Chelsea victory, +225 odds for a Tottenham win, and +270 odds of a draw.
.@premierleague relegation standings:
— John Ewing (@johnewing) May 14, 2026
17. Tottenham, 38 points
18. West Ham, 36 points
Odds to be relegated at @BetMGM
▪️ West Ham -400
▪️ Tottenham +275
38% of bets (most) are on @SpursOfficial to be relegated
41% of money (most) is on @WestHam to be sent down pic.twitter.com/jAYjkNY19b
Odds have not been published for the final matchweek, during which Tottenham will host 10th-place Everton. The reverse fixture saw Tottenham secure a 3-0 win near the end of October.
West Ham finishes its season by facing 13th-place Newcastle and 14th-place Leeds.
English Premier League title odds update
With eyes of staunch supporters fixed on the bottom end of the table, there is also a race unfolding at the top.
Arsenal is a dominant -500 leader in odds to win the Premier League ahead of Man City (+350). The Gunners have a two-point advantage and control their own destiny, firmly putting the club in the driver’s seat with only two games remaining.
Manchester City has the all-important tiebreaker advantage in goal difference, albeit by just one goal. A whopping 67.1% of the handle is on Arsenal to win the league, while a leading 25% of tickets are backing City.
