Week 11 in the NFL features eight divisional showdowns, and three of the most-bet games at BetMGM involve teams sharing that kind of familiarity.
Key Takeaways
- The 49ers, Vikings, and Chiefs are heavily bet favorites in divisional matchups.
- A prime-time game between the Lions and Eagles is seeing plenty of action.
- The Dolphins are a popular pick in the final European game of 2025.
“Bettors are focused on division matchups in Week 11,” said Christian Cipollini, BetMGM trading manager. “The Vikings, 49ers, and Chiefs covering as favorites would be great for customers. A few underdogs being competitive would help the sportsbook.”
San Francisco is the most-bet team by both handle and tickets at the online sportsbook. The 49ers are 3-point favorites at NFC West opponent Arizona, and the road team is getting 89% of the bets and 93% of the money.
Minnesota, the second most-bet team by handle at BetMGM, is attracting nearly 75% of the money as a 2.5-point favorite in its NFC North matchup with the Bears. The Kansas City Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites and are receiving the second-most tickets and the third-highest handle of any team this week in an AFC West showdown against Denver.
In other divisional matchups, sportsbooks are seeing split action on Panthers-Falcons, while Bengals-Steelers has taken different routes at DraftKings and BetMGM. The Ravens (-7.5) are a popular pick to beat the Browns, and the Rams are getting a huge bulk of the money as 3-point favorites against the Seahawks.
| Week 11 Games | DraftKings Splits | BetMGM Splits |
|---|---|---|
| Commanders-Dolphins (-2.5) | MIA 77% bets MIA 80% handle |
MIA 79% bets MIA 79% handle |
| Packers-Giants (+7) | GB 68% bets GB 72% handle |
GB 71% bets GB 74% handle |
| Buccaneers-Bills (-5.5) | TB 56% bets BUF 69% handle |
BUF 58% bets BUF 72% handle |
| Texans-Titans (+6) | HOU 65% bets TEN 62% handle |
HOU 64% bets HOU 66% handle |
| Bengals-Steelers (-5.5) | CIN 60% bets CIN 54% handle |
PIT 60% bets PIT 66% handle |
| Chargers-Jaguars (+3) | LAC 74% bets LAC 63% handle |
LAC 65% bets LAC 51% handle |
| Bears-Vikings (-3) | CHI 52% bets MIN 54% handle |
MIN 61% bets MIN 64% handle |
| Panthers-Falcons (-3.5) | ATL 59% bets CAR 58% handle |
CAR 51% bets ATL 50% handle |
| Seahawks-Rams (-3) | LAR 56% bets LAR 90% handle |
LAC 61% bets LAC 76% handle |
| 49ers-Cardinals (+3) | SF 81% bets SF 86% handle |
SF 89% bets SF 93% handle |
| Ravens-Browns (+7.5) | BAL 75% bets BAL 79% handle |
BAL 62% bets BAL 56% handle |
| Chiefs-Broncos (+3.5) | KC 63% bets KC 86% handle |
KC 55% bets KC 60% handle |
| Lions-Eagles (-2.5) | DET 66% bets DET 53% handle |
DET 67% bets DET 59% handle |
| Cowboys-Raiders (+3) | DAL 79% bets DAL 81% handle |
DAL 81% bets DAL 84% handle |
Prime-time showdown
One of the most intriguing games for bettors in Week 11 is an out-of-division showdown between the Lions and Eagles. Detroit heads to Philadelphia on Sunday night in the most-bet game at BetMGM as a 2.5-point underdog.
Tickets and money are both leaning toward the Lions at DraftKings and BetMGM, but there is still enough coming in on the Eagles to keep Detroit’s percentages in the 60s.
However, the Lions are the most-bet moneyline underdog this week at BetMGM, and the over 46.5 cracks the top five most popular totals. Philadelphia receiver A.J. Brown’s 58.5 receiving yards is the operator’s most-bet player prop.
Riding the hot hand
The final NFL game in Europe for 2025 takes place early Sunday between the Commanders and Dolphins from Madrid, Spain. It’s no surprise that more than 70% of the tickets and money are on the 2.5-point favored Dolphins, who are coming off a massive outright upset of the Bills last week.
Washington, meanwhile, has lost by 20 or more points in four consecutive games, leaving just 26% of the moneyline bettors at DraftKings willing to back the underdog outright. Just 20% of the spread handle is on the Commanders.
Popular picks
The Packers (-7) are one of the five most-bet teams by handle at BetMGM against the Giants, while the Cowboys (-3) are also among that group in tickets when they face the Raiders on Monday night in Las Vegas.
Green Bay is seeing over 70% of the handle, and Dallas is seeing even more with over 80% of the money.
The Texans are expectedly seeing love as 6-point favorites in their AFC South matchup with the 1-8 Titans. At BetMGM, Houston is getting over 64% of bets and handle, but DraftKings reported Tennessee has seen 62% of the tickets so far.
Underdogs, totals
The Broncos (+170), Bears (+125), Commanders (+130), and Bucs (+200) make up the other most-bet moneyline underdogs at BetMGM.
Chiefs-Broncos under 45, Bucs-Bills under 47.5, and Ravens-Browns under 39.5 are the three most-bet totals for the operator.
