The 107th edition of the PGA Championship gets underway this week at Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina. While betting favorites often come out on top, past champions have still offered strong value for bettors.
Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship at 283-1, while Collin Morikawa won in 2020 at 31-1.
Below, I break down the PGA Championship odds and highlight two long-shot golf picks with legitimate upside to contend in the season's second major.
2025 PGA Championship longshot picks
- Daniel Berger to win outright (+10000)
- Keith Mitchell to win outright (+13000)
Picks were made on 5-13 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
PGA Championship longshot predictions
Longshot pick to win: Daniel Berger
+10000 at DraftKings
Daniel Berger enters in tremendous form. He has made the weekend in each of his past nine tournaments, gaining total strokes every time.
He's finished T30 or better in each of those events, including a runner-up performance at the WM Phoenix Open and a T3 finish at the RBC Heritage. The latter is a Signature Event, and many of the world’s top golfers also attend the popular WM Phoenix Open.
The point is Berger can compete with the world’s best, which he will need to do in this week’s major.
Everything in his bag has been working this season. Over the past nine tournaments, Berger has gained strokes putting, around the green, on approach, and off the tee in at least seven of those events.
He is one of the most accurate drivers on tour, which is essential this week with Quail Hollow’s punitive rough and narrow fairways.
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Longshot pick to win: Keith Mitchell
+13000 at DraftKings
Another golfer arriving in tremendous form is Keith Mitchell, who has made the weekend and gained total strokes in each of his past six tournaments.
Mitchell has finished inside the Top 18 in all six outings, including a runner-up performance at the Corales Puntacana Championship. While some of those tournaments featured weaker fields compared to the star-studded PGA, Mitchell has proven he can contend with the world’s best.
Not only did he finish tied for 20th at last year’s U.S. Open, but he also placed T3 at the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship. The latter is worth noting for two reasons.
First, it was a loaded event won by Rory McIlroy, and Mitchell was surrounded on the leaderboard by names such as Viktor Hovland, Bryson DeChambeau, and Xander Schauffele.
Second, the event took place at Quail Hollow Club, which hosts this week’s PGA Championship.
