Tuesday Info

ATL/IND 4 & 158.5     
LV/SEA 5.5 & 160.5

Dream covered 10 straight games and are 9-1 SU in that span. Yes we should all have been betting them. In that span are #1/#2 in offense and defensive rating, assist to turnover ratio, free throw rate allowed, turnover rate, ppg allowed, points off turnover rate allowed, 2nd chance points allowed, and ATB3 FG% allowed. More impressive Dream have covered 9 of last ten games on the road. Definitely worth a look in later rounds as a dog on the road. Fever 6-4 ATS L10 games. #1/#2 in offensive rebounding, turnovers forced, ppg, and 2nd chance points. 

Fever still  shorthanded with CC out, Sophie Cunningham, McDonald, and Colson. 

Before the game Sunday ATL is 14-6 ATS on the road and IND 11-9 at the crib. Indy 13-7 at home to the over and Dream 9-11 to the under on the road for the season. No one is talking about the Dream winning the chip. I’m not sure I trust them next round vs Aces but 10 straight covers? 9 of ten covers on the road? Huh?Can Fever overcome their dominance for a game? I played -3.5 (-120) just to sit and think on it. If you play contrarian or like dogs, are you going against 10 straight covers? This line should be -5.5 imo. I still think Dream offense can go cold sometimes. Will look at the other game tomorrow. 

Favs again. 

Aces will win the chip again. 

fever and over 

@CusDAmato1

 Aces...

@CusDAmato1

I can’t make a case for dogs round 1. Phx should have been the dog to win game 1 they choked bad. Now they go to NY who’s 17-5 at home with a spread just to win SU. I would have played GS game 2 at home  (best homecourt advantage in W) but for some reason the game is in San Jose due to some scheduling conflict. 

@CusDAmato1

I just saw Fever as a home underdog this season…

8-0 ATS (6-2 SU)

In database teams that win game 1 by 20+ are 10-1 ATS next game (11-0 SU). Lynx and Aces. 

6-5 O/U 

Since 2011 no team has won 17 games straight. Aces have won 16 straight.  

the aces have won 17 straight the last lost 8/2 111-58 against the lynx They have since beaten:

Valks 8/3

valks 8/6

storm 8/8

sun 8/10

liberty 8/13

merc 8/15

wings 8/17

dream 8/19

merc 8/21

mystic 8/23

sky 8/25

dream 8/27

lynx 9/4

sky 9/7

sky 9/9

spark 9/11

storm 9/14

Hey FREEDO I AM LEANING FOR 2 HOT TEAMS ATL LV OTHER GAMES NO PLAY$ AT THIS TIME

@Osser

I must have looked at old info. Thanks

Almost think next game could be a let down but maybe not in the playoffs with an opportunity to sweep. 

@Desertcapper

So far I played:

Lynx -10.5   
Dream -3.5   
Aces -5.5

Each to win 1u

I don’t know what’s up with Stewie’s injury so pass on that game for now. Lean Phx.

Aces L10 games top 2 in:

Offensive and defensive rating   
Assist to turnover ratio   
Points off turnovers and allowed   
Fast break points    
Paint fg% and mid range fg %
Corner 3s fg%   
ATB3s fg% and allowed (wow)

L10:   
7-3 ATS  and 10-0 SU   
Opp TT is 2-8 to the under   

Seattle L10 games top 2 in:  

turnovers forced and fast break points (that’s it lol)

L10:   
2-8 ATS and 6-4 SU   
6-3-1 to opponent TT over

Couple things stood out Storm are 5-17 ATS at home this season and 10-12 SU at home. They had a better record on the road? Huh

After looking at all this data sometimes you never know what happens in elimination games in the playoffs.