2-2, +0,3 units
Monaco/Granollers
Taking Granollers here. Monaco is overrated after he steamrolled Becker, who is not ATP level any more and clay is not his surface. Granollers is extremely erratic, he can beat Feliciano Lopez in straight sets or Albert Montanes, but lose to Copil or Sousa. One thing is for sure, this is a pure clay court clash, Monaco has a supreme clay record, but his best days are behind him. He did crush Becker, but he also lost to a very inconsistent Robredo, Donald Young (on clay?!) and Lorenzi. This is not the Monaco of 2012 when he was number 10 in the world and basically beatable on clay only by the top 10 players. It's 2 years later now, and he's past his prime. Don't get me wrong, this is tennis, Monaco is a savy veteran, he can beat Granollers easily in straight sets if everything starts going in. My concern for Monaco here is, he hasn't passed the 2nd round on clay this season, and this is indicative. Granollers will put up a fight, I'm playing the price tag here.
Granollers ML 1 unit to win 1.48 units
Granollers +2,5 2 units to win 2 units
Kohlschreiber/Gabashvili
Taking Gabashvili ATS here. All I know is, even if Kohlschreiber wins in straight sets, which I doubt since Gabashviili is a tough out nowadays, on clay, and I don't only mean that because he beat Ferrer, I see one tie break, so even a 7:6, 6:3 Kohlschreiber gets us the W here.
Gabashvili +4,5 1 unit to win 0.87 units
Melzer/Sousa
Taking the veteran in this one. Sousa has hit a wall. Not sure he can win this match, looked horribly against Kukushkin, a player he should've beaten. He has no pulse right now, I'm going for Melzer, who has been in solid form lately. Melzer wins 6:4, 6:2.
Melzer -4 1 unit to win 0.94 units
Melzer -1,5 sets 1 unit to win 0.94 units