Blooming/Nacional over 3 @-127, over 4.5 @+275 (smaller)- willing to pay the juice on this. whenever Nacional is on the road, the 'over' has to be taken consideration as a play. 4,5,5,9,4,2,7,7,6,3 are the totals in their last 10 roadies. wont go too far back but last seasons Apetura which ended jsut before winter break, there were 51 goals scored in their 11 roadies. and these numbers are similar thru the years. In the two matches since winter break ended 9 goals were scored. Blooming are no slouches either as theyve score 3+ goals in 3 of their past 5 home matches. they picked up a few decent players in thru transfter market and have 17 goals in their 4 matches since break.
Concacaf U20: another mismatch.
El Salvador -1.5 @-110
El Salvador/Bermuda over 3 @+106 - Salvador suprised many beating hosts Costa Rica in first match; they have a fairly nice group of young players. they beat one of the favorites Panama on the road back in July, and hung tough vs the USA before ceding 2-0. so that should say enough about the quality on this team. Do not be fooled by the standings, Bermuda is currently 2nd gaining a point vs Trinidad. Bermuda is not a good team, they got beaten... TWICE .... by Haiti in 2016 by identical 3-0 scores, qualified by beating minnows St. Kitts, Anguilla, and Curacao, that says it all right there. Salvadorians with a win will qualify to the next stage. this should be an easy 2-3 goal win.
UCL:
Juventus to win @+125 - for starters, just a footnote, Juve is thy favorite team. And if you ask me, they shoulda won the CL 14 out of the past 15 years. those other european teams got "lucky". :) joking aside, Im quite capable of taking off those tinted glasses and have gone against them several times this season. Porto are formidable at home, but this isnt the same Portuguese side as years past, and though Bonucci will be on the bench, I still feel Juve with the defense they have are just a level above their opponent. Theyve already beaten Lyon and Sevilla on the road, and whats impressive about those two wins was the fact that Juve won the ball possession battle in both matches. Juves #1 priority is to keep a clean sheet, which they have proven to be able to do over & over again. then, get the away goal, they know with the return leg at home it would increase their chances of advancing ten-fold because of their defense. But this doesnt mean theyre going to throw the kitchen sink forward. I fear the draw, but backing them here at these prices is great value in my mind.
Leicester +1.5 @-106 - when they got blown out by Porto and the draw announced this was one of the first matches I looked at. and in a month nothing much has changed in my mind. this may very well be a blowout to the point where the 2nd leg wont even matter, but this is why the match is played on the field and not on paper.
Leicester was 0-5-1 in their league matches directly before CL. Those very same CL matches they went 4-1-1, collecting 4 points on the road. Its HARD to get motivated vs a Watford or a Sunderland when theres CL on the horizon. and this scenario is the same throughout Europe.
Sevilla is 11-19 winning at home in Primera by 2 or more goals since the 2015/16 season. In CL theyre 2-4. Backing a team at a 1.5 Asian line whom havent really shown/proven the bright lights dont affect them is risky. But yeah, this Sevilla team are just incredible at home. Sampaoli will have these guys pressing all over the field. Sevilla may very well blow Leicester into the sea, but........... the English side arent approaching this to win, heck... probably not even to draw either. lose.....just keep it close to give themselves a fighting chance in the return leg. that bus is going to get parked right in front of the goal I fear. this is what worries me about backing Sevilla. Even when after the first goal is scored, the flow of the match wont be disrupted/changed. cuz running up and down the field with Sevilla is suicidal.
Sevilla/Leicester over 2.5 @-127 - A 2-1 scoreline wouldnt suprise me the least.but lets be honest here, IF Sevilla doesnt get stage fright, they can hit this all on their own.
Copa Lib:
Capiata/Atletico - half with most goals: 2nd @+105 - first leg ended in 3-3 draw. just a situational play where I feel goals will flow freely once again with two teams not being able to stop the other. Atletico has the luxury of sitting back and playing defense, but this has not fared well for them on the road in Lib. A goal by either side in first half will change the entire match.
Blooming/Nacional over 3 @-127, over 4.5 @+275 (smaller)- willing to pay the juice on this. whenever Nacional is on the road, the 'over' has to be taken consideration as a play. 4,5,5,9,4,2,7,7,6,3 are the totals in their last 10 roadies. wont go too far back but last seasons Apetura which ended jsut before winter break, there were 51 goals scored in their 11 roadies. and these numbers are similar thru the years. In the two matches since winter break ended 9 goals were scored. Blooming are no slouches either as theyve score 3+ goals in 3 of their past 5 home matches. they picked up a few decent players in thru transfter market and have 17 goals in their 4 matches since break.
Concacaf U20: another mismatch.
El Salvador -1.5 @-110
El Salvador/Bermuda over 3 @+106 - Salvador suprised many beating hosts Costa Rica in first match; they have a fairly nice group of young players. they beat one of the favorites Panama on the road back in July, and hung tough vs the USA before ceding 2-0. so that should say enough about the quality on this team. Do not be fooled by the standings, Bermuda is currently 2nd gaining a point vs Trinidad. Bermuda is not a good team, they got beaten... TWICE .... by Haiti in 2016 by identical 3-0 scores, qualified by beating minnows St. Kitts, Anguilla, and Curacao, that says it all right there. Salvadorians with a win will qualify to the next stage. this should be an easy 2-3 goal win.
UCL:
Juventus to win @+125 - for starters, just a footnote, Juve is thy favorite team. And if you ask me, they shoulda won the CL 14 out of the past 15 years. those other european teams got "lucky". :) joking aside, Im quite capable of taking off those tinted glasses and have gone against them several times this season. Porto are formidable at home, but this isnt the same Portuguese side as years past, and though Bonucci will be on the bench, I still feel Juve with the defense they have are just a level above their opponent. Theyve already beaten Lyon and Sevilla on the road, and whats impressive about those two wins was the fact that Juve won the ball possession battle in both matches. Juves #1 priority is to keep a clean sheet, which they have proven to be able to do over & over again. then, get the away goal, they know with the return leg at home it would increase their chances of advancing ten-fold because of their defense. But this doesnt mean theyre going to throw the kitchen sink forward. I fear the draw, but backing them here at these prices is great value in my mind.
Leicester +1.5 @-106 - when they got blown out by Porto and the draw announced this was one of the first matches I looked at. and in a month nothing much has changed in my mind. this may very well be a blowout to the point where the 2nd leg wont even matter, but this is why the match is played on the field and not on paper.
Leicester was 0-5-1 in their league matches directly before CL. Those very same CL matches they went 4-1-1, collecting 4 points on the road. Its HARD to get motivated vs a Watford or a Sunderland when theres CL on the horizon. and this scenario is the same throughout Europe.
Sevilla is 11-19 winning at home in Primera by 2 or more goals since the 2015/16 season. In CL theyre 2-4. Backing a team at a 1.5 Asian line whom havent really shown/proven the bright lights dont affect them is risky. But yeah, this Sevilla team are just incredible at home. Sampaoli will have these guys pressing all over the field. Sevilla may very well blow Leicester into the sea, but........... the English side arent approaching this to win, heck... probably not even to draw either. lose.....just keep it close to give themselves a fighting chance in the return leg. that bus is going to get parked right in front of the goal I fear. this is what worries me about backing Sevilla. Even when after the first goal is scored, the flow of the match wont be disrupted/changed. cuz running up and down the field with Sevilla is suicidal.
Sevilla/Leicester over 2.5 @-127 - A 2-1 scoreline wouldnt suprise me the least.but lets be honest here, IF Sevilla doesnt get stage fright, they can hit this all on their own.
Copa Lib:
Capiata/Atletico - half with most goals: 2nd @+105 - first leg ended in 3-3 draw. just a situational play where I feel goals will flow freely once again with two teams not being able to stop the other. Atletico has the luxury of sitting back and playing defense, but this has not fared well for them on the road in Lib. A goal by either side in first half will change the entire match.
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