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@Bridge1 Great job this year Bridge1, I tailed you for some additional picks (very sporadic Week 3-7 or so) and had some nice 7-3 days, etc. Incredible work. I only bet 2-3-4 games so you doubled some of my output : ) |
Bridge1 | 183 |
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@Bridge1 Totally agree... i think people had time to see all that Florida was missing AND losing SEC Championship. I was a hard pass on that game until I saw Best TE in country out, #1-#4 receivers out... then a few of their better Defenders in a shitty D.... that was easy money. (I got it the night before at -3.5) San Jose St. hid that really well until the last moment. Not enough time but if that news goes out 1-2 days before.. i bet that line goes down to -3 or even. I had no skin in the game personally but I would have been all over Ball State ML with that knowledge. I don't know small schools well enough for standard bets but I do know to kick a team when it's down : )
I had Texas, then Oklahoma. Now that money has rolled into Alabama 1st H and Texas AM.
Best of Luck on your Bowl Season. |
Bridge1 | 183 |
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replied to
Ball State was consistently the most undervalued team of the NCAA Football season.
in College Football @OverAmbassador Really, statistically a good mid major team and they covered every spread this year.... reading is fundamental. 20-30 min before game San Jose State declared several of the good players out and they didn't have there OC or DC available... I didn't have a side but man, +260 on Ball State would have been a great bet with that knowledge : ) |
FRANKtheBANKss | 39 |
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@Bridge1 " shoulda been lower total... whatev.. BOOM! " I think the oddsmakers would have completely changed this line had they known 3-4 of San Jose State's best players and the OC and DC were out today. If I were in Vegas that ML on Ball State would have been awesome at +260 or so... |
Bridge1 | 183 |
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replied to
Ball State was consistently the most undervalued team of the NCAA Football season.
in College Football San Jose was a great bet all year and I did not have a side in the Bowl Game but .... you might want to look at San Jose State press release about 20 min or so before game. I was on Oklahoma so it feels good depending on what side you picked : ) |
FRANKtheBANKss | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS: San Jose St can throw the ball (25th in nation), and can play decent run defense (58th)....theyve already played Wazzu, Oregon and Hawaii so theyve seen decent cometition and have been at home since Sept 15th.....Army has looked stellar pounding Buffalo and nearly beating OU.....but the by week usually slows momentum, and thisnis their 3rd road game in a month....This will be the best defense theyve seen since week 1 when Duke held them to 14 points.I think SJST can get some stops, and am pretty sure they will be able to move the ball.....SJST ML in a parlay is callin my name.....that game didn’t catch my eye but it’s being moved up to very early start time for Spartans meaning no fans You like it because travel or trading scores or what? I’m listening
You both are awesome on this thread but I'd caution any money on SJST... Army is no joke this year. They play some decent pass defense (Oklahoma and Liberty) If you look at that Buffalo game, they spotted Buffalo and easy score. I think a fifty yarder, then got intercepted, the Army D stiffened up, then Army routed them. They play with poise and they have won me some cash. (Oklahoma and Buffalo) San Jose is no Duke. BOL!
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WahooS | 417 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:
I think it was 23.5 or 24 Yes. It had moved to 24 near game time.
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zoso729 | 5 |
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Haven't had much time but I did well in Week 2 & 3 with Bama, Vandy... bad bet Week 2 on South Carolina, etc. bet early Tues & Wed:
Georgia -14 VT -27.5 Memphis -30 Ohio State -36 Army +32 have some others got to go! |
sexyllama | 21 |
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PUSH (Akron) @ Nebraska -21 (North Carolina) @ California -5 -5.5 Wyoming @ (New Mexico State) (texas state) @ RUTGERS -17 WASHINGTON +3 @ (auburn) (bowling green) @ OREGON -29.5 (colorado state) @ COLORADO -5.5 MICHIGAN -1.5 @ (notre dame) ALA / LOU OVER 54 Thanks JimmydaFreak
6 Wins 2 Losses 1 Push/Draw |
sexyllama | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Stockman1:
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak: Opening and current line at sportsbooks:5Dimes: 21.5Pinnacle: 21.5Bovada: 21.5Bookmaker: 21.5BetOnline: 21.5Bet365: 21.5Think you get the point..1st play of the season: Wyoming @ NMSU UNDER 23 (1st Half) Both team are replacing their best offensive players in program history - RB Larry Rose, III for NMSU, and Josh Allen for Wyoming. Both teams will be breaking in new QBs, and defense appears to be the strength of both. Wyoming is also dealing with multiple injuries along the offensive line which I would think would hamper their offensive production, and probably make their +43 in the chart above countefeit.Let's start this season off with a nice win! It's 22.5 to 23 at various sportsbooks in Vegas? I don't understand your point? My buddy just got it 23u at CG Tech.
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jimmydafreak | 125 |
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(Akron) @ Nebraska -21 (North Carolina) @ California -5
-5.5 Wyoming @ (New Mexico State) (texas state) @ RUTGERS -17 WASHINGTON +3 @ (auburn) (bowling green) @ OREGON -29.5 (colorado state) @ COLORADO -5.5 MICHIGAN -1.5 @ (notre dame)
ALA / LOU OVER 54 |
sexyllama | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
Louisville/Alabama OVER 53, or whatever the number is.
Jimmy! I was looking at Alabama but I was worried that Louisville will not score any ; ) Seriously, Alabama is a machine on Week 1. Neutral Field with a new QB? I had that game 38-13 but I thought I was being generous for Louisville. This definitely has that 2016 USC feel... soft team coming to play SEC. If I get back I'll look into the over... looking at my sheets and numbers, I might be underestimating Alabama offense vs. a super soft defense. Llama
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sexyllama | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:
sexyllama good luck this year. I'm on Ohio State and Nebraska. Took ND +2.5. Big Michigan fan here and maybe I'm too hard on the Wolverines. The defense should really be outstanding. O-line still a big question mark in pass protection. Should be a hellava game!
Thanks man. Ohio State line was just taken off the board the morning I arrived, I might have a friend place a bet because I think Ohio State stops Oregon State. (I like nothing about that team this year. My OL, WR, DL, LB, yards per play, etc. absolutely hate Oregon State : ) Love the new coach though. He just needs a few years. I'm not a fan of any team in terms of betting : ) Michigan just got Ed Warinner and he's a pretty legit coach if you look at his improvements from Ohio State, Notre Dame, Minnesota, etc. They were super young last year and I hated the Michigan QBs (50% comp in college is horrible.) Good luck and hopefully Michigan wins by a Safety : ) Llama
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sexyllama | 21 |
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Got these a few weeks ago and I've been on vacation: -5.5 Wyoming @ (New Mexico State) Wyoming has a great defense for their conference. NMS lost a bunch of important cogs and their defense have never been stout. I went with Bohls here, I think Wyoming will have a really good team for their weight class. Wyoming by 13. (Akron) @ Nebraska -21 Got this and Cal as I was flying through Vegas 2-3 weeks before the other bets. I think Nebraska will be much improved and Akron is rebuilding. Love Frost and the spot here. I think NEB will try to get to 50+ so NEB by 28-31. (North Carolina) @ California -5 Another lucky bet. As long as CAL is focused they will cover. I think NC just a ton of players for selling sneakers after the bet. Programs going in different directions. (texas state) @ RUTGERS -17 I'm just going off my spreadsheet here. Texas State has a few back but overall was just bad in key areas Offensive and Defensive Line. I think RUTGERS will keep the starters in and win by 28 or so. WASHINGTON +3 @ (auburn) I think WA is a little underrated and this will be a close game. I think WA gets over the hump this year and while I like both QB's I think the injuries will tilt towards WA. Should be a tough Defensive game. WA by 7 (bowling green) @ OREGON -29.5 Another spreadsheet bet. Bowling Green is not good. I think alot of people say they scored some points at the end of the year but they also gave up 66 and I think around 40 to BUFFALO. Oregon will put up 60 and I don't think the defense will give up more than 20. ORE by 40. (colorado state) @ COLORADO -5.5 CS has a young team and they are not good on defense. Buffs have a tough division but I think they outclass CS by 10 or so points. QB, DB's, WR, RB... I think they will be just more improved over all. (at least that what my spreadsheet thinks : ) MICHIGAN -1.5 @ (notre dame) I think these are two teams that are the opposite of last year. ND has a good amount back but coaching changes and a QB I do not like at all. (50% comp) Michigan had a complete rebuild last year and a QB that I like (people bring up his stats but look at the teams he played and watch the tape he's a gamer) This one will be close like but I like MICH team in this spot. MICH by 7. |
sexyllama | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheBallDontLie:
Jake Luton (Oregon St. qb) is a senior and was their starter a year ago before getting injured. Not new. With that said I still like Ohio State. I guess we can go with non-experienced starter. He's was a senior that started "4" games in 2017. He had 78 attempts in 2015 for Idaho. |
sexyllama | 21 |
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(Akron) @ Nebraska -21 (North Carolina) @ California -5
Looking into: bowling green @ OREGON -29 oregon state @ OHIO STATE -38 north carolina @ CALIFORNIA -6 central michigan @ KENTUCKY -17 WASHINGTON +3 @ auburn idaho @ FRESNO STATE - texas state @ RUTGERS -17 louisville @ ALABAMA -25
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sexyllama | 21 |
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My mistake Ohio State is definitely -38. Oregon St. is just going to be bad for a few years. No recruiting. No Depth. New QB / RB, going to the Shoe vs. loaded Ohio St. team.
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sexyllama | 21 |
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I was in Vegas a few weeks ago and I'll be back in early August to finish off Week 1 of CFB. Picked a few up early:
(Akron) @ Nebraska -21 (North Carolina) @ California -5
Like: (bowling green) @ Oregon - 29 (oregon state) @ Ohio State -28
Looking at the Dogs now..
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sexyllama | 21 |
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Did pretty good WEEK 1 and the last few weeks.
Week 6 Auburn -22 Miami -3 Notre Dame -14 Miami Ohio -15 Western Michigan -6.5 Colorado St -8 Marshall -15 Alabama -26 Fresno St -16 SMU +7 |
sexyllama | 9 |
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After a lot more research:
1. BC 2. Notre Dame 3. Georgia 4. Nevada I'll probably add a few more dogs in there. I like South Carolina but NC State is probably returning one of there better teams and SC is still a wild card until I see more consistency. |
sexyllama | 9 |
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