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I have since learned that out of state wagering on Fonner Park is almost impossible as Nebraska is refusing to join HISA and is now not available outside the state of Nebraska. (That's why cheats like Diodoro, who is now banned most everywhere, is able to run horses there.) As a result, and since I can't get a bet down myself on the race, the Fonner Park play is dropped. (You know what that means; the horse will probably win.) |
Griswold1 | 2 |
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YTD: -$240.48
2023:+$267.92
Woodbine Race 6 $9 to win place and show on #4 Lady Onyx (7-2 program odds)
Churchill Downs Race 2 $9 to win place and show on #3 Beer With Ice (4-1)
Fonner Park Race 9 $9 to win place and show on #5 Velocitor (9-2)
Santa Anita Race 8 $9 to win place and show on #3 Syntactic (4-1) |
Griswold1 | 2 |
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Playoffs YTD 1-2 -1.43 units
1* Pacers +1 Indiana had a terrible first half in Game 1 as it didn't dawn on Carlisle to double team Lillard. But after a half time adjustment in which Indy put two men on Lillard, he went scoreless in the second half after scoring 35 in the first half. The strategy worked and Indiana came from down 30 to make a game of it. Milwaukee doesn't have enough scoring weapons without Giannis if Lillard is again neutralized. Halliburton was atrocious in game one and I expect a big rebound here. Game 1 losers often play much better in Game 2 |
Griswold1 | 2 |
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YTD: -$180.48 2023: +$267.92
Gulfstream Park Race 2 $12 to win place and show on #7 Darth (10-1 program odds)
Oaklawn Park Race 9 $8 to win place and show on #8 Count Dracula (12-1) |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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Several of these games are playable and, unlike seven-game series where some teams "need" to win more than others, the play-in games are existential for teams and variables like motivation, etc., can be ignored. I'm playing money lines in all of these rather than the spread as the Mrs are all reasonable for teams that seem like very likely winners. Anyway.....
Tuesday: 1* Pelicans ML -113 The Lakers have been on fumes all year desperately trying to make the playoffs while New Orleans coasted at times. There's more upside to the Pelicans and while the Lakers actually have more overall talent, it doesn't always sync and Lebron and AD don't always utilize their teammates. When Zion is healthy, he's dominant.
1* Warriors ML -130 Home court advantage is overrated in the NBA playoffs and I simply don't factor it in. But it's hard not to note that GS this year (unlike the past) is excellent on the road and Sacramento isn't that good at home. Warriors were 27-14 ATS on the road this year and 25-16 SU. The Kings were 18-23 ATS at home. Old and dysfunctional as they are, GS simply has more talent. The loser is eliminated and while GS isn't a title contender they are good enough to stay alive, potentially setting up a survival match-up with the Lakers.
Wednesday: 1* Sixers ML -188 I don't want to mess around with points here and while 188 seems a lot to lay, the Sixers are right now way better than Miami. Embid is back and when Philly is at least mostly healthy it is an elite team. Miami, as usual, dogged it during the entire regular season but I'm not sure Butler can just turn it on this year as he has done in past years in the post-season. Miami's best chance at making the final eight will be in the next game when they play either of two really crappy teams, the Bulls or Hawks. |
Griswold1 | 6 |
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YTD: -$195.39 2023: +$267.92
Gulfstream Park Race 2 $10 to win place and show on #1 My Lady James (10-1 program odds)
Keeneland Race 10 Gr. 3 Lexington $9 to win place and show on #8 Encino (5-1) |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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YTD: -$161.30 2023: +$267.92
Aqueduct Race 10 Gr. 2 Wood Memorial $9 to win place and show on #9 Tuscan Sky (4-1 program odds)
$20 to win on #2 Mirinda (8-5)
Keeneland Race 10 Gr. 1 Blue Grass Stakes $9 to win place and show on #6 Just a Touch |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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#11 is scratched in GP R4 switch the wager to $9 to win place and show on #1 |
Griswold1 | 3 |
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YTD: -$89.30 2023: +$267.92
Meydan Race 6 Gr. 1 Dubai Golden Shaheen $9 to win and place on #12 Run Classic (17-1 program odds)
Gulfstream Park Race 4 $7 to win place and show on #1 Rotterdam (4-1) and #11 Napoleonic War (9-2) $2 exacta box 1-11
Gulfstream Park Race 7 Gr. 3 Ghostzapper $9 to win place and show on #1 Lure Him In (6-1)
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Griswold1 | 3 |
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YTD 0-4 -4.4 units
Only four games ton right but all involve marquee teams. Time for me to find a win:
1* Heat +2 Golden State is playing crappy again after appearing to get its act together. Warriors are 3-6 SU their last nine. Miami is predictably getting it together in a typical late-season push and Jimmy Butler is actually going to play tonight. True, other Heat players are out with their "injuries" but Miami is at home, coming off a 37-point beatdown of the Cavs, is playing with rest and doesn't play again until Friday.
Pelicans +1 1/2 OKC was awful, scoring only 93 two nights ago in Milwaukee despite having everybody healthy. Pelicans are finally healthy themselves and are on a 9-2 SU run.
Opinion only:
Line to keep an eye on: Bucks-Lakers. Lebron always seems to find an injury when playing against the Bucks. Don't be shocked if James sits this one out as Lakers rest for a more winnable game. Bucks currently -8 1/2. |
Griswold1 | 2 |
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YTD: -$150.50 2023: +$267.92
Turfway Park Race 8 $9 to win place and show on #7 Trikari (10-1 program odds)
Turfway Park Race 11 $9 to win place and show on #8 Pink Polkadots (6-1)
Oaklawn Park Race 9 Gr. 3 Essen Handicap $12 to win and place on #9 First Mission (5-2) |
Griswold1 | 3 |
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YTD: -$153.50 2023: +$267.92
Oaklawn Park Race 1 $10 to win place and show on #1 Big Swede (4-1 program odds)
Gulfstream Park Race 12 $10 to win place and show on #1 Better Bet (7-2)(TURF ONLY) |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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YTD: -$123.50 2023:+ $267.92
Tampa Bay Downs Race 11 Gr. 3 Tampa Bay Derby $10 to win place and show on #10 Sturdy (8-1 program odds)
Oaklawn Park Race 9 Gr. 2 Azeri $10 to win place and show on #8 Shotgun Hottie (8-1) |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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YTD: -$152.80 2023: +$267.92
Aqueduct Race 4 $9 to win place and show on #3 Jackson's Dixie (9=2 program odds) $14 to win place and show on #10 R Cali Kim (7-2)(TURF ONLY) Gulfstream Park Race 13 Gr. 3 Honey Fox $9 to win place and show on #7 For the Flag (8-1)(TURF ONLY)
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Griswold1 | 1 |
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YTD: -$104.80 2023: +$267.92
Gulfstream Park Race 7 $9 to win place and show on #7 Royal Dame (6-1 program odds)
Gulfstream Park Race 11 $7 to win place and show on #10 Dean Delivers (5-1) |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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A much bigger issue for Shanahan and his defense was how the receiver only had to run by a frozen linebacker to be WIDE OPEN. KC clearly saw something in the SF coverage to know SF would either blow the assignment or not provide coverage. |
NONEED4LUCK | 19 |
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The reason nobody knew it is we had two weeks of pre-game hype focusing on Taylor Swift and not on something that matters like the change in strategy with the new OT rules.
I don't think CBS explained it well enough during the broadcast either. On the other hand, the rule change was discussed a lot when it was passed. That the post-season is different than regular season.
The bigger question would have been what KC would have done had it been fourth down. |
NONEED4LUCK | 19 |
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Most have this WRONG.
It is NOT college where you get equal possessions. After the first two possessions, the NEXT score wins. So if is a three possession OT, the team getting the ball first gets two possessions.
Imagine an MLB extra inning game in which after the tenth inning, the first team that scores wins. You could score in top of 11th and game would end. Everybody would want to bat first. |
Jerseyboy89 | 64 |
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Final season record:
Won the 1* side Lost the 1/2* prop Won the unrated opinion |
Griswold1 | 12 |
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YTD: -$95.90 2023: +$267.92
Gulfstream Park Race 9 $8 to win place and show on #1 Heaven Street (6-1 program odds)(TURF ONLY)
Gulfstream Park Race 12 $10 to win place and show on #2 Hari (8-1) |
Griswold1 | 1 |
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