However this afternoon with things going back and forth like they usually do the gambling gods showed me 1 final reason why i am done with gambling:
Kansas City @ Jacksonville
I had the Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 this afternoon in a 4/4 parlay and in a single bet. I went 2/3 with the parlay with 1 game still to go but it was the Jags that cost me. So here is how things went down.
All game long Jacksonville controlled the game offensively, defensively and on special teams. They got to Matt Cassel over and over again , the Jags run game was working and Gerrard was getting time to throw. The Jaguars led by a score of 24-6 with about 2:40 to go in the game. That is a 17 Point lead so I had lots of room to work with.
The chiefs got the ball around mid field and immediately had 2 quick sacks that put them on a 3rd and 19. The Chiefs who had 6 points at this time in the game and looked awful immediate again on a 3rd and 19 Cassel hooked up with Chris Chambers who has been on the team for 2 days, for a 51 yard TD. The chiefs had cut the lead to 24-13. I didn't care at this point as I still had an 11 point lead with 2:32 to go in the game.
Of course the Chiefs decided to go for the onside kick. Now we all know how rare it is to recover the onside kick. Well yes you guess it the Chiefs recovered. Still at this point i figured I was going to be fine as I didn't believe the Chiefs could actually drive down the field again.
So the Chiefs picked up a quck 40 yards with a few passes and at the 2 Minute Warning were on the Jaguars 45. After the 2 Minute warning the cassel through 2 awful passes and the Chiefs were in 3rd and 10. Cassel ended up picking up the 3rd down conversation and got down to the Jags 20.
Again the Chiefs dont do anything on 1st and 2nd down and on 3rd down and 15 this time because cassel was sacked once again, cassel throws a ball that wasn't even close to a reciever, bringing up 4th and 15 and making the chiefs go for a FG to make it an 8 pt game.
However, hold on , wait , out comes the yellow flag really late. Defensive holding on the Jags 5 yard penalty automatic frist down. So now the Chiefs are down to the Jags 15 and again end up picking up another 1st down on a 3rd down attempt. This time it was about a 3rd and 6.
Finally the Chiefs have 1st and goal with about 1:15 to go. On 1st down the Chiefs do nothing. 2nd down comes and the Jags player goes to intercept the pass has it in his hands and collides with another Jags player and the ball pops out and the Chiefs catch another break. On 3rd and goal the Chiefs pop it in but wait their is a flag on the play. Cassel scrambled for a good 5-7 seconds before he made the pass to Chambers for the TD. So with all the jaguars players pointing that its holding on the offence it turns out the penalty was offsides on jacksonville and the TD stand. The chiefs hit the 2 point conversion then and make it 24-21.
The chiefs then go onside kick agian dont get it .
Final Score Jacksonville 24 Kansas City 21
I get fucked out of the straight bet and the parlay quite possibly pending the eagles tonight. The chiefs who's offence is awful score 2 TD's. both on 3rd and 19 and 3rd and goal after 2 penalties saved them all in 1:21 when they didnt do anything all game long.
After the game i just had to try and laugh it off but then I realized that " everything happens for a reason " and I knew it was the gambling gods reminding me to just give up on gambling because no matter how much you study games or cap games or like games.
Ultimately it's a guessing game whether or not you are going to hit the bet or not and its not the players everytime that are going to win or lose the game for you. It's those damn people wearing the stripes.
I wish all of you the best of luck who are in sportsbooks and i am continue this competition of course.
However, Jacked up J-Foll is officially done with sports betting for a long period of time.
It's time to just get back to enjoying watching sports ! ! !