Let's see if we can break out of this horrible slump.
Penguins + 145 1 Unit ============ I just think the price is a tad to high.
Oilers - 120 3-Way 1/2 Unit ======= The Wild have owned the Oilers recently. 9-1 in their last 10 games. But the Bruins owned the Sabres yesterday & we all know how that went. I think this is just a decent scheduling for the Oilers who are starting to play back to last year's form.
Player Prop
Aaron Ekblad Over 2.5 Shots +110 1/2 Unit ==== Will he get there? But the EV is definitely positive. That I know
If things do not turn around tonight, I'm going have to go back to only playing games with LARGE advantages. Fingers crossed.
BOL!
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Let's see if we can break out of this horrible slump.
Penguins + 145 1 Unit ============ I just think the price is a tad to high.
Oilers - 120 3-Way 1/2 Unit ======= The Wild have owned the Oilers recently. 9-1 in their last 10 games. But the Bruins owned the Sabres yesterday & we all know how that went. I think this is just a decent scheduling for the Oilers who are starting to play back to last year's form.
Player Prop
Aaron Ekblad Over 2.5 Shots +110 1/2 Unit ==== Will he get there? But the EV is definitely positive. That I know
If things do not turn around tonight, I'm going have to go back to only playing games with LARGE advantages. Fingers crossed.
If 1-2 is the right path, I'd hate to see what the wrong path is. It looks like I'm just going to have to post wagers that I feel there is a significant edge on. Player props are too much of a crap shoot it seems. Ekblad averages 2.88 SOG this year. We get + money on 2.5 & he only can muster a lousy 1 SOG, when practically all his team-mates easily surpassed the 2.5 SOG mark. It's just bad luck. Last year I went through a similar cold run, but still wound up the season at 57% winners. So, I'm not worried. Keep the faith!
1
@Merle_iv
If 1-2 is the right path, I'd hate to see what the wrong path is. It looks like I'm just going to have to post wagers that I feel there is a significant edge on. Player props are too much of a crap shoot it seems. Ekblad averages 2.88 SOG this year. We get + money on 2.5 & he only can muster a lousy 1 SOG, when practically all his team-mates easily surpassed the 2.5 SOG mark. It's just bad luck. Last year I went through a similar cold run, but still wound up the season at 57% winners. So, I'm not worried. Keep the faith!
Did you look at his matchup and history though? He was 5/9 this year coming in and PIT gives up the 6th least shots to Defensemen. He's also on 2nd Powerplay unit and PIT doesn't give up many Powerplay opportunities so he's not likely to get any powerplay shots. Idk what your process is but I like to look at history and matchup primarily. This would be a no bet after seeing 6th least shots allowed, no further research needed.
1
@Redlad
Did you look at his matchup and history though? He was 5/9 this year coming in and PIT gives up the 6th least shots to Defensemen. He's also on 2nd Powerplay unit and PIT doesn't give up many Powerplay opportunities so he's not likely to get any powerplay shots. Idk what your process is but I like to look at history and matchup primarily. This would be a no bet after seeing 6th least shots allowed, no further research needed.
Kings-Islanders Under 6 - 110 ========= Simply a numbers play for me. I made the Total 5.5 Over
Kraken Even The Kraken (much like myself) have been extremely unlucky in their last few games. Dominated the statistics, but could not find the back of the net. I expect their luck to change tonight.
BOL!
1
Kings-Islanders Under 6 - 110 ========= Simply a numbers play for me. I made the Total 5.5 Over
Kraken Even The Kraken (much like myself) have been extremely unlucky in their last few games. Dominated the statistics, but could not find the back of the net. I expect their luck to change tonight.
Yes, The Kraken managed to blow a perfect day for me giving up a terrible goal in OT after having a man advantage. Which means they'll probably win tonight, but I'm sick of them outplaying their opponents but still finding a way to lose. I refuse to waste any more money on a team who blows easy wins.
Only 1 official play
Sharks-Golden-Knights Under 6 Goals Even
Best Of Luck!
1
@Wonka
Yes, The Kraken managed to blow a perfect day for me giving up a terrible goal in OT after having a man advantage. Which means they'll probably win tonight, but I'm sick of them outplaying their opponents but still finding a way to lose. I refuse to waste any more money on a team who blows easy wins.
Yesterday 0-2 YTD 59W 54L + $705 ==== I'm still in the black for the year.
Here's how yesterday went. I go to the Ranger game and watch my Rangers completely dominate a Kings squad who had been terrific on the road. So, I'm feeling good. Until I got home & watched the Sharks-Golden-Knights 3rd period. I am on Under 6 & - 190 3-Way with Vegas. Vegas is leading 4-2 with under 4 minutes to play in the game. So, I'm hoping the Sharks don't pull their goalie and give Vegas a cheap last minute goal to ruin my total play. However I know that Vegas can't possibly not win in regulation time. I mean the odds are at least 500 to 1 in my favor. And I eat & drink probabilities. So. naturally I know what's coming because of the recent hard luck I've been experiencing as of late. And remember it's the horrid SHARKS! Bang they score to ruin the total wager, but Vegas won't let them score another goal in the last minute, will they? Of course they will, so my 3 way bet is also in the toilet as well. And just to rub it Vegas wins the game in a shoot-out. Unbelievable.
So, what to do today. I had to find someone who's luck is even worse than mine. In steps Vejmelka for the Coyotes. Now I usually think the modern odd-s-makers put too much weight on starting goalies. So, do the so called sharps IMO. But this goalie should not be playing in the NHL. He has been God-awful.
So, give me the Sabres - 120. Let the chips fall where they may.
You may want to now bet a goalie prop of Vejmelka recording a shut-out tonight, the way my recent luck has been going. But, remember LUCK like all other things run hot and cold. Soon all the close calls are bound to go my way. It's just the way the world works.
In the mean time, if anyone can advise a good witch-doctor. I'm willing to go all in. I would write best of luck, but that would be laughable. So, let me try a reverse jinx. I wish myself bad luck tonight.
1
Yesterday 0-2 YTD 59W 54L + $705 ==== I'm still in the black for the year.
Here's how yesterday went. I go to the Ranger game and watch my Rangers completely dominate a Kings squad who had been terrific on the road. So, I'm feeling good. Until I got home & watched the Sharks-Golden-Knights 3rd period. I am on Under 6 & - 190 3-Way with Vegas. Vegas is leading 4-2 with under 4 minutes to play in the game. So, I'm hoping the Sharks don't pull their goalie and give Vegas a cheap last minute goal to ruin my total play. However I know that Vegas can't possibly not win in regulation time. I mean the odds are at least 500 to 1 in my favor. And I eat & drink probabilities. So. naturally I know what's coming because of the recent hard luck I've been experiencing as of late. And remember it's the horrid SHARKS! Bang they score to ruin the total wager, but Vegas won't let them score another goal in the last minute, will they? Of course they will, so my 3 way bet is also in the toilet as well. And just to rub it Vegas wins the game in a shoot-out. Unbelievable.
So, what to do today. I had to find someone who's luck is even worse than mine. In steps Vejmelka for the Coyotes. Now I usually think the modern odd-s-makers put too much weight on starting goalies. So, do the so called sharps IMO. But this goalie should not be playing in the NHL. He has been God-awful.
So, give me the Sabres - 120. Let the chips fall where they may.
You may want to now bet a goalie prop of Vejmelka recording a shut-out tonight, the way my recent luck has been going. But, remember LUCK like all other things run hot and cold. Soon all the close calls are bound to go my way. It's just the way the world works.
In the mean time, if anyone can advise a good witch-doctor. I'm willing to go all in. I would write best of luck, but that would be laughable. So, let me try a reverse jinx. I wish myself bad luck tonight.
Yesterday 1-0 Is the world coming to an end? Maybe the curse of bad luck is finally over.
Tonight's games seemed right on point although I do think that the price on the Rangers is starting to get a little to high. But I was forced to make 1 wager when I when into Betanysport's online sports-book. They had the Panthers-Kraken total listed as 6.5 -110. I must go Under that number because I believe the right number is 6 flat. If you use that sports book I would definitely think you have EV according to my number. So, my official play will be
Panthers-Kraken Under 6.5 - 110 ==== I think this would still be could at -115. -120 would probably be my cutoff point.
Lots of bad luck to me. ==== reverse jinx worked yesterday. So why not run it back tonight?
1
Yesterday 1-0 Is the world coming to an end? Maybe the curse of bad luck is finally over.
Tonight's games seemed right on point although I do think that the price on the Rangers is starting to get a little to high. But I was forced to make 1 wager when I when into Betanysport's online sports-book. They had the Panthers-Kraken total listed as 6.5 -110. I must go Under that number because I believe the right number is 6 flat. If you use that sports book I would definitely think you have EV according to my number. So, my official play will be
Panthers-Kraken Under 6.5 - 110 ==== I think this would still be could at -115. -120 would probably be my cutoff point.
Lots of bad luck to me. ==== reverse jinx worked yesterday. So why not run it back tonight?
I'm going out to the west coast with this play. Normally I think there's an over-reaction to most injuries in pro sports. But in the case of tonight's game, I think the loss of the Jet's top scorer Kyle Connor is actually not factored into the line tonight quite as much as I have. I made the Kings - 2 to 1, so I think that - 170 is pretty much a steal. That doesn't mean the Kings are sure to win. All it means is that my numbers say that the Kings should win 2 times for every loss in this same situation. So, laying anything under - 190 is showing EV according to my numbers. So, my wagers will be ==
LA Kings - 170 Played at (Betanysports) &
Jets Team Total Under 2.5 - 110 Played at (Betonline)
OK === Here's hoping for bad luck so we can continue to cash!
2
YTD 61W 54L + $905
I'm going out to the west coast with this play. Normally I think there's an over-reaction to most injuries in pro sports. But in the case of tonight's game, I think the loss of the Jet's top scorer Kyle Connor is actually not factored into the line tonight quite as much as I have. I made the Kings - 2 to 1, so I think that - 170 is pretty much a steal. That doesn't mean the Kings are sure to win. All it means is that my numbers say that the Kings should win 2 times for every loss in this same situation. So, laying anything under - 190 is showing EV according to my numbers. So, my wagers will be ==
LA Kings - 170 Played at (Betanysports) &
Jets Team Total Under 2.5 - 110 Played at (Betonline)
OK === Here's hoping for bad luck so we can continue to cash!
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Is the world coming to an end? Maybe the curse of bad luck is finally over.
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