I'm glad to respond, my friend. It works like this. The major Sportsbooks put up the opening numbers the day before the games are played. Now, of course, if there is a pacific time zone game being played between 2 teams, that number won't go up until that game has finished, because of the possibility of an injury occurring that would affect the number. Then Circa, Chris & Pinnacle will make those numbers available to a few well known sharp bettor's, at a limited amount. For hockey, it will normally about 10 dimes on a side, 5 dimes on a total. They will then adjust the number according to the way the sharps are wagering. After that the lines are open to the public, for a larger amount, maybe 50 dimes on a side 25 dimes on a total. This depends on the Sportsbook. Then the lines are moved strictly according to the market. Modern odds-makers are extremely sharp. Believe me, nothing gets by them. That's why the player has to come up with something that no one else knows to adjust the number where one feels they have the best of it (meaning VALUE). All gambling comes down to that one word = VALUE. That's why you'll often hear a sharp player say, I'll lay up to 3 on a game he might normally love at - 1. You don't want to lay 6 to 5 on a coin flip, even though, for whatever reason, you love the heads. If you do, you'll go broke eventually. Of that I can assure you. I hope I shed some light on the question you asked. BYW, I think you are a very good handicapper.
0
@DB51daBEARS
I'm glad to respond, my friend. It works like this. The major Sportsbooks put up the opening numbers the day before the games are played. Now, of course, if there is a pacific time zone game being played between 2 teams, that number won't go up until that game has finished, because of the possibility of an injury occurring that would affect the number. Then Circa, Chris & Pinnacle will make those numbers available to a few well known sharp bettor's, at a limited amount. For hockey, it will normally about 10 dimes on a side, 5 dimes on a total. They will then adjust the number according to the way the sharps are wagering. After that the lines are open to the public, for a larger amount, maybe 50 dimes on a side 25 dimes on a total. This depends on the Sportsbook. Then the lines are moved strictly according to the market. Modern odds-makers are extremely sharp. Believe me, nothing gets by them. That's why the player has to come up with something that no one else knows to adjust the number where one feels they have the best of it (meaning VALUE). All gambling comes down to that one word = VALUE. That's why you'll often hear a sharp player say, I'll lay up to 3 on a game he might normally love at - 1. You don't want to lay 6 to 5 on a coin flip, even though, for whatever reason, you love the heads. If you do, you'll go broke eventually. Of that I can assure you. I hope I shed some light on the question you asked. BYW, I think you are a very good handicapper.
Thanks very much, buddy...I appreciate the explanation and the time you take. Just one more...if you can say; if not that's fine, too...have you ever seen or heard of the line being moved without bettors' pressure up or down, or does it always react to the dollars incoming? Is it ever proactively moved after the opening line is put out there but not because of betting pressure either up or down? Thanks again, Red...much appreciated
Cheers
0
@Redlad
Thanks very much, buddy...I appreciate the explanation and the time you take. Just one more...if you can say; if not that's fine, too...have you ever seen or heard of the line being moved without bettors' pressure up or down, or does it always react to the dollars incoming? Is it ever proactively moved after the opening line is put out there but not because of betting pressure either up or down? Thanks again, Red...much appreciated
3 is his key number. He would only live in a house, that ended in the number 3. Only stay at a hotel that had at least 23 floors. He felt that 3 was the magic number that opened the doors, to the mystery of the universe. Knowing that is much more important than winning a wager on a sporting event. Wagering on a sporting event also involves the aspect of luck. Luck is a very fickle character. Sometimes it goes your way, other times not so much. The most successful handicappers only win about 57% of their wagers = Tops. If they win more, it's because they were very lucky. And luck runs in streaks. Have a look at pro football teams that cover 60% or more games in a season for 2 years, in a row. What do you think happens in the 3rd? They usually crap out. Partly because the oddsmakers over inflate the line the 3rd year, but also because it's extremely hard to be lucky 3 years, in a row. See, where I'm going with this. Or put it this way, even if you hit 60% of your wagers, that means that one will lose 4 out of every 10 of your bets, all things being equal. But, when you're on a lucky streak, your mind tells you == How could I pick a loser?? Something must be wrong with my handicapping. But, there's nothing wrong with your approach, if you're hitting over 60% of your wagers, with over a 100 placed. You just lost. It took me many years for this to sink into my head. I guess it's just human nature. You must stay the course. Now, in many sports there are many rule changes that take place, which you might want to consider. For instance, in NCAA basketball. The higher ups want the big name schools to advance past the 1st few rounds of the tournaments. That's why they installed the 35-second possession shot-clock. If Gonzaga or UCLA get knocked off in the 2nd round, don't be surprised to see a 24-second clock next year. It's all about the CASH. Why should they let a small name school get all the glory? It doesn't fit into their agenda. But, I'm digressing. Quantum Physics tells us that you can't measure the place of the electron that circles the nucleus of an atom. It just has a probable position until it's observed. So, wagering applies the same logic, you can only measure the probability of an outcome of an event by judging its % of probability. If you judge that correctly, you will come out a winner, in the long haul. And the long haul is all that matters. That's why one should never chase their losses. I hope this helps. Best of Luck!
2
@Merle_iv
3 is his key number. He would only live in a house, that ended in the number 3. Only stay at a hotel that had at least 23 floors. He felt that 3 was the magic number that opened the doors, to the mystery of the universe. Knowing that is much more important than winning a wager on a sporting event. Wagering on a sporting event also involves the aspect of luck. Luck is a very fickle character. Sometimes it goes your way, other times not so much. The most successful handicappers only win about 57% of their wagers = Tops. If they win more, it's because they were very lucky. And luck runs in streaks. Have a look at pro football teams that cover 60% or more games in a season for 2 years, in a row. What do you think happens in the 3rd? They usually crap out. Partly because the oddsmakers over inflate the line the 3rd year, but also because it's extremely hard to be lucky 3 years, in a row. See, where I'm going with this. Or put it this way, even if you hit 60% of your wagers, that means that one will lose 4 out of every 10 of your bets, all things being equal. But, when you're on a lucky streak, your mind tells you == How could I pick a loser?? Something must be wrong with my handicapping. But, there's nothing wrong with your approach, if you're hitting over 60% of your wagers, with over a 100 placed. You just lost. It took me many years for this to sink into my head. I guess it's just human nature. You must stay the course. Now, in many sports there are many rule changes that take place, which you might want to consider. For instance, in NCAA basketball. The higher ups want the big name schools to advance past the 1st few rounds of the tournaments. That's why they installed the 35-second possession shot-clock. If Gonzaga or UCLA get knocked off in the 2nd round, don't be surprised to see a 24-second clock next year. It's all about the CASH. Why should they let a small name school get all the glory? It doesn't fit into their agenda. But, I'm digressing. Quantum Physics tells us that you can't measure the place of the electron that circles the nucleus of an atom. It just has a probable position until it's observed. So, wagering applies the same logic, you can only measure the probability of an outcome of an event by judging its % of probability. If you judge that correctly, you will come out a winner, in the long haul. And the long haul is all that matters. That's why one should never chase their losses. I hope this helps. Best of Luck!
The Rangers biorhythms were trending down, the Capitals were trending up. I learned this from the greatest Pro-football handicapper, of all time. The one & only Rick Hall. When he would lay - 3 on a Pro football game, his team would usually win by 14 or more. In the modern era of betting, with alternative point spreads, he would have been a billionaire.
1
@Merle_iv
The Rangers biorhythms were trending down, the Capitals were trending up. I learned this from the greatest Pro-football handicapper, of all time. The one & only Rick Hall. When he would lay - 3 on a Pro football game, his team would usually win by 14 or more. In the modern era of betting, with alternative point spreads, he would have been a billionaire.
The Ranger's bio rhythms are still trending downward. The Kings are pretty much flat lined, making this a smaller investment than yesterday. However, I believe that taking + money still give us a sleight edge, so my play will be
Kings + 125
I did make a couple of value bets on 2 later games. I want to make it crystal clear, that I am only betting the numbers. Furthermore, I have no opinion on who will win. Strictly value on the numbers. Plain and simple. If you can't find my numbers, you probably should pass. I will not count these toward my normal record, as I've stated in the past.
Jet's- Islanders Tie +335
Predator's- Coyotes Tie +355
1
Yesterday 2-0 + 310 YTD 83W 52L + 2995 Units.
The Ranger's bio rhythms are still trending downward. The Kings are pretty much flat lined, making this a smaller investment than yesterday. However, I believe that taking + money still give us a sleight edge, so my play will be
Kings + 125
I did make a couple of value bets on 2 later games. I want to make it crystal clear, that I am only betting the numbers. Furthermore, I have no opinion on who will win. Strictly value on the numbers. Plain and simple. If you can't find my numbers, you probably should pass. I will not count these toward my normal record, as I've stated in the past.
Got it, I’ll have to write this one down. From what I’ve been researching on that it requires looking at say the top 10 people on a roster. Looking at there stats, age and trend, and pick the team whoms top 10 is better ?
0
@Redlad
Got it, I’ll have to write this one down. From what I’ve been researching on that it requires looking at say the top 10 people on a roster. Looking at there stats, age and trend, and pick the team whoms top 10 is better ?
Yes, When I was first introduced to this, I thought it was total nonsense. But you can't argue with success. Rick Hall was the best at identifying how biorhythms affected how well a team would preform. It's a real, measurable phenomenon.
0
@Merle_iv
Yes, When I was first introduced to this, I thought it was total nonsense. But you can't argue with success. Rick Hall was the best at identifying how biorhythms affected how well a team would preform. It's a real, measurable phenomenon.
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