December
50-43 (+22.77); 19-15 sides incl. overtime (+7.75); 14-5 sides reg.
(+11.78); 11-9 totals (+0.94); 1-2 team totals (-1.18); 5-13 overtime
(+2.08) November 11-10 (+0.17); 4-4 sides incl. overtime (+0.09), 7-5 totals (+1.08), 0-1 puck line (-1.00)
Empty net turns a winner into a refund. I love these two plays for Wednesday.
Vancouver money line incl. ot. -115 - For the first time in 10 games, the Canucks lost in regulation. Their 3:2 loss to Nashville on Monday was the first time all season they lost 2 in a row on home ice. Nashville was benefit of 8 power play chances, surely something to do with the hostility between Alexander Burrows and a certain referee. The Predators scored the game winner on the man advantage with only 4 minutes left. Minnesota has won 3 in a row at home, all against likely playoff teams. They beat Calgary, Chicago, and Pittsburgh. In Minnesota's last 5 games they are averaging 3.40 goals while Vancouver is averaging 3.60 goals. Minnesota is allowing 3.60 goals against while Vancouver is allowing only half of that - 1.80 goals against. The Canucks have been sound on the penalty kill having neutralized 21 of 23 chances. Minnesota has killed off 13 of 17 chances against. The Wild are 14-6-1 at home and have scored at least 3 goals in 10 of their last 12 home games; however, they've also allowed at least 3 goals in 9 of their last 11. The difference here will be Luongo. The Vancouver goalie hasn't allowed a team to score more than 3 goals in 19 consecutive starts and in 24 of his last 25 starts. Vancouver has won 8 of the last 9 meetings against the Wild, including 7 of the last 9 meetings in Minnesota. The canucks are 3-0 against the Wild this year and I believe there chances of remaining perfect against Minnesota this season are excellent.
Anaheim money line incl. ot. -132 - Boston has scored more than 2 goals only 3 times in their last 11 games. 2 of those games came against the defensively inept Atlanta Thrashers. The other came against the hobbled Ottawa Senators. On the road, the Bruins are averaging 2.15 goals for. The recent injuries to Marc Savard and Patrice Bergeron are major losses for Boston. Bergeron has 11 goals and 20 assists in 41 games. Savard has 9 goals and 13 assists in 28 games. Anaheim is starting to come on. They've won 4 games in a row behind the stellar play of goalie Jonas Hiller. Hiller has allowed only 8 goals in 5 January starts (1.61 goals allowed, .952 save %). In his last 12 starts, only 2 teams have managed to score 3 or more goals. Dallas scored 5 on New Year's Eve and Phoenix scored 3 on December 23rd. Anaheim is 7-3 in Hiller's last 10 home starts with the 3 losses each coming by a goal. Most of Anaheim's December was spent on the road, but they're now back home where they've won 5 games in a row tallying 4 goals in each of the victories. Anaheim is a clear favorite for me here and this game will be the first of Boston's upcoming struggles.
December
50-43 (+22.77); 19-15 sides incl. overtime (+7.75); 14-5 sides reg.
(+11.78); 11-9 totals (+0.94); 1-2 team totals (-1.18); 5-13 overtime
(+2.08) November 11-10 (+0.17); 4-4 sides incl. overtime (+0.09), 7-5 totals (+1.08), 0-1 puck line (-1.00)
Empty net turns a winner into a refund. I love these two plays for Wednesday.
Vancouver money line incl. ot. -115 - For the first time in 10 games, the Canucks lost in regulation. Their 3:2 loss to Nashville on Monday was the first time all season they lost 2 in a row on home ice. Nashville was benefit of 8 power play chances, surely something to do with the hostility between Alexander Burrows and a certain referee. The Predators scored the game winner on the man advantage with only 4 minutes left. Minnesota has won 3 in a row at home, all against likely playoff teams. They beat Calgary, Chicago, and Pittsburgh. In Minnesota's last 5 games they are averaging 3.40 goals while Vancouver is averaging 3.60 goals. Minnesota is allowing 3.60 goals against while Vancouver is allowing only half of that - 1.80 goals against. The Canucks have been sound on the penalty kill having neutralized 21 of 23 chances. Minnesota has killed off 13 of 17 chances against. The Wild are 14-6-1 at home and have scored at least 3 goals in 10 of their last 12 home games; however, they've also allowed at least 3 goals in 9 of their last 11. The difference here will be Luongo. The Vancouver goalie hasn't allowed a team to score more than 3 goals in 19 consecutive starts and in 24 of his last 25 starts. Vancouver has won 8 of the last 9 meetings against the Wild, including 7 of the last 9 meetings in Minnesota. The canucks are 3-0 against the Wild this year and I believe there chances of remaining perfect against Minnesota this season are excellent.
Anaheim money line incl. ot. -132 - Boston has scored more than 2 goals only 3 times in their last 11 games. 2 of those games came against the defensively inept Atlanta Thrashers. The other came against the hobbled Ottawa Senators. On the road, the Bruins are averaging 2.15 goals for. The recent injuries to Marc Savard and Patrice Bergeron are major losses for Boston. Bergeron has 11 goals and 20 assists in 41 games. Savard has 9 goals and 13 assists in 28 games. Anaheim is starting to come on. They've won 4 games in a row behind the stellar play of goalie Jonas Hiller. Hiller has allowed only 8 goals in 5 January starts (1.61 goals allowed, .952 save %). In his last 12 starts, only 2 teams have managed to score 3 or more goals. Dallas scored 5 on New Year's Eve and Phoenix scored 3 on December 23rd. Anaheim is 7-3 in Hiller's last 10 home starts with the 3 losses each coming by a goal. Most of Anaheim's December was spent on the road, but they're now back home where they've won 5 games in a row tallying 4 goals in each of the victories. Anaheim is a clear favorite for me here and this game will be the first of Boston's upcoming struggles.
van and ana. im also tempted to make a play on the fla ml as a +140 home dog. wsh is looking like crap on d and is on a back to back.
also like the under in pitt/cgy.
The under looks decent. Calgary hasn't scored on the power play in their last 5. They aren't allowing much either. Last year the Penguins won 2:0. I'll sit it out though. Very curious how this game turns out. I can see it 3:2 either way, perhaps an empty netter.
van and ana. im also tempted to make a play on the fla ml as a +140 home dog. wsh is looking like crap on d and is on a back to back.
also like the under in pitt/cgy.
The under looks decent. Calgary hasn't scored on the power play in their last 5. They aren't allowing much either. Last year the Penguins won 2:0. I'll sit it out though. Very curious how this game turns out. I can see it 3:2 either way, perhaps an empty netter.
im quite surprised at the anaheim line was expecting at least -165. that one is bound to go up!~
I was expecting the oddsmakers would have put Anaheim out at -140 or so, not having adjusted to the current Bruins team / accounted for the injuries, so it's a pleasant surprise to get -130 here. My line is the Ducks -170. I'm wondering what the Sharks will be against the Bruins Thursday night. Wonder if they'll put a line out on that game before this game finishes Wednesday. We'll see
im quite surprised at the anaheim line was expecting at least -165. that one is bound to go up!~
I was expecting the oddsmakers would have put Anaheim out at -140 or so, not having adjusted to the current Bruins team / accounted for the injuries, so it's a pleasant surprise to get -130 here. My line is the Ducks -170. I'm wondering what the Sharks will be against the Bruins Thursday night. Wonder if they'll put a line out on that game before this game finishes Wednesday. We'll see
The under looks decent. Calgary hasn't scored on the power play in their last 5. They aren't allowing much either. Last year the Penguins won 2:0. I'll sit it out though. Very curious how this game turns out. I can see it 3:2 either way, perhaps an empty netter.
Im curious too.I was thinking of just playing the total but i could see it going eaither way.Still deciding...
The under looks decent. Calgary hasn't scored on the power play in their last 5. They aren't allowing much either. Last year the Penguins won 2:0. I'll sit it out though. Very curious how this game turns out. I can see it 3:2 either way, perhaps an empty netter.
Im curious too.I was thinking of just playing the total but i could see it going eaither way.Still deciding...
Also Flutie - my last message got cut off. I'm wondering what you think about Vancouver against Minnesota. You made some good points about the Canucks prior to their game to Calgary. Enough for me to stay off Nashville in their next game to see how they responded. If you get a chance, a few lines would be great to read.
Also Flutie - my last message got cut off. I'm wondering what you think about Vancouver against Minnesota. You made some good points about the Canucks prior to their game to Calgary. Enough for me to stay off Nashville in their next game to see how they responded. If you get a chance, a few lines would be great to read.
Great job dp! I appreciate all ur insight, picks, and the timely plays,,,gives me a chance to put in plays before work all the way here in Hawaii. Keep up the great work!
Great job dp! I appreciate all ur insight, picks, and the timely plays,,,gives me a chance to put in plays before work all the way here in Hawaii. Keep up the great work!
Good luck bud. I like both of these plays. Agree they are the 2 best on the board tonight. Was planning to fade the Pens if they lost in Minny, but after watching the game I actually think they played pretty well. Also think Sid likes playing in Canada so will just watch that one. Fleury gave up a couple bad goals again in Minny, so his continued poor play would keep me off the under, even though I agree 3-2 sounds about right.
Good luck bud. I like both of these plays. Agree they are the 2 best on the board tonight. Was planning to fade the Pens if they lost in Minny, but after watching the game I actually think they played pretty well. Also think Sid likes playing in Canada so will just watch that one. Fleury gave up a couple bad goals again in Minny, so his continued poor play would keep me off the under, even though I agree 3-2 sounds about right.
Good luck bud. I like both of these plays. Agree they are the 2 best on the board tonight. Was planning to fade the Pens if they lost in Minny, but after watching the game I actually think they played pretty well. Also think Sid likes playing in Canada so will just watch that one. Fleury gave up a couple bad goals again in Minny, so his continued poor play would keep me off the under, even though I agree 3-2 sounds about right.
What struck me in that Minny-Pit game was how invisible Malkin was. Aside from maybe two decent shifts, he was a non-factor. Gonchar and Crosby stood out, Staal looked decent, but Malkin was just not there. And of course, Fleury looked lousy too. That team just isn't anywhere near the team they were in the playoffs.
Good luck bud. I like both of these plays. Agree they are the 2 best on the board tonight. Was planning to fade the Pens if they lost in Minny, but after watching the game I actually think they played pretty well. Also think Sid likes playing in Canada so will just watch that one. Fleury gave up a couple bad goals again in Minny, so his continued poor play would keep me off the under, even though I agree 3-2 sounds about right.
What struck me in that Minny-Pit game was how invisible Malkin was. Aside from maybe two decent shifts, he was a non-factor. Gonchar and Crosby stood out, Staal looked decent, but Malkin was just not there. And of course, Fleury looked lousy too. That team just isn't anywhere near the team they were in the playoffs.
depressed I'm riding with you on the Vancouver play but it's obviously not lost on you that a lot of your stats do point to Minny. The home-road comparisons, the recent performances, even the head-to-head argues in favor of Minny if you choose to look at a revenge factor. It seems your entire bet here, or most of it, is based on Luongo. I'm comfortable with that, but I wonder why you "love" this particular play versus just simply "like" it, if you know what I mean.
I'm a Bruins fan so not sure I can pull the trigger on the Ducks but it seems like the right play. The Bruins are decimated by injuries right now. But I would also look hard at that under too. The Bruins will be playing Julien's system to a tee with their stars out, and in a road game. Plus their PK is obviously excellent. I think they hold Anaheim to 3 or less, and I also would be surprised if they could score 3 themselves. I think the under is a solid play in that game.
depressed I'm riding with you on the Vancouver play but it's obviously not lost on you that a lot of your stats do point to Minny. The home-road comparisons, the recent performances, even the head-to-head argues in favor of Minny if you choose to look at a revenge factor. It seems your entire bet here, or most of it, is based on Luongo. I'm comfortable with that, but I wonder why you "love" this particular play versus just simply "like" it, if you know what I mean.
I'm a Bruins fan so not sure I can pull the trigger on the Ducks but it seems like the right play. The Bruins are decimated by injuries right now. But I would also look hard at that under too. The Bruins will be playing Julien's system to a tee with their stars out, and in a road game. Plus their PK is obviously excellent. I think they hold Anaheim to 3 or less, and I also would be surprised if they could score 3 themselves. I think the under is a solid play in that game.
depressed I'm riding with you on the Vancouver play but it's obviously not lost on you that a lot of your stats do point to Minny. The home-road comparisons, the recent performances, even the head-to-head argues in favor of Minny if you choose to look at a revenge factor. It seems your entire bet here, or most of it, is based on Luongo. I'm comfortable with that, but I wonder why you "love" this particular play versus just simply "like" it, if you know what I mean.
While Vancouver's record is below .500 on the road, 6 of those games were started by either Raycroft or Schneider. The Canucks also lost their first 4 road games of the season. This is the reason I pointed out Luongo's and Vancouver's success in their most recent road games. Canucks are 6-1-1 in Luongo's last 8 starts on the road with wins at
Dallas, St. Louis, Calgary, Philadelphia, New Jersey, and Colorado. Luongo has allowed 1, 3, 2, 1, 3, 0, 2, and 2 goals in these starts. Vancouver has lost 2 in a row but looking back on them, Calgary was fuming and the Canucks had some injury concerns. Nashville has 6 wins in their last 8 games and escaped Vancouver with a 3:2 win on a late penalty call - their 8th power play chance of the game. I'm not much for revenge - seems too much of hit or miss to me. A lot of this bet is based off Luongo simply because he is the model of consistency. Backstrom is nowhere close this season. I mentioned how Minnesota has scored at least 3 goals in 10 of their last 12 games, but Luongo hasn't allowed a team to score more than 3 goals in 19 consecutive starts and in 24 of his last 25 starts. This is where Luongo's brilliance prevails over Minnesota. One of the main reasons I backed the Wild against Pittsburgh was because the Wild were scoring goals and Fleury was leaking goals left and right. Not the case here. Vancouver also hasn't struggled like Pittsburgh has in their most recent games. I love the Canucks tonight. Let's see how it plays out.
depressed I'm riding with you on the Vancouver play but it's obviously not lost on you that a lot of your stats do point to Minny. The home-road comparisons, the recent performances, even the head-to-head argues in favor of Minny if you choose to look at a revenge factor. It seems your entire bet here, or most of it, is based on Luongo. I'm comfortable with that, but I wonder why you "love" this particular play versus just simply "like" it, if you know what I mean.
While Vancouver's record is below .500 on the road, 6 of those games were started by either Raycroft or Schneider. The Canucks also lost their first 4 road games of the season. This is the reason I pointed out Luongo's and Vancouver's success in their most recent road games. Canucks are 6-1-1 in Luongo's last 8 starts on the road with wins at
Dallas, St. Louis, Calgary, Philadelphia, New Jersey, and Colorado. Luongo has allowed 1, 3, 2, 1, 3, 0, 2, and 2 goals in these starts. Vancouver has lost 2 in a row but looking back on them, Calgary was fuming and the Canucks had some injury concerns. Nashville has 6 wins in their last 8 games and escaped Vancouver with a 3:2 win on a late penalty call - their 8th power play chance of the game. I'm not much for revenge - seems too much of hit or miss to me. A lot of this bet is based off Luongo simply because he is the model of consistency. Backstrom is nowhere close this season. I mentioned how Minnesota has scored at least 3 goals in 10 of their last 12 games, but Luongo hasn't allowed a team to score more than 3 goals in 19 consecutive starts and in 24 of his last 25 starts. This is where Luongo's brilliance prevails over Minnesota. One of the main reasons I backed the Wild against Pittsburgh was because the Wild were scoring goals and Fleury was leaking goals left and right. Not the case here. Vancouver also hasn't struggled like Pittsburgh has in their most recent games. I love the Canucks tonight. Let's see how it plays out.
I'm a Bruins fan so not sure I can pull the trigger on the Ducks but it seems like the right play. The Bruins are decimated by injuries right now. But I would also look hard at that under too. The Bruins will be playing Julien's system to a tee with their stars out, and in a road game. Plus their PK is obviously excellent. I think they hold Anaheim to 3 or less, and I also would be surprised if they could score 3 themselves. I think the under is a solid play in that game.
I love Anaheim tonight just as much. I went against Boston in their last game by taking the Rangers @ +125 or whatever and it was never close. The Bruins generated nothing offensively. Since those 2 early goals against Chicago, they've been outscored 8:1. The Ducks are coming together and I'm more than willing to place a bet on them. I have been waiting for this (remember my bet on Nashville/Anaheim goes to ot where I thought the Ducks could get at least a point?) and then the +230 in Chicago where they were outshot 4:1 but Hiller was spectacular. The under tonight was actually my first lean, but I'm more confident in the Ducks. Plus the line came out at 5. Anaheim has scored 4 goals in each of their last 4 home games and it wouldn't surprise me to see them do it again. They have a lot of confidence at the moment, and they've been a difficult opponent for others at home. Maybe Boston pulls off a surprise here, and despite the odds being only -130, this would be a major surprise to me. The Bruins get San Jose tomorrow and the Kings Saturday, and I really see 0-3, maybe 0-2-1 if the Kings can't get anything going offensively.
I'm a Bruins fan so not sure I can pull the trigger on the Ducks but it seems like the right play. The Bruins are decimated by injuries right now. But I would also look hard at that under too. The Bruins will be playing Julien's system to a tee with their stars out, and in a road game. Plus their PK is obviously excellent. I think they hold Anaheim to 3 or less, and I also would be surprised if they could score 3 themselves. I think the under is a solid play in that game.
I love Anaheim tonight just as much. I went against Boston in their last game by taking the Rangers @ +125 or whatever and it was never close. The Bruins generated nothing offensively. Since those 2 early goals against Chicago, they've been outscored 8:1. The Ducks are coming together and I'm more than willing to place a bet on them. I have been waiting for this (remember my bet on Nashville/Anaheim goes to ot where I thought the Ducks could get at least a point?) and then the +230 in Chicago where they were outshot 4:1 but Hiller was spectacular. The under tonight was actually my first lean, but I'm more confident in the Ducks. Plus the line came out at 5. Anaheim has scored 4 goals in each of their last 4 home games and it wouldn't surprise me to see them do it again. They have a lot of confidence at the moment, and they've been a difficult opponent for others at home. Maybe Boston pulls off a surprise here, and despite the odds being only -130, this would be a major surprise to me. The Bruins get San Jose tomorrow and the Kings Saturday, and I really see 0-3, maybe 0-2-1 if the Kings can't get anything going offensively.
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