UNDERS in Week 1

Question

Hey guys,&#xA; &#xA;I&#x27;m a big fan of the under in select spots throughout the regular season, specifically Week 1. The Under in NFL Week 1 has gone 142-122-7 since 2005 (53.8%), and it seems like eager bettors tend to overinflate the point totals, especially early on in the season. Between 2005 and 2021, NFL Week 1 has an average Over/Under total of 43.92 compared to an average actual point total of 43.42. &#xA; &#xA;I know these numbers aren&#x27;t hugely drastic, but the sample size is pretty good, and it might be valuable when taken in context.&#xA; &#xA;Here is the link to the data page on a site I started: https://trendsagainstthespread.com/over-under-by-week/

TrendsATS · Accepted Answer

Hey guys,&#xA; &#xA;I&#x27;m a big fan of the under in select spots throughout the regular season, specifically Week 1. The Under in NFL Week 1 has gone 142-122-7 since 2005 (53.8%), and it seems like eager bettors tend to overinflate the point totals, especially early on in the season. Between 2005 and 2021, NFL Week 1 has an average Over/Under total of 43.92 compared to an average actual point total of 43.42. &#xA; &#xA;I know these numbers aren&#x27;t hugely drastic, but the sample size is pretty good, and it might be valuable when taken in context.&#xA; &#xA;Here is the link to the data page on a site I started: https://trendsagainstthespread.com/over-under-by-week/

Biscuiteater1 · Answer

While still profitable, not @ the rate they once were.

DogbiteWilliams · Answer

The 2017 season was great for Unders. The Over/Unders in week #1 were 4-10-1 that season (one game is missing from the Sports Database). Since then the O/U week 1 record is 33-30-1, pretty doggone flat.

I have a few Under leans in week #1, but I haven't yet placed any wagers. Good luck in week #1.

UNDERS in Week 1

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