Too good to be true?

Colts are only 3 point favorites against this awful Steelers team that’s now missing one of its best defensive players in Elliot?! Are you kidding me. We just saw what the Packers did to them with the Steelers having zero answers. And this was a prime time spot, with all the motivation in the world, and extra rest to boot.

What’s the best team in the AFC (record wise) going to do the “paper thin curtain”? Shouldn’t this line be at least -5.5 or even -6 after what we saw? 

Too good to be true? 

Looks like early Christmas 

ats score card vs colts steel is 3-0 

colts are 0-7 after scoring 35 or more points up date 0-9 now 

0..7  straight up or ats

@tjones1270

 Colts have been scoring lots and winning frequently though. This stat is irrelevant imo

I like Colts and I like the over too. Weather permitting. 

prob be a pK or -1 

Ind otr

-6 @ Ten

+3.5 @ Lar

+2.5 @ Lac

No way Pit is getting Ten spread...

@begginerboy

Am glad you started a thread on this insane line. The info I saw was that the opening line was Colts -3.5 and that the current line is Colts -2.5. 

If I owned a sportsbook and I put up a number on this game less than Colts -7, I would pee down my leg. 

I was taught that if a line made no sense, then I should take the other side, in this case Pittsburgh.  

Considering what has transpired, how can anyone on earth bet the Steelers, yet that is probably the winning side. 

Probably some insider information we are not aware of yet

If the power rankings have the Packers and Colts close to even...then it's the same spread the Packers got at Pitt.

I have not checked any updated PR's yet

I believe the look ahead line was Colts -1 or -1.5, practically a pick-em. So in that sense, you are getting line value after the loss. But I don’t see the value. 

The Colts have not had a bye week yet. Have won 4 in a row.

The following week they play in Berlin.

Pitt off b2b losses.

Good line read BB 

More like Halloween 

It just doesnt make sense so lets not overthink it, play it over. With the Colts bursting offense and Pits lazy D with injuries this game can go through the roof.

Yes, for sure. Anyone who watched that Steeler/Packer game knows how much Pitts sucks a$$ on defense. A truly gutless performance and now they face the hottest team in the league with one of the best running backs.  

The money must be with the Colts so the books will need the underachieving Steelers on game day. 

@begginerboy

 If it looks to good to be true it is.  Gambling 101

Pitt SRS #21(-2.80) Ind SRS #1(+12.12)

Predictive PR teamrankings.com:

Pitt #17(-0.3) Ind #5(+5.5)

DVOA: Pitt #13(+2.7%) Ind #1(+45.8%)

Non of these have been updated since week 8 isn't over yet, but they won't change much.

@undermysac

It is public perception/deception once again at work but this time the short lined favorite will not cover IMO. The Colts have been getting into the pockets of the bookmakers at a 6-2-0 ATS clip. Now do I have the stones to bet it.

I had these Steeler bums versus the Packers so I don't like to chase the same loser team. Looking like the public is favoring the Colts in this one. 

I would need narcotics to bet the Steelers unless I go insane on game day. That line makes zero sense. 

@Letswinnow1

@Buffalobob89074

You know damn well that it's Pitt or no play at all. You just have to fight those demons from the last loss.

Fwiw, from watching last night's game I would tip my cap to GB. They played a hell of a game. It wasn't so much Pitt being terrible. 

GL 

The problem is that Pitt only became truly terrible once they lost their safety to injury. That defense gave up big play after big play. How will they compensate for that loss after a week of practice? These injuries mid game have a profound effect on the team in real time but less so after the replacement player has had a full week of practice. We saw this with the Warner injury in the Niners/Buccaneer's game. The Niners adjusted a week later and, at least for one game, were able to hide their deficiencies. But it only lasted a week, and that’s with Salah coaching up the defense. Can the Steelers duplicate a similar effort after losing their star safety?