SB Pick
Heading to Las Vegas Wednesday for our 20th SB weekend in Las Vegas. This is always a great weekend. Wednesday night we are going to the Vegas Golden Knights/ Vancouver Canucks hockey game. Friday have a tee time at Angel Park Golf. SB party at Paris Casino VIP party.
Seattle ML/-4.5 and Over 45.5. Don Juan picks Seattle-4.5
Seattle Over: We can’t use info from 2 SF games. SF was too beat up(injuries) to get good stats. So, I’m using info from both recent Rams games and comparing Rams and NE. Seattle beat Rams both games. 31-27 and 38-37. Both games went way over the number.
NE yearly INT 10. Rams 16. NE sacks 35, Rams 47. These important stats tell me Rams have a good pass D. Better than NE. Against the better pass D of Rams, Seattle was able to score 31 and 38 points. So why shouldn’t Seattle be able to score 30 points against NE? I only need 16 points from NE to win the Over. NE averaged 18 points in the playoffs against 3 good D’s and bad weather. They should score more in sunny Calif.
Seattle ML and –4.5: The Seahawks have the fifth-best DVOA (regular season and playoffs). We have the NE weak schedule theory. I know, I know.
The Patriots have posted just 12 and 13 first downs in their last two postseason games while averaging 3.2 and 3.9 yards per play in those contests.
New England has advanced to Super Bowl LX with QB Drake Maye going 43-of-77 (55.8-percent) through the air in three playoff games with two interceptions, six fumbles and 15 sacks.
I'll probably do a 6pt. teaser of Seattle +1.5 and Over 39.5
Some props I like:
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY K Walker III O 24.5yds.
WILL Cooper KUPP* (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN? Yes +250
Rashid Shaheed Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Sam Darnold o229.5 Passing Yards (-113)
WILL Drake MAYE (Ne) score a TD. Yes +320
Good luck and I hope to see you at the window cashing out.
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