Fact #8: When the Patriots play in the Super Bowl, leads change often
There have been seven fourth-quarter/overtime lead changes in the Patriots' seven Super Bowls since 2001. For reference, there have been 10 such lead changes in the 44 other Super Bowls. The game-winning score has occurred in overtime or the final minute of regulation in five of New England's seven Super Bowls since 2001.
Fact #9: Patriots are the Comeback Kings
Since 2014, the Patriots are a perfect 4-0 in the postseason when they trail at any point in the game by 10 points. The rest of the NFL is 4-29 in those situations.
Fact #10: Patriots are also kings of the final minute before half
New England has outscored teams 45-17 in the final minute of a half in the Super Bowl since 2001. That's remarkable.
Fact #8: When the Patriots play in the Super Bowl, leads change often
There have been seven fourth-quarter/overtime lead changes in the Patriots' seven Super Bowls since 2001. For reference, there have been 10 such lead changes in the 44 other Super Bowls. The game-winning score has occurred in overtime or the final minute of regulation in five of New England's seven Super Bowls since 2001.
Fact #9: Patriots are the Comeback Kings
Since 2014, the Patriots are a perfect 4-0 in the postseason when they trail at any point in the game by 10 points. The rest of the NFL is 4-29 in those situations.
Fact #10: Patriots are also kings of the final minute before half
New England has outscored teams 45-17 in the final minute of a half in the Super Bowl since 2001. That's remarkable.
Fact #5: For all intents and purposes, Tom Brady is always favored
This will mark the 50th straight start that Brady is favored in, which is five shy of the longest streak by a starting quarterback as a favorite since 1966. Kurt Warner was favored 55 straight times between 1999-2003. Meanwhile, Steve Young was favored in 44 straight starts from 1994 through 1996 and Joe Montana was favored 37 times between 1989 and 1993.
Fact #6: NFL MVPs have not fared well in the Super Bowl lately
The last eight players to win the NFL regular-season MVP and then play in the Super Bowl all lost. The last player to be named MVP during the regular season and win the Super Bowl was Kurt Warner, who led the Rams to victory over the Titans in the 2000 Super Bowl. Matt Ryan (2016), Cam Newton (2015), Peyton Manning (2013), Peyton Manning (2009), Tom Brady (2007), Shaun Alexander (2005), Rich Gannon (2002) and Kurt Warner (2001) were the eight that fell short. (Thus, if you believe Brady will win the MVP award this season then you might want to fade the Patriots on Sunday!)
Fact #5: For all intents and purposes, Tom Brady is always favored
This will mark the 50th straight start that Brady is favored in, which is five shy of the longest streak by a starting quarterback as a favorite since 1966. Kurt Warner was favored 55 straight times between 1999-2003. Meanwhile, Steve Young was favored in 44 straight starts from 1994 through 1996 and Joe Montana was favored 37 times between 1989 and 1993.
Fact #6: NFL MVPs have not fared well in the Super Bowl lately
The last eight players to win the NFL regular-season MVP and then play in the Super Bowl all lost. The last player to be named MVP during the regular season and win the Super Bowl was Kurt Warner, who led the Rams to victory over the Titans in the 2000 Super Bowl. Matt Ryan (2016), Cam Newton (2015), Peyton Manning (2013), Peyton Manning (2009), Tom Brady (2007), Shaun Alexander (2005), Rich Gannon (2002) and Kurt Warner (2001) were the eight that fell short. (Thus, if you believe Brady will win the MVP award this season then you might want to fade the Patriots on Sunday!)
Fact #3: Underdogs have been killing it this NFL Playoffs
Nine underdogs have already covered the point spread this postseason, which is the most in a single postseason in the Super Bowl era. No matter which team covers in this year's Super Bowl, this will be the best ATS percentage by underdogs in a single NFL postseason in that span.
Fact #4: Underdogs have even been winning outright at a high clip
There have been five outright upsets by underdogs this NFL playoff season. That's one shy of the most in the Super Bowl era. If the Eagles beat the Patriots outright on Sunday, then this season will match the 2008, 2000, 1982 and 1980 NFL playoffs for most outright upsets by an underdog in league history.
Fact #3: Underdogs have been killing it this NFL Playoffs
Nine underdogs have already covered the point spread this postseason, which is the most in a single postseason in the Super Bowl era. No matter which team covers in this year's Super Bowl, this will be the best ATS percentage by underdogs in a single NFL postseason in that span.
Fact #4: Underdogs have even been winning outright at a high clip
There have been five outright upsets by underdogs this NFL playoff season. That's one shy of the most in the Super Bowl era. If the Eagles beat the Patriots outright on Sunday, then this season will match the 2008, 2000, 1982 and 1980 NFL playoffs for most outright upsets by an underdog in league history.
Fact #1: Patriots held scoreless in First Quarter of Super Bowl
The Patriots have appeared in seven Super Bowls under Bill Belichick and not once have they scored in the first quarter of any of those seven games. That's remarkable, although hardly random. Belichick knows that while you can't win the Super Bowl in the first quarter, you can put yourself in a deep hole by being overly aggressive. That's why his team is usual conservative in the first 15 minutes of the game, instead waiting to ramp it up once they have an idea of their opponents' game plan.
Fact 2: Underdogs have thrived in recent Super Bowls
Underdogs have won six of the last 10 Super Bowls and have covered the spread in nine of the last 10 NFL title games. The last favorite to cover the spread was New England a year ago but as everyone remembers, the Patriots had to erase a 28-3 second-half deficit in order to pull off the feat.
Fact #1: Patriots held scoreless in First Quarter of Super Bowl
The Patriots have appeared in seven Super Bowls under Bill Belichick and not once have they scored in the first quarter of any of those seven games. That's remarkable, although hardly random. Belichick knows that while you can't win the Super Bowl in the first quarter, you can put yourself in a deep hole by being overly aggressive. That's why his team is usual conservative in the first 15 minutes of the game, instead waiting to ramp it up once they have an idea of their opponents' game plan.
Fact 2: Underdogs have thrived in recent Super Bowls
Underdogs have won six of the last 10 Super Bowls and have covered the spread in nine of the last 10 NFL title games. The last favorite to cover the spread was New England a year ago but as everyone remembers, the Patriots had to erase a 28-3 second-half deficit in order to pull off the feat.
Fact 2: Underdogs have thrived in recent Super Bowls
Underdogs have won six of the last 10 Super Bowls and have covered the spread in nine of the last 10 NFL title games. The last favorite to cover the spread was New England a year ago but as everyone remembers, the Patriots had to erase a 28-3 second-half deficit in order to pull off the feat.
That's not correct. Green Bay covered as 3-point favorite over Pittsburgh 31-25 in the 2011 season super bowl. New England and Seattle were a pick'em in the 2015 season super bowl. But the dog had been an overwhelming winning pick in recent years, that much IS true.
Fact 2: Underdogs have thrived in recent Super Bowls
Underdogs have won six of the last 10 Super Bowls and have covered the spread in nine of the last 10 NFL title games. The last favorite to cover the spread was New England a year ago but as everyone remembers, the Patriots had to erase a 28-3 second-half deficit in order to pull off the feat.
That's not correct. Green Bay covered as 3-point favorite over Pittsburgh 31-25 in the 2011 season super bowl. New England and Seattle were a pick'em in the 2015 season super bowl. But the dog had been an overwhelming winning pick in recent years, that much IS true.
The Patriots are 0-11 OU (-6.36 ppg) as a FG-plus favorite on grass vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a game in which their third down conversions decreased by at least three over their previous game.
The Patriots are 0-11 OU (-6.36 ppg) as a FG-plus favorite on grass vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a game in which their third down conversions decreased by at least three over their previous game.
- This will be the 11th meeting in the Super Bowl between teams from the NFC East and AFC East. The NFC East owns an 8-2 record in these games and the 'under' has gone 7-3 in those games.
- This will be the 11th meeting in the Super Bowl between teams from the NFC East and AFC East. The NFC East owns an 8-2 record in these games and the 'under' has gone 7-3 in those games.
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