Prop consideration

I do not play a lot of props.  But I think there is one tonight that should be considered for a few reasons.

Baker Mayfield O18.5 total yards rushing is worth looking at.

Hi is the leading QB rushing on PE/Play on rushing at .808. 

He is the 3rd QB in Y/A behind Huntley and Mahomes at 6.6

He got 39 yards on 5 attempts last meeting.

He has cleared that number the last 4 games fairly easily and seems mostly recovered from his injury.

@Raiders22

 Any opinion on the game? I’m seeing 6 now. Based on some data that I’ve looked at the line seems high. Looks like significant money on TB over the last 24 hours. 

@brn2loslive2win

 I played TB -4 and U44.5 early in the week.  So they are not available anymore.  So, no official plays posted.

But that is what I have. 

Are you on anything?

@brn2loslive2win

 I was counting on a few things to move in my favor -- like Wires and Evans and the coaching.

Plus I thought I was buying TB at a season-low and ATL fairly high right now.

And some other metrics pointed to TB -4 for me.  

It was 15' this morning. Took a look and decided to jump in live.  He tends to run more in the 2nd h when the game is getting tough.  Gl

@______P______

Good info.  I may do that 

@Raiders22

 No real plays tonight. Took both QBs to throw an INT for 0.1u each. 

Idk I would put the line at 3.5-4. Depends on what you think HFA is worth. Nfeloapp considers TBs HFA to be negligible. Of course it should be accounted for to some extent but we’ll see. I don’t personally believe Baker is healthy. If he is he’s just not performing well lately. Maybe the addition of Evans will be the difference maker. Seems to me like Baker has been trying to throw to an imaginary Evans ever since he’s been gone, often throwing uncatchable over the head balls to the current receiving corps. No real angle for me but good luck tonight with -4. You definitely got the best of the number 

Get in on Goodwin under.  he's gonna force the ball to all these targets with his busted oblique. 

Godwin 

Cousins line to throw a INT is insane..    its laughable.      I def see them both throwing one, so BOL 

@brn2loslive2win

  Wirfs is very important also.  But if top TE is out and Evans is back and Baker has time and also runs to open up the passing game -- then I think TB takes care of business easily.

I just think their defense has to step up.  

I think Cousins has looked bad and this is a get right spot for TB defense also.

I thought 4 was a great number 

@JGiles99

 I got -125 on Cousins and +100 on Baker. Both fair prices imo.

GL  on your play props you @Raiders22 

Yea, your lines are way better.  Bet Rivers had him @  almost -200 .   I just thought it was funny.  

Hoping you cash! 

Good luck on your bets gentlemen. 

This game is fairly shitty so far, the nfl has to stop TNF at some point. Players need more rest, move it to Friday nights maybe?

Theyll never do it but I totally agree. The beating these guys take is already tremendous over the course of the season. Look at what they do to Dallas and Detroit at thanksgiving. 3 games in 11 days with a holiday in the middle of it. The nfl is so disgustingly greedy that they don’t give a shit. They’d have football 7 days a week if they could get away with it. Don’t get me wrong it’s nice to have something to watch on Thursday night, but completely unnecessary. 

Do not like props at all but always pay attention to your posts 

@MatthewJL46

 Yessir. I do not play them hardly ever.  
I just thought this one looked interesting.  Seemed a curiously low number based on past data, etc. 

Yes. I have never liked Thursday games. 
I also do not like out-of-country games either though. 
Regular ole stick in the mud guy here.