Patriots fade target

I assume These teams get exposed presumably because of their schedule. History has proven these teams that excelled the previous season(s) were not very good or ant best anverage, are not worthy of being playoff home favorites. 

playoffs=1 and p:playoffs=0 and HF and rest<8 and tpS(W)<9

playoffs=1 and p:playoffs=0 (this is a playoff game and their last game was not a playoff game)

HF is simple they are home favorites 

rest<8 they didn’t have any byes last week or not given up extended rest. 

tpS(W)<9 this home favorite did not reach 9 wins in their previous season and I’ll add it even worse if this team did win at least 2 games 2 seasons ago. 

the query results for these teams 3-18 ATS 

and if these teams won 3+ games 2 seasons ago they fall to 1-18 ATS adding tppS(W)

Good info spottie, thanks.

@spottie2935

 Love the way you explained the query !

Interesting 

Play against patriots? 

totally agree, thx for this!

@jowchoo

 Of course good luck.  Your previous 3 bankrolls were trashed.  

Best wishes on your 4th attempt.  Glad I might be able to help you though.  Just don’t jinx me.  I appreciate it. 

yes fade the Patriots.  

the past teams In the patriots situation rarely covered. 

@spottie2935

 Thanks for the trends.

Does your sdql find 1H only on these games?

id have to look individually at scores and guess on the 1st half lines. 

i dont have to do that.  The trend is for the full game.  Win or lose I’m counting on it.  If not this game next game.  

there can be some variation because there are not a lot of games but clearly the books know how to extract money.  Look at this line from such a winning teams season. 

Any lean on Jax and bills game

if I had a strong play…

@spottie2935

If you have time, just post the games and dates. I can find the game logs.

no time for all that. As I said it’s not congruent with me. 

here is the site though. 

GimmeTheDog.com 

Thanks for.the numbers