NFL Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5         2units

This smells like an old school Ravens/Steelers game

Low score underdog cover 

San Francisco 49ers +1       3 units

Seattle was lucky in the 3rd quarter with a fumble on the Carolina 21 yard line then Bryce was intercepted mid 3 quarter gave tons of momentum and Carolina was on there heels the rest of the game.. obviously Seattles defense made the plays but without those turnovers for scores.. the score from 27-10 would be 13-10.. 
Sam Darnold only threw for 147 yards 1TD 1INT  the run game has been inconsistent Kenneth Walker rushed 15 for 51yards but RB2 behind Kenneth walker Zach Charbonnet did have a good game rushing 18 for 110 and 2TDs.. Seattles run game has been inconsistent all season.. 

San Francisco defense played terrible versus a “good” Bears team.. against a pretty good offense in my opinion.. 

The reason for me taking the San Francisco 49ers is thre offense.. last 3 games they have averaged 40points.. the offense is trending up.. and they’re still underrated because of the defense perception..

Seattles offense last three averaged about 27.7 points per game..

if you do last 5 games  
San Francisco averages about 34.6 PPG 
Seattle Seahawks average about 29.2 PPG

There are injuries that concern me on San Francisco but as long as Kyle Juszczyk is in the line up the offense can still click on high cylinders he plays a HUGE roll in the offense as far as snaps and blocking.. defensively Dee winters needs to step up along with Bethune they have to play smarter.. I see an edge here with San Francisco.. quarterback wise and running backs.. Brian Robinson is no slouch..

perception right now is “San Francisco defense is the worst” and San Francisco squeaked out a win.. “Seattle blew out Carolina”…. The fact is Bears are a better team than Carolina.. period..

Good Luck on your bets the final week of the regular season.. man time flies 

Good luck Chomp.  

Adding San Francisco 49ers +1.5      3units

I don’t think people understand Seattle doesn’t have San Francisco’s number anymore like they did with the legion of boom and Russel Wilson Pete Carol.. those days have been over.. I kept telling everyone the hardest game San Francisco will have in the homestretch of the regular season was going to be the Bears.. and they ended up beating Chicago without Trent Kittle Aiyuk Warner Bosa.. 

Brock Purdy

Versus Seattle Seahawks is 6-1 

When the spread is under 3 or less as an underdog and or a favorite he is

3-0 ATS 3-0 SU

11-3 SU in December

If the spread goes any higher I will definitely add more units I love how the spread has flipped hope people keep piling on Seattle..

Good luck 

Leans

Tampa bay - as a short home favorite @-2.5  I swear it feels like NFC south games every year are won or lost by a field goal.. Panthers on the road are a different team.. Tampa lost @Carolina and recent history shows Tampa gets the win at home.. Carolina leads the series 26-24 in this rivalry.. if I had to guess I would say it’s going to split

score prediction:

23-20      17-20        Under44 

I’m also going to put myself out there and say before the Buccaneers game starts.. New Orleans saints will beat Atlanta..(time to sell high on Atlanta now that everyone just witnessed them beat the Los Angeles Rams) hopefully this line goes up to +3.5 / +4 

Los Angeles Chargers waiting for +13

This is a divisional game and Trey Lance is serviceable.. Denver has not beat a divisional opponent by double digits this year not even the Raiders.. this line seems off I’ll wait this one out.. 

Atlanta New Orleans play Sunday*
my mistake

I find it funny how everyone piles on Sam Darnold for being a choker then turns around and makes a play on him in a massive game.. lol   play with fire and risk getting burned.. again..                          “any given Sunday” anything can happen.. so he could win but if Seattle loses how many Sam Darnold is a choker threads are we going to see..

btw Sam Darnold is #1 or #2 in the league with fumbles this season..

Quarterback wise I trust Brocks experience over Darnold.. I trust Kyle Shanahan at this point in the season..he has been coaching his tail off and is #2 for coach of the year for a reason he has also been here done that it’s pretty much playoffs for San Francisco.. the team has been banged up the entire season since day one and everyone wrote them off because the defense lost Bosa and Warner yet they still continue to prove they can win games despite having injuries on the defense.. Coaching is at a higher level this year with Shanahan.. Obviously..

Bend don’t break defense will come to play.. have to give Salah credit with the talent he has and what he’s doing..

I will give credit to Mike McDonald he’s proven to be a good coach and has the defense in line.. I guess if your playing Seattle you are making that decision more based on the defense on the road and not because of the offense.. also counting on San Francisco defense to lay down after an embarrassment versus the Bears..

Seahawks have been bad first half’s… Seattle offense is predictable and the defense has kept them in games.. they are who they have been showing us they’ve been.. not a good offense

Since week 9 Seattle is 21st in EPA Per play

San Francisco can’t get pressure but neither can Carolina and Sam Darnold didn’t do anything special

Sam Darnold 147yards 1 fumble 1 INT 

San Francisco should not be underdogs @home 

Good Luck with your plays everybody 

BOL this weekend 

Nice comments 

Thursday Injury Report

Seattle Seahawks

OT Charles Cross - Out hammy

OT Josh Jones - questionable knee ankle

SAF Cody Bryant - doubtful knee

San Francisco 49ers

Yetur Gross-matos - DNP   Unspecified 

*Kyle Juszczyk - FP

George Kittle - LP              Unspecified 

Christian McCaffrey - FP     Unspecified 

Ricky Pearsal - LP              Questionable 

upton Stout - FP                Unspecified 

Keion White - LP                Questionable 

Trent Williams - DNP          Unspecified 

How crazy is it that Sam Darnold is in the exact same situation he was with the Minnesota Vikings last year..

Week 18 game for the 1seed

Minnesota Vikings 14-3

Seattle Seahawks 13-3

Since 1990 the only one other time have the 49ers had a winning percentage of over 75% have been a home dog..

2011-2012 playoffs Drew Brees saints

good points on 49ers/sea

darnold is a choker until he proves otherwise, shocked most of bets backing him

@ChOmP

 I agree with your SF comments. Simply put; never trust Darnold. Seahawks can only win tough matches if everything around him clicks, defense is top notch and special teams gives something extra (and exactly that is happening last weeks).

Adding  San Francisco 49ers  +2.5    3 units

Kyle Shanahan Coach of the year

+177                                         3units

I believe if he wins this game he ends up getting it.. the San Francisco 49ers were left for dead after Bosa after Warner then Kittle after Brock then Pearsal Jennings no Aiyuk.. he revived the back QB Mac Jones career.. it has just been a merry go round of players.. and shanahan keeps them in games and continues to win regardless of injuries.. I think out of 5 coaches that deserve to win.. everyone has a winning record in common so that’s a wash to me.. but no one has dealt with this amount of injuries through the season with (starters) like the San Francisco 49ers.. yet they are still in the fighting for the #1 seed.. a win here sets him apart.. in my opinion.. because that would mean he overcame the entire season rollercoaster of injuries and managed to get the #1seed ontop of not having a good defense.. it’s pretty remarkable.. Top seed Top vote

Get um CHOMP