LIONS No Playoffs

-146 

instead of this I will fade them the rest of the games to lose.  

They embarrassed themselves last year and in 2024 the NFC North had 3 reps. 

This year it’s trending to have 3 reps again but I am thinking another team like the Cowboys step up? How about the Panthers.  These are the most logical to leap past the Lions.

all one team has to do is win out and it seems strange but it’s more strange to me the Lions are almost-150 to miss out. 

The best approach is not to lay the -150 the best approach is to bet on Dallas, Carolina and against Detroit this week and take it from there. 

NFC North embarked last season as all 3 reps lost 

they get 3 reps again? 

It’s a compound opportunity (starts this week fading the Lions on a big number and Pitt is a sound candidate to make the playoffs leading the division) this could be fruitful.

NFC North embarrassed 

cowboys dont deserve to be in playoffs 

I agree the Lions wont make playoffs. I think Lions finish 9-8. If Cowboys finish with a 9-7-1 record & if Gbay finishes with a 9-7-1 record, the tie is the game between them playing each other, Gbay gets in & Cowboys are out because of the conference records. Gbay will have a 7-5-1 conf record & Cowboys 6-6-1 record in conference.

if they win out and the Lions go on Tilt? 

Detroit -7 this week is absurd to me.  

@usikbasterd

 they're not going to be, dont worry lol 

Bears to MISS playoffs +285  

They lose their final 3 games. G.B S.F & Det...All potential L's

I like the opportunity for this because they are a dog team not a strong favorite team.  

I do believe in of these teams misses the playoff 

Just going to put this out there as far as this week goes..

Dan Campbell & Goff off of a SU loss

23-9 ATS

Since 2022 in this exact spot 14-1 ATS

Dan Campbell when they blow a 7 point lead bounce back spot 9-5 SU 11-3 ATS

Steelers don’t have the offensive power in my opinion and there defense is soo inconsistent..but I will say Detroits defense is definitely letting them down this year..

Good Luck

Campbell is 11-0 when he is coming off a loss and is against a team that won

Some think that the Steelers have turned a corner the last two weeks. I think they were gifted with a win in Baltimore and that they shined against a bad Dolphins' team. 
Steelers were blown out by Seattle, Green Bay, and Buffalo and now they face a desperate Detroit that will come out of the gate aggressive on offense. It is an offense that is a cut above and I doubt that the Steeler defense can contain them.

Seems to me, that the powers that be, want the Steelers in the conversation and in the post season mix and are willing to pull out all stops. We'll see. 
Tony Dungy and Rodney Harrison both picked Pittsburgh in the upset but I got the feeling it was them being loyal to Tomlin. Dungy got Tomlin the interview for the head coaching job so how objective could he be. He denies he played any part but I know better.

I will stay away from this game wagering wise as I think something sinister is at work here. Something is rotten in Denmark and so too in Western Pennsylvania IMO. 

Can’t compare Lions teams starting from 2022 as they are incredible ATS since then. Those lines were not <-4 or more to a team with >.500 winning %.  

@Buffalobob89074

 Some teams get hot some teams get cold.  There are one of each and heading into the playoffs *7 is not regression it’s still of value.  

The Lions after their ATS stats since 2022 are supposed to be in regression and regression starts after a failure. If the Lions cover I back off but after a loss I press on and continue fading. 

team=Lions and date>20221025

35-14 ATS and before the last few week showing weakness 3-6 last 9 ATS 

before the last 9 games had a ATS run of 32-8 ATS 

regression has started but will it continue?  I look at the line of Pitts record and I’m saying too many and not many if at all were the Lions-7 to a winning playoff team (not including playoff games)

All the stats say the lions are ripe off a loss but go check the opponents faced after a loss? 

off a loss in 2024 happened 2x.  After the opponents were Cards and Bears (both sucked)

2025 5 times 

Bears (line -5) Buccaneers (line -6) Commanders Cowboys and Giants. 

Give the Lions Credit for the Bears and Buccaneers wins.  

Point is Lions are -150 to fail to advance and in my opinion the better bet is to fade them each game the rest of the way 

Dan Campbell is a massive circus, so I like this.

@spottie2935

 Dallas is not making the playoffs.  They have less than a 1% chance.

okay who if the lines are a favorite to miss at -150 

all I said was record wise, the logical and mathematical best chance were Cowboys and Panthers. 

yea I like it too but of course the Lions have made a lot of bettors a lot of money.  Hard to oppose past success. 

My point is both closest team Cowboys and Panthers are in very bad shape yet the Lions are -150 

that’s the discussion 

@spottie2935

You make excellent points which can't be denied.  Your tracing of the Lions' recent regression is valid. Will it continue? Yep, that is a key one. 

I could say that the Lion offense roared last week but they are once again plagued by injuries to the defense. 

This Steeler defense is so inconsistent, but their offense is improving as Rogue Rodgers is going aerial. 

On a sidenote, the Steeler backup to sidelined Watt, Nick Herbig, is out with a hamstring. The rookie from Ohio State, Jack Sawyer, will get the start at outside linebacker. It might mean clean pockets for Goff though I expect the Lions will try to run it down their throats. 

I expect the Steelers to hang with them for 3 quarters and then the Lions to pull away. 

All the best 

[Quote: Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074]@spottie2935 You make excellent points which can't be denied.  Your tracing of the Lions' recent regression is valid. Will it continue? Yep, that is a key one.  I could say that the Lion offense roared last week but they are once again plagued by injuries to the defense.  This Steeler defense is so inconsistent, but their offense is improving as Rogue Rodgers is going aerial.  On a sidenote, the Steeler backup to sidelined Watt, Nick Herbig, is out with a hamstring. The rookie from Ohio State, Jack Sawyer, will get the start at outside linebacker. It might mean clean pockets for Goff though I expect the Lions will try to run it down their throats.  I expect the Steelers to hang with them for 3 quarters and then the Lions to pull away.  All the best[/Quote

Thanks just reasonably trying to sort things out the best way.