Quote Originally Posted by Unders_Club:
Guys - If you wanna know who "Joe Public" is on, I got the intel today at work. The three biggest Mushes, all picked, you got it, The Hawks. First guy, got talking around the water cooler, he said "New England's played no-one" Second guy, went for lunch a Chilli's with em... he says "Drake Maye has turnover problems" Last guy, got em in the parking lot before he got into his Audi, said the Hawks defence "reminds him of the Legon of Boom" These guys (albeit very successful), love losing money on football. It's an Office-Mush-Tri-Force! Added $2,000 more!!!
You lost because your capping method totally sucks.
Who gives shit who "Joe Public" is? Who says they get it wrong all the time? The sharps get it wrong almost as much as the public. The sharps just win more in the long run.
I said in multiple threads that it was the sharps who unloaded when the line opened at -3.5 and that caused it to move to -4.5 and -5.0. So, 70% bet percentage on Seattle wasn't by the public but by the sharps. Only like 5% was wagered in the first week, so we don't even really know what the ending bet percentage would've been by the kick off and yet there was a bunch of posts that kept on saying 70% public was on Seattle and that couldn't possibly be further from the truth.
By the weekend, the bet percentage evened out, so no one knows where the public was betting but based on what I read on this forum, I would say the public was all over New England not Seattle.
Why even bother looking at useless stuff to decide what to bet on?
Don Juan who has 20-4 Super Bowl record posted the Seattle pick.
Vanjack who has an incredible playoffs record also posted the Seattle pick.
Neither of them said anything as to why they picked Seattle. Nice and simple.
However, it looked to me like most of people on here went the other way and bet the Patriots. How sad is that?
All you had to do was to look at who is the better team and bet them and hope for the best.
Seattle is better in every position up and down the roster. Maye struggled mightily in the playoffs and Sam Darnold was just clutch and yet a lot of the posters said New England and Vrabel. Vrabel got fired from Tennessee. How soon they forget.
So simple and yet they make it so complicated picking a team to win and cover.