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Justin fields draft prop

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Posted: #1

Fields to be drafted #3 overall +250.  I’m NOT for a second buying Mac Jones to sf at 3.  Lawrence and Wilson seem to be locked into 1 and 2, so that leads us to pick 3.  You don’t trade all that draft capital to move up for Mac fn Jones.  The media is pushing this narrative, but I just can’t see it.  I believe after Justin’s 2nd pro day with lynch and shanahan in attendance, this line will start to drop, so get on it soon if you plan on betting it.  Ps I see lance as a dark horse, but still very confident in fields at 3.

 
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Posted: #2

You're getting a good price..

My local is offering +130 .

I'd just on that +250 Brother , win or lose its worth it 

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Posted: #3

Why wouldn't they take Jones? He led the nation in passing and won a championship, against the very team Fields was on. Sure Bama was stacked with NFL talent but Mac Jones isn't like those Bama QBs of recent past who just had to not mess up, he torched teams and was very poised and polished.

Fields showed a lot of heart vs Clemson the week before, but Ohio St QB recent results in the NFL haven't been good which also goes against him.

 
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Posted: #4

@NutinButtLove

 Lol “sure bama is stacked with nfl talent “. Umm yea only the best wr core maybe ever, top oline  in the nation, and a top notch rb and coaching staff.  U play that off like no big deal ha.  Look, I think Mac can be a pretty decent pro qb, but is he the dynamic  franchise qb you trade up 2 future 1sts and a 3rd for???  Hell no.  If you notice, schefter is already back peddling from his Jones will be the pick stance, and tomorrow fields is having a pro day with only the niners and pats in attendance.  I expect a ton more back peddling and line movement too.  The line already moved from +250 to +175 overnight.  In the end, I could be wrong, but I feel very comfortable with my wager esp at those odds.

 
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Posted: #5

Also, scout the player not the uniform.  I could care less about how many Ohio st qbs been good in the nfl.

 
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Posted: #6

@DoubleUp4Life

 peace_5

 
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Posted: #7

Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

@DoubleUp4Life

 

Just checked his odds .

Down to +120

 

 

I'd bet that +260 asap ...Any other draft props you're looking at ?

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Posted: #8

I think they'll take jones

 
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Posted: #9

@DoubleUp4Life

 Yepp, I’m locked in at +250cool.  I also like pitts 1st non qb drafted +145, najee 1st rb -150, Surtain 1st defensive player +150

 
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Posted: #10

@PippaScott

 Y cause a few media talking heads said so lol?  Some of which have already started back peddling btw

 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

@DoubleUp4Life  Yepp, I’m locked in at +250.  I also like pitts 1st non qb drafted +145, najee 1st rb -150, Surtain 1st defensive player +150

The draft is such a crapshoot,  but I really like that Pitts Prop , not sure about the other 2 as its difficult to predict trades and teams draft boards ..

Just texted the locals line guy ..Intrested to see how his odds matchup to yours...

 

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Posted: #12

@DoubleUp4Life

 Yea 4 sure it is.  I usually don’t bet too much on these props, but I did with the fields one because I felt the value was great.

 
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Posted: #13

@NutinButtLove

 

36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...

Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Posted: #14

Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

@DoubleUp4Life  Yepp, I’m locked in at +250.  I also like pitts 1st non qb drafted +145, najee 1st rb -150, Surtain 1st defensive player +150

 

Decent odds there Brother on the Pitts Prop 

My large local has 

First Non Qb drafted 

Pitts +115 

Chase +135 

Other +160 

Sewell.  +215

 

The other 2 dont seem as good , but I dont want to talk you out of them 

First RB  N Harris. -120

First defensive player Surtain +170 

 

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #15

[Quote: Originally Posted by davemsh]@NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...ote]  Well... actually Jones was 34 %  not 36...   Justin Herbert was 29 %.....  Kyler Murray was 31%....  Tua was 32 %.... I presume  you missed your calling in life....an_roll_laugh.....  Lets not mention the fact Jones throws down the field were unreal accurate with film showing soooooo many times wr's never broke stride.. Unlike Fields down field accuracy throws that were questionable at best.. And Jones being able to FIND the open wr which in the NFL is 90 % of the job... At the pro level all the kids can wing it..  But QB's like Haskins with a gun fail.. peace

 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr:

Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

@NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...ote]  Well... actually Jones was 34 %  not 36...   Justin Herbert was 29 %.....  Kyler Murray was 31%....  Tua was 32 %.... I presume  you missed your calling in life.........  Lets not mention the fact Jones throws down the field were unreal accurate with film showing soooooo many times wr's never broke stride.. Unlike Fields down field accuracy throws that were questionable at best.. And Jones being able to FIND the open wr which in the NFL is 90 % of the job... At the pro level all the kids can wing it..  But QB's like Haskins with a gun fail..

 

34% is still 1 out of every 3 passes and then some...surprised

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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

@NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...
lie

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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by benhogan76:

Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...ote]  Well... actually Jones was 34 %  not 36...   Justin Herbert was 29 %.....  Kyler Murray was 31%....  Tua was 32 %.... I presume  you missed your calling in life.........  Lets not mention the fact Jones throws down the field were unreal accurate with film showing soooooo many times wr's never broke stride.. Unlike Fields down field accuracy throws that were questionable at best.. And Jones being able to FIND the open wr which in the NFL is 90 % of the job... At the pro level all the kids can wing it..  But QB's like Haskins with a gun fail..   34% is still 1 out of every 3 passes and then some... Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...

 

an_laughBennyboy

Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Posted: #19

@davemsh

Hey bud...woulda been nice if you compared Mac Jones to other top QB prospects, yeah?

Maybe those were mostly designed by Alabama OC "Sark"?

Some perspective...one of the ALL-TIME GREATS/NFL FUTURE HOFer threw 33% of his passes behind the line of scrimmage last season...say whuttttt?

PERCENTAGE OF PRO QB's PASSES BEHIND THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE IN 2020:

35.7%  Alex "Third Read" Smith

32.9%  Aaron "Gunslinger" Rodgers  (How do you throw 30 PASSES behind the line of scrimmage to DAVANTE ADAMS???)

26.9%  Sam Darnold

26.6%  Teddy Bridgewater

26.4%  Cam "Superman" Newton

25.2%  Kyler "Movin' Out The Pocket ASAP" Murray

25.2%  Justin "Air" Herbert

24.6%  Derek "Gunslinger" Carr

24.5%  Philip "Downfield" Rivers

24.3%  Jared "OffensiveGeniusSeanMcVay" Goff

 
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Posted: #20

Aaron Rodgers...1 outta 3 passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage last season...and 30 behind the LOS to Davante Adams???

Gotta be a conspiracy...can't be real.

 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by DB51daBEARS:

Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...ote]  Well... actually Jones was 34 %  not 36...   Justin Herbert was 29 %.....  Kyler Murray was 31%....  Tua was 32 %.... I presume  you missed your calling in life.........  Lets not mention the fact Jones throws down the field were unreal accurate with film showing soooooo many times wr's never broke stride.. Unlike Fields down field accuracy throws that were questionable at best.. And Jones being able to FIND the open wr which in the NFL is 90 % of the job... At the pro level all the kids can wing it..  But QB's like Haskins with a gun fail..   34% is still 1 out of every 3 passes and then some... Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever... Quote Originally Posted by benhogan76: Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...ote]  Well... actually Jones was 34 %  not 36...   Justin Herbert was 29 %.....  Kyler Murray was 31%....  Tua was 32 %.... I presume  you missed your calling in life.........  Lets not mention the fact Jones throws down the field were unreal accurate with film showing soooooo many times wr's never broke stride.. Unlike Fields down field accuracy throws that were questionable at best.. And Jones being able to FIND the open wr which in the NFL is 90 % of the job... At the pro level all the kids can wing it..  But QB's like Haskins with a gun fail..   34% is still 1 out of every 3 passes and then some... Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @NutinButtLove   36% of Mac Jones Pass completions was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...   Bennyboy@davemsh Hey bud...woulda been nice if you compared Mac Jones to other top QB prospects, yeah? Maybe those were mostly designed by Alabama OC "Sark"? Some perspective...one of the ALL-TIME GREATS/NFL FUTURE HOFer threw 33% of his passes behind the line of scrimmage last season...say whuttttt? PERCENTAGE OF PRO QB's PASSES BEHIND THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE IN 2020: 35.7%  Alex "Third Read" Smith 32.9%  Aaron "Gunslinger" Rodgers  (How do you throw 30 PASSES behind the line of scrimmage to DAVANTE ADAMS???) 26.9%  Sam Darnold 26.6%  Teddy Bridgewater 26.4%  Cam "Superman" Newton 25.2%  Kyler "Movin' Out The Pocket ASAP" Murray 25.2%  Justin "Air" Herbert 24.6%  Derek "Gunslinger" Carr 24.5%  Philip "Downfield" Rivers 24.3%  Jared "OffensiveGeniusSeanMcVay" GoffAaron Rodgers...1 outta 3 passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage last season...and 30 behind the LOS to Davante Adams??? Gotta be a conspiracy...can't be real.

I remember BILLS JP LOSERMAN Could not throw a screen pass to save his life ...They'd have 3 blockers set up for a huge game and he'd throw it over the targets head ...

 

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Posted: #22

[lis was behind the line of scrimmage..So pretty much 1 out of every 3 passes completions....I could have won a Heisman at Bama with that team that they had last season..Probably Bama's best OL ever...   Bennyboy@davemsh Hey bud...woulda been nice if you compared Mac Jones to other top QB prospects, yeah? Maybe those were mostly designed by Alabama OC "Sark"? Some perspective...one of the ALL-TIME GREATS/NFL FUTURE HOFer threw 33% of his passes behind the line of scrimmage last season...say whuttttt? PERCENTAGE OF PRO QB's PASSES BEHIND THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE IN 2020: 35.7%  Alex "Third Read" Smith 32.9%  Aaron "Gunslinger" Rodgers  (How do you throw 30 PASSES behind the line of scrimmage to DAVANTE ADAMS???) 26.9%  Sam Darnold 26.6%  Teddy Bridgewater 26.4%  Cam "Superman" Newton 25.2%  Kyler "Movin' Out The Pocket ASAP" Murray 25.2%  Justin "Air" Herbert 24.6%  Derek "Gunslinger" Carr 24.5%  Philip "Downfield" Rivers 24.3%  Jared "OffensiveGeniusSeanMcVay" GoffAaron Rodgers...1 outta 3 passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage last season...and 30 behind the LOS to Davante Adams??? Gotta be a conspiracy...can't be real. I remember BILLS JP LOSERMAN Could not throw a screen pass to save his life ...They'd have 3 blockers set up for a huge game and he'd throw it over the targets head ...[/Quote]     Yep...  Work out at the YMCA with a guy who started at  QB at a Big 10 school for two years  ...not drafted..  went to two NFL camps as a free agent..  6-3...220...  good arm..  Ask him the difference between college and NFL..  He said light years..  He said just finding a target in that fast moving "sea of humanity"  was the secret.. All  NFL QB prospects can wing it ...He said first  practice vs another team 5 on 5 he was like Joe Montana he claims.. Nothing to it..  Then first real game 11-11 it was insane fast and so hard to see the field and make that  split second decision.. In college maybe  2 guys on the defense he was playing against would play in the NFL.. Maybe 1 or none..  Now 11 players new game.. He new the ending of that story quickly and now has his own insurance company..lol.. He says to this day he amazed  at one player Doug Flutie was in his camp and he said that that midget was amazing he was so small but out of nowhere the ball would come out of that pile of humanity right on target..  Impossible he thought.. That is when he knew he was not a NFL QB time to sell insurance and that IHO Fluite got screwed by NFL bias at the time because of his size..  100 times harder then college and he says anyone whoever tried to play QB in the NFL knows what he means ..  That is why there are so few good ones..

 
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Posted: #23

@DoubleUp4Life

Don't remind me brother of the Bills carousel of bad quarterback drafts as we looked for Jim Kelly's replacement! Thankfully after 25 years we've finally found Jim Kelly's predecessor in Josh Allen.

@jdmoney14

That's a solid bet for Justin Fields to be drafted #3 overall +250. Personally I think he should be drafted #2 overall because he's better than Wilson too but as a Bills fan, you go right ahead Joe Douglas and draft him. You'll be out as Jets GM in two years. an_roll_laugh

 

 
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Posted: #24

@ArtSchlichterJr

 

Flutie was amazing and definitely got screwed by the NFL ..

He was outstanding here in Buffalo and led them to an improbable playoff appearance in 98 ..... Owner Ralph Wilson was likely senile at the time and demanded that Rob Johnson start the playoff game ( Musoc city miracle ) ...After Johnson played well in a meaningless win basically the practice squad over a 1 or 2 win Colts team ..

The BILLS were cursed for a long playoff drought after that ...

Flutie had some of the best pump fakes and jokes I've ever seen behind or beyond the line of scrimmage......No idea how he saw over the line ..

 

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Posted: #25

Flutie had the best fakes of any QB. And he also was the best at throwing the "ball up for grabs" where his athletic WRs could make a play on it.  

 

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