Trends supporting the Steelers:
The Texans have never won a road playoff game.
The Texans started the season 0-3 and went on to make the playoffs, making them the 7th team to ever do so. Out of the previous 6 that did it, 5 of them lost in the wild card round.
Since the 1992 season the Steelers are 23-1 in home Monday night games. The 1 loss came in the covid season with no fans.
Since the 2016 season, playoff home underdogs are 10-5 SU and 12-3 ATS. (Steelers)
Since 2004, road playoff teams that average 1 or fewer turnovers per game are 5-24 SU and 9-20 ATS. (Texans)
Trends supporting the Texans:
There have only been 2 QBs to win a playoff start that are 40+ years old. The goat, Tom Brady and Drew Brees in the Covid season with no fans.
The Steelers were 1-5 vs playoff teams this year, losing by an average of 10 points per game vs these opponents.
The Steelers haven’t won any playoff game since 2016, which is the longest drought in franchise history. Since the last win, they are 0-6, losing by an average of 13 points.
In the last 23 years, only 3 home teams that scored 20 points or fewer in a wild card game have won, going 3-37 SU. The Texans have allowed more than 20 points only 4 times all year.
Pick Your Poison.
As for me I'm Under The Steelers team Total 17.5. I just can't trust old man Rodgers against the strength of the Texans stout defense.
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