How many home games have the Packers won by 11 or more points since 2008? 25 out of 46 games. that's not counting their home losses which is probably around a dozen. That's about less than 40%....
How many times have the Packers covered as double digit home faves since Rodgers took over? 18-1 SU, 12-7 ATS.. good for around 63%
At the same time Phillip Rivers and Chargers are 24-17-2 ATS as a road underdog. About 55%
And 4-4 SU and 7-1 ATS as +7 points or more underdog. I also see that he has only been a double digit dog twice on the closing spread. He is 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
I like my chances the Chargers can cover the number. You just don't give Phillip Rivers that many points despite the great home field for Aaron Rodgers. I see this being another 7 pt margin like the last two meetings gimme...
Play #3: San Diego Chargers +10.5 @ -110 (risk $50)
How many home games have the Packers won by 11 or more points since 2008? 25 out of 46 games. that's not counting their home losses which is probably around a dozen. That's about less than 40%....
How many times have the Packers covered as double digit home faves since Rodgers took over? 18-1 SU, 12-7 ATS.. good for around 63%
At the same time Phillip Rivers and Chargers are 24-17-2 ATS as a road underdog. About 55%
And 4-4 SU and 7-1 ATS as +7 points or more underdog. I also see that he has only been a double digit dog twice on the closing spread. He is 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
I like my chances the Chargers can cover the number. You just don't give Phillip Rivers that many points despite the great home field for Aaron Rodgers. I see this being another 7 pt margin like the last two meetings gimme...
Play #3: San Diego Chargers +10.5 @ -110 (risk $50)
pretty close to taking Redskins +6.5 and Broncos at -3.5.... that's the only favorite i like on Sunday
just got to look a few things and try to find reasons why not to bet them
not sure why line dropped for the Broncos though i mean Cleveland's run defense is horrible. now is a good time as any for the Broncos running game to take off. Manning doesn't need to do much but let the running game and stifling defense beat the Browns
pretty close to taking Redskins +6.5 and Broncos at -3.5.... that's the only favorite i like on Sunday
just got to look a few things and try to find reasons why not to bet them
not sure why line dropped for the Broncos though i mean Cleveland's run defense is horrible. now is a good time as any for the Broncos running game to take off. Manning doesn't need to do much but let the running game and stifling defense beat the Browns
possible look ahead factor for the Jets in Foxboro next week? Jets are 1-4 SUATS in their last 5 seasons after a BYE week. However, the Skins starting Center and Left Guard will be out..
The Jets dominated the Dolphins. The score did not reflect that should have been 30pt blowout the reason being? 14 penalties in that game! While I don't think they will reach that level vs the Skins I can't help but think that the Jets will play a little reckless keeping the Skins within the number. And also can't help but think they'll take the foot off the gas after dominating the Skins in the 1st half and start saving the energy in the tank for the Patriots next week. Skins O-line is completely jacked up. no Desean , Jordan Reed and Matt Jones on offense. No Chris Gulliver and DeAngelo Hall on the back end but the Skins defense still played decent without Hall who hasnt been healthy and has been limited this season. Skins front seven way better than the overrated Dolphins defense but too many obstacles for the Skins to overcome.
Jets win, Skins cover.
Winner of London games are 5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS
TOodd Bowles is 5-6 against his former team as assistant coach
Jets have lost their last six(?). Against NFC opponent?
possible look ahead factor for the Jets in Foxboro next week? Jets are 1-4 SUATS in their last 5 seasons after a BYE week. However, the Skins starting Center and Left Guard will be out..
The Jets dominated the Dolphins. The score did not reflect that should have been 30pt blowout the reason being? 14 penalties in that game! While I don't think they will reach that level vs the Skins I can't help but think that the Jets will play a little reckless keeping the Skins within the number. And also can't help but think they'll take the foot off the gas after dominating the Skins in the 1st half and start saving the energy in the tank for the Patriots next week. Skins O-line is completely jacked up. no Desean , Jordan Reed and Matt Jones on offense. No Chris Gulliver and DeAngelo Hall on the back end but the Skins defense still played decent without Hall who hasnt been healthy and has been limited this season. Skins front seven way better than the overrated Dolphins defense but too many obstacles for the Skins to overcome.
Jets win, Skins cover.
Winner of London games are 5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS
TOodd Bowles is 5-6 against his former team as assistant coach
Jets have lost their last six(?). Against NFC opponent?
Play #6: Washington Redskins +6.5 (waiting for this line to jump to 7.5 otherwise only risking $25 not a confident play due to all the Skins injuries )
Play #6: Washington Redskins +6.5 (waiting for this line to jump to 7.5 otherwise only risking $25 not a confident play due to all the Skins injuries )
Don't know why everyone thinks the Browns will make this close or possibly win it straight up! Browns have been a better dog team since Pettine took over but at 3.5 that is just not enough dog points for me... Maybe 7 should be more appropriate but...
Browns coming off an OT thriller against their division foe, I think the Browns will come out flat on offense and they will be missing Joe Haden for this contest. No Tashaun Gipsom either. Josh Mccown better bring his A game this won't be another soft Baltimore secondary he is going against.
The Broncos haven't really blown out teams this year, but you know what? expect the explosive Broncos team of 2 seasons ago as Peyton Manning rediscovers the fountain of youth again! The secret. Broncos can finally run the ball ! And that'll open up the pass attack for Manning
Don't know why everyone thinks the Browns will make this close or possibly win it straight up! Browns have been a better dog team since Pettine took over but at 3.5 that is just not enough dog points for me... Maybe 7 should be more appropriate but...
Browns coming off an OT thriller against their division foe, I think the Browns will come out flat on offense and they will be missing Joe Haden for this contest. No Tashaun Gipsom either. Josh Mccown better bring his A game this won't be another soft Baltimore secondary he is going against.
The Broncos haven't really blown out teams this year, but you know what? expect the explosive Broncos team of 2 seasons ago as Peyton Manning rediscovers the fountain of youth again! The secret. Broncos can finally run the ball ! And that'll open up the pass attack for Manning
Everyone is high on the Cardinals. Line has moved up a full point now. They are no doubt a good team but I think even for a good team it's hard to win back to back road games let alone cover 2 in a row after a clinic they put on the Lions. Usually love to fade teams coming off a blowout win.
They might give Steelers secondary hell with their passing game but I say the Cardinals have played a fairly cupcake schedule and the defense of the Steelers has played better than expected. I see this being like the Rams/Cardinals game. The Steelers pass rush will be key to stopping Carson Palmer and they are one of the top pass rushing teams this season. The return of Martavis Bryant will be huge. I think AB will finally break out after two quiet games. If Cardinals win I expect the game to be close but I like my chances with Steelers as home dog. More often than not the Steelers cover as home dogs and Mike Tomlin's record as an underdog in general is a better than .500 record. Steelers are 4-0 as dogs this season and dog winners of their last six. Waiting to see if line will go up to 5. But 4.5 looks like a good number. Key number for me is 4
Everyone is high on the Cardinals. Line has moved up a full point now. They are no doubt a good team but I think even for a good team it's hard to win back to back road games let alone cover 2 in a row after a clinic they put on the Lions. Usually love to fade teams coming off a blowout win.
They might give Steelers secondary hell with their passing game but I say the Cardinals have played a fairly cupcake schedule and the defense of the Steelers has played better than expected. I see this being like the Rams/Cardinals game. The Steelers pass rush will be key to stopping Carson Palmer and they are one of the top pass rushing teams this season. The return of Martavis Bryant will be huge. I think AB will finally break out after two quiet games. If Cardinals win I expect the game to be close but I like my chances with Steelers as home dog. More often than not the Steelers cover as home dogs and Mike Tomlin's record as an underdog in general is a better than .500 record. Steelers are 4-0 as dogs this season and dog winners of their last six. Waiting to see if line will go up to 5. But 4.5 looks like a good number. Key number for me is 4
Bills +3 Chargers +10.5 Chargers ML +500 JETS ML -300 Redskins +7.5 Jets/Redskins Under 40.5 Broncos -3.5 Steelers +5.5 (risk $50)
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Steelers ML +200 is tempting but not sure if they'll win. Not sure why line keeps going up I can only think that its because Big Ben is not playing in this marquee matchup. Jarvis Jones being out might hurt the Steelers D a bit but their linebacker Corp is still deep. James Harrison is still top-notch imo. Public overreaction?
Bills +3 Chargers +10.5 Chargers ML +500 JETS ML -300 Redskins +7.5 Jets/Redskins Under 40.5 Broncos -3.5 Steelers +5.5 (risk $50)
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Steelers ML +200 is tempting but not sure if they'll win. Not sure why line keeps going up I can only think that its because Big Ben is not playing in this marquee matchup. Jarvis Jones being out might hurt the Steelers D a bit but their linebacker Corp is still deep. James Harrison is still top-notch imo. Public overreaction?
Was thinking about laying some down on Vikings 3.5 but the hook scares me . Plus Vikings have not covered their last 4 games after the BYE and the Chiefs are desperate for a win. Otherwise AP should be running all over this Chiefs defense... No play
Was thinking about laying some down on Vikings 3.5 but the hook scares me . Plus Vikings have not covered their last 4 games after the BYE and the Chiefs are desperate for a win. Otherwise AP should be running all over this Chiefs defense... No play
Was thinking about playing Vikings -3.5 but the hook scares me, plus the Vikings haven't covered their last 4 games after the BYE week and Chiefs are desperate for a win. Otherwise AP runs all over the Cheifs defense
Was thinking about playing Vikings -3.5 but the hook scares me, plus the Vikings haven't covered their last 4 games after the BYE week and Chiefs are desperate for a win. Otherwise AP runs all over the Cheifs defense
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