Broncos + 5 is the largest conf. final home dog since 1968.

The 1968 Browns were 6-point home dogs to the Colts and lost 34-0, sending Baltimore to their ill-fated super bowl matchup against the Jets. 

By doing the Google AI search,

Home underdogs in NFL Conference Championships are rare but have held their own, going 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and winning outright (straight up, SU) in the 2003-2025 era.

And I believe those three home dog straight up winners at Conference Championship had went on and won the Super Bowls. 

Two of them I know of are Broncos in 2015 wit Manning & Eagles in 2017 with back up Nick Foles, both won the SB.

@SecretAgentMan1

Here is what I got from the Google search,

NFCC 1982-83: Dallas 17 at Washington (+2) 31

SB XVII: Washington (+3) 27 vs. Miami 17

none of those were dogs of +4 or more & none since '17

True. That's why home dogs are rare in the Conference Finals. 

@Riderx

Oh, I can recall two Conference Finals home dogs, Packers -3.5 at Bears and Patriots -3 at Steelers. Both visitors have covered the spread.  

You "kids" and you're AI searches kill me! After checking my spreadsheets I can tell you home dogs in the conference finals are 10-13 SU and 10-11-2 ATS s/'66.

Breaking it down further, home dogs of 3.5 points or more are 3-6-2 ATS and home dogs of 3 points or less have finished 7-5 ATS.

Broncos are 2-0 SU&ATS as Home Dogs in the championship game in their franchise history.

Home Dogs of +4 or more are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS in NFL history in the championship game.

Those numbers are incorrect. I just posted the correct numbers above. Pay attention.

I believe my numbers are correct sir, but who knows, there are databases out there that have different results because of different closing lines.

Why won't you say HOW you searched it???

I have my own database, I never use google or AI to search football stats.

Sure, boss I will stay out of your thread. 

I'll post all my results tomorrow.

I salute you for keeping such good records for decades.  Gimme the Dog's database only goes back to the 1989 season.

Good luck this week.

I've used profootballreference & killersports for decades, along with gmtd more recently

@C-70Blues

 Pay attention guys

QB Guru Jordan Palmer: Why Broncos Have Supreme Confidence in Jarrett Stidham | The Rich Eisen Show

@C-70Blues

 And what makes you think your numbers are superior? With the advancement of technology nowadays you really expect people to rely on your "personal data" and spreadsheet as it will show more relevant data? Are you saying yours are more accurate compared to the output of AI where it is backed with speed on referencing of billions of data all over the world wide web? Your personal notebook could have contained data from 1989 but that is not the whole of it. you might just be holding a grain of salt compared to a mountain of stats available or unavailable to the public. 

Its 2026, I think its about time you move houses and stop living under a rock. 

@Way2Good

 Sybau whole wall of text. AI search is a LLM and notoriously spews out incorrect information all the time.