I like the bucks to bite back tonight, and it looks like the freak will give it a go. I think heat struggle to score tonight as they have much of the year. I also favor Memphis as they began to rally in the 2nd half of game 3 and think they bring that energy into this one in a tightly contested game 4.
TEASER: BUCKS moneyline w/ MEMPHIS +10.5
Will be adding a straight up play or 2 later on.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I like the bucks to bite back tonight, and it looks like the freak will give it a go. I think heat struggle to score tonight as they have much of the year. I also favor Memphis as they began to rally in the 2nd half of game 3 and think they bring that energy into this one in a tightly contested game 4.
Denver rolls. They’ve been great at home all year long and will be looking to close this series out comfortably. Denver is 6-1 ats in last 7 following a loss, twolves 1-4 ats in last 5 meetings. Minnesota has been a decent cover as a dog but as a big dog of 7.5-9.5 they are just 3-6 ats. I like Denver to pull away tonight
Nuggets -9.5 -120 1 unit
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Denver rolls. They’ve been great at home all year long and will be looking to close this series out comfortably. Denver is 6-1 ats in last 7 following a loss, twolves 1-4 ats in last 5 meetings. Minnesota has been a decent cover as a dog but as a big dog of 7.5-9.5 they are just 3-6 ats. I like Denver to pull away tonight
I can’t pick winners….but scared money doesn’t make money. In reality I had a DK profit boost and took them at plus money -6. But I’ll post with juice so there’s no misunderstandings. I like 6 or 6.5. No time for a write up but do like, adding a half unit.
Celtics -6 -135 1.5 units
Teasers: 0-1 -1.00 units
Straight ups: 1-4 -3.10 units
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I can’t pick winners….but scared money doesn’t make money. In reality I had a DK profit boost and took them at plus money -6. But I’ll post with juice so there’s no misunderstandings. I like 6 or 6.5. No time for a write up but do like, adding a half unit.
1-0 last night. I’m liking the Lakers with Memphis’ struggles on the road. Gonna go ahead and take them before anymore line movement. Looks like they’re getting the money rn.
Lakers -4 buy half -130 1 unit
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1-0 last night. I’m liking the Lakers with Memphis’ struggles on the road. Gonna go ahead and take them before anymore line movement. Looks like they’re getting the money rn.
As much as i would like to side with Steph and Klay in this game 7 scenario im not sure its in the cards this time around. The warriors' struggles on the road is a real thing this year (13-30 ats the spread in road games this season). While I do think they're capable of winning this game, i believe the most likely scenario is Sacramento feeding off their home crowd and taking this one. After all they have been the better team all season. Additionaly...Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Kings advance.
Kings moneyline -115 1 unit
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As much as i would like to side with Steph and Klay in this game 7 scenario im not sure its in the cards this time around. The warriors' struggles on the road is a real thing this year (13-30 ats the spread in road games this season). While I do think they're capable of winning this game, i believe the most likely scenario is Sacramento feeding off their home crowd and taking this one. After all they have been the better team all season. Additionaly...Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Philly has actually impressed this season when Embiid is out, meanwhile Boston often plays down to their competition. Im going to go with the more well rested team to stay competitive. GL!
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0-2 last night. Starting with this…
76ers +10 -120 1 unit
Philly has actually impressed this season when Embiid is out, meanwhile Boston often plays down to their competition. Im going to go with the more well rested team to stay competitive. GL!
Could regret putting the Knicks play in early, but if jimmy is announced out I expect that line to shoot up. Either way i expect New York to bounce back tonight. I love jimmy but don’t think what he’s been doin for his team is sustainable, particularly on a bad ankle. Without a healthy jimmy and all the attention he gets from the defense idk how Miami consistently scores. They will not get as many open looks. Knicks win this one comfortably.
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Could regret putting the Knicks play in early, but if jimmy is announced out I expect that line to shoot up. Either way i expect New York to bounce back tonight. I love jimmy but don’t think what he’s been doin for his team is sustainable, particularly on a bad ankle. Without a healthy jimmy and all the attention he gets from the defense idk how Miami consistently scores. They will not get as many open looks. Knicks win this one comfortably.
Idk where this lines going but I like it at -7. Gonna take the Celtics to bounce back in what feels like a must win. Embiid is back, but Boston has owned him anyways. Might do a more thorough write up later if I have time. GL guys back to work.
Celtics -7 -125 1 unit
Teasers: 0-1 -1 unit
Straight ups: 5-7-1 -2.6 units
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Idk where this lines going but I like it at -7. Gonna take the Celtics to bounce back in what feels like a must win. Embiid is back, but Boston has owned him anyways. Might do a more thorough write up later if I have time. GL guys back to work.
Starting to get back on track . I waited too long to bet this already so I went ahead and put it in. A lot of sharp money on golden state at the moment and for good reason. Think I might add to this later but for now 1 unit.
Warriors -6 -110 1 unit
Teasers: 0-1 -1 unit
Straight ups: 6-7-1 -1.8 units
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Starting to get back on track . I waited too long to bet this already so I went ahead and put it in. A lot of sharp money on golden state at the moment and for good reason. Think I might add to this later but for now 1 unit.
Went ahead and put these in for tommorow. Like the suns in this spot. Also going to ride this trend as it has clearly done well in recent years.
Overall home teams in Game 3 of a series are 144-102-8 (58.5%) against the first half spread. When that team trails 0-2 in the series, they are 87–45 (65.9%), and since 2015, they are 36-13-1 (73.5%).
Suns -3 first half -115 (1 unit)
Suns -4 fg -110 (1 unit)
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Went ahead and put these in for tommorow. Like the suns in this spot. Also going to ride this trend as it has clearly done well in recent years.
Overall home teams in Game 3 of a series are 144-102-8 (58.5%) against the first half spread. When that team trails 0-2 in the series, they are 87–45 (65.9%), and since 2015, they are 36-13-1 (73.5%).
Teams that lead at the end of the first half are 140-99-5 against the second half spread in the playoffs (non-play-in tournament) since the 2019-20 season.
Adding:
Warriors 2nd half moneyline -115 1 unit
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Another thing i came across…
Teams that lead at the end of the first half are 140-99-5 against the second half spread in the playoffs (non-play-in tournament) since the 2019-20 season.
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