Grizzlies/Warriors OVER 55 FIRST Q (-110) - MAX bet ......just look at their prior meetings and scoring totals. Yes, Warriors play D at home and this will largely depend on shooting and the calls, but this number is LOW. It should be closer to 28. This is my largest bet
Warriors/Grizzlies OVER 60 3rd Q (-110) - standard bet
Atlanta Hawks TT OVER 26.5 FIRST Q (-140) - small
PROPS:
Frantz Wagner OVER 4.5 Assists
Desmond Bane OVER 19.5 Points
Brandon Podzienski OVER 4.5 assists
Santi Aldama OVER 10 points
Trae Young OVER 26.5 Points (+100) - he will have to take over this game
Trae Young Double/Double (-125)
3
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hoping on a plane, trying to post before I board
Grizzlies/Warriors OVER 55 FIRST Q (-110) - MAX bet ......just look at their prior meetings and scoring totals. Yes, Warriors play D at home and this will largely depend on shooting and the calls, but this number is LOW. It should be closer to 28. This is my largest bet
Warriors/Grizzlies OVER 60 3rd Q (-110) - standard bet
Atlanta Hawks TT OVER 26.5 FIRST Q (-140) - small
PROPS:
Frantz Wagner OVER 4.5 Assists
Desmond Bane OVER 19.5 Points
Brandon Podzienski OVER 4.5 assists
Santi Aldama OVER 10 points
Trae Young OVER 26.5 Points (+100) - he will have to take over this game
Grizzlies/Warriors OVER 55 FIRST Q (-110) - MAX bet
Warriors/Grizzlies OVER 60 3rd Q (-110)
Atlanta Hawks TT OVER 26.5 FIRST Q (-140)
Frantz Wagner OVER 4.5 Assists
Desmond Bane OVER 19.5 Points
Brandon Podzienski OVER 4.5 assists
Santi Aldama OVER 10 points
Trae Young OVER 26.5 Points (+100)
Trae Young Double/Double (-125)
2-1 on totals, 3-3 on props, but we did hit our max play. Couple things I noticed from the first two games was the horrible officiating. I anticipated that they would hold their whistle and let guys play physical but the fouls were so inconsistent. The pace was definitely slower in the first quarter as teams were feeling eachother out. Those who tailed saw the last second three by Luke Kinard that gave us 56 points in the third. When I look at games, I try to look st process. No doubt the OVER was the play, but it should have never come with that kind of a sweat. Curry was 0/3 from three and Moody was 0/2 in the first quarter. If one of them makes a 3 like they’re supposed to then it is an easy, no sweat cover. Glad we got it.
2
Grizzlies/Warriors OVER 55 FIRST Q (-110) - MAX bet
Warriors/Grizzlies OVER 60 3rd Q (-110)
Atlanta Hawks TT OVER 26.5 FIRST Q (-140)
Frantz Wagner OVER 4.5 Assists
Desmond Bane OVER 19.5 Points
Brandon Podzienski OVER 4.5 assists
Santi Aldama OVER 10 points
Trae Young OVER 26.5 Points (+100)
Trae Young Double/Double (-125)
2-1 on totals, 3-3 on props, but we did hit our max play. Couple things I noticed from the first two games was the horrible officiating. I anticipated that they would hold their whistle and let guys play physical but the fouls were so inconsistent. The pace was definitely slower in the first quarter as teams were feeling eachother out. Those who tailed saw the last second three by Luke Kinard that gave us 56 points in the third. When I look at games, I try to look st process. No doubt the OVER was the play, but it should have never come with that kind of a sweat. Curry was 0/3 from three and Moody was 0/2 in the first quarter. If one of them makes a 3 like they’re supposed to then it is an easy, no sweat cover. Glad we got it.
I have done a lot of reading on the bills/Heat matchup and watched the film. For tonight, I LEAN Bulls and OVER 220 and I like the Mavs getting +5. If Jason Kidd plays Hardy, he will drop 20 on the Kings. He is the Mavs best offensive weapon and he is so under utilized. I like the AD over 10.5/11 rebounds and UNDER 25.5 points. I also Like Vucivic OVER 10.5 rebounds. I’ll try to post the bulls stats but have to head out soon to see family.
I’ve locked in the props and the Bulls/Heat 3rd Q OVER. Nothing official on the other plays, just posted the leans.
1
Wednesday, April 16th
Betting Alert:
Added:
Bulls/Heat 3Q Total OVER 54.5 (-110) MAX BET
I have done a lot of reading on the bills/Heat matchup and watched the film. For tonight, I LEAN Bulls and OVER 220 and I like the Mavs getting +5. If Jason Kidd plays Hardy, he will drop 20 on the Kings. He is the Mavs best offensive weapon and he is so under utilized. I like the AD over 10.5/11 rebounds and UNDER 25.5 points. I also Like Vucivic OVER 10.5 rebounds. I’ll try to post the bulls stats but have to head out soon to see family.
I’ve locked in the props and the Bulls/Heat 3rd Q OVER. Nothing official on the other plays, just posted the leans.
Wish I had access to this on pinnacle, unfortunately they only offer 1st q and 2nd q at best. Bro I hope u bangg the F out of this, I'm throwing all my gold and good vibes your way, sweep the leg and no mercy
1
Wish I had access to this on pinnacle, unfortunately they only offer 1st q and 2nd q at best. Bro I hope u bangg the F out of this, I'm throwing all my gold and good vibes your way, sweep the leg and no mercy
The refs holding their whistle the way they are in these playoffs is insane. They’re not calling ANY fucking fouls. More of the same shit from yesterday.
1
The refs holding their whistle the way they are in these playoffs is insane. They’re not calling ANY fucking fouls. More of the same shit from yesterday.
Similar to the other day. Trust the process and not the result. Hawks play zero defense. Miami should be able to score at will, it is just a matter of guys hitting shots and the refs calling ****ing fouls when guys clearly are getting fouled. Trea Young will be pissed off for this game, he will give maximal effort. I expect a double double from him, he will go off for 30 points and 10 dimes even against this good defensive Miami team
The totals just feel too low. In their prior matchups, with the exception of the stand alone anomaly game where the score was 98-86, these two teams have averaged the following point totals in the first and third quarters of those games: 65, 58, 57, 70, 54, 58. I anticipate Atlanta will push PACE, which is what they do. If the shots fall, we will coast past these overs.
I anticipate they go above 57 easily in one quarter, and if that happens we will free-roll the 3rd Q OVER
I like the Mavs over too because Memphis is just like Atlanta. One run and gun team will try to outrun the other. I don't know how I feel about my Mavericks in Memphis. Should be good games.
0
Added:
Hear vs Hawks:
1st Q OVER 57 - Standard
2nd Q OVER 56.5 - Standard bet
3rd Q OVER 54.5 - MAX BET
Similar to the other day. Trust the process and not the result. Hawks play zero defense. Miami should be able to score at will, it is just a matter of guys hitting shots and the refs calling ****ing fouls when guys clearly are getting fouled. Trea Young will be pissed off for this game, he will give maximal effort. I expect a double double from him, he will go off for 30 points and 10 dimes even against this good defensive Miami team
The totals just feel too low. In their prior matchups, with the exception of the stand alone anomaly game where the score was 98-86, these two teams have averaged the following point totals in the first and third quarters of those games: 65, 58, 57, 70, 54, 58. I anticipate Atlanta will push PACE, which is what they do. If the shots fall, we will coast past these overs.
I anticipate they go above 57 easily in one quarter, and if that happens we will free-roll the 3rd Q OVER
I like the Mavs over too because Memphis is just like Atlanta. One run and gun team will try to outrun the other. I don't know how I feel about my Mavericks in Memphis. Should be good games.
Unbelievable. The pace is FAST as expected. Wiggins misses 2 free throws, Caris Lavert blows a free throw, and Herro blows a layup at the end. Any of these would have given us the over. Not to mention that the Hawks shot 1-10 from three and Duncan Robinson goes 0-2 from three despite two open looks. These are usually automatic. Not sure if I should be happy we pushed, or upset we didn't bet more on the totals/over of this game and quarter based on process. Lets see what happens next
0
1st Q OVER 57 - PUSH
Unbelievable. The pace is FAST as expected. Wiggins misses 2 free throws, Caris Lavert blows a free throw, and Herro blows a layup at the end. Any of these would have given us the over. Not to mention that the Hawks shot 1-10 from three and Duncan Robinson goes 0-2 from three despite two open looks. These are usually automatic. Not sure if I should be happy we pushed, or upset we didn't bet more on the totals/over of this game and quarter based on process. Lets see what happens next
Ended up chasing and going large on the Warriors. Experience trumps youth and athleticism, especially when you have Curry and Butler. I had props on Podziemski and got incredibly lucky when he made his last layup with 30 seconds to hit his points + points/assists/rebound total. This series will be the toughest to cap IMO in addition to the Denver/Clippers series. Pace was super slow and it will be interesting to see how they defend Curry in the futures. Definitely going to have to look closer and make some adjustments before looking at 1st and 3rd quarter overs.
0
Grizzlies/OKC 1st Q OVER 56 LARGE
Magic/Celtics 1st Q OVER 53 small
Warriors +2 (-115) - standard
Ended up chasing and going large on the Warriors. Experience trumps youth and athleticism, especially when you have Curry and Butler. I had props on Podziemski and got incredibly lucky when he made his last layup with 30 seconds to hit his points + points/assists/rebound total. This series will be the toughest to cap IMO in addition to the Denver/Clippers series. Pace was super slow and it will be interesting to see how they defend Curry in the futures. Definitely going to have to look closer and make some adjustments before looking at 1st and 3rd quarter overs.
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