Spurs are looking very strong up to this point in these playoffs and have been playing fantastic at Home going 9-1 S/U their past 10 in San Antonio.....
But has anyone wondered why a team like the Spurs with the Best Record in the league 74-26 Overall and an Incredible Home Record of 41-10 has Opened as "ONLY" a -3.0 Point Favorite to begin this Series???
"This is a Very Short Line"...Considering the Heat are only 26-22 on the Road, the Spurs just defeated Miami by 24 points on March 6/2014 in San Antonio and the Spurs have Revenge on their minds after losing the Championship to Miami last season...But I think the Oddsmakers are counting on the Public to use these angles to cap Game #1.....
If there is a team out there that can upset the Spurs at Home, it is the Miami Heat and I believe it will be in Game #1.....Both teams are coming off of a 6 Game Series and should be equally rested but the Heat are a team that is truly "GREAT" off of 3+ Days of rest, going 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS.....Play their best basketball Scoring 105 PPG and allow 96 PPG.....And have gone 4-0 S/U and 4-0 ATS when playing against other teams on 3+ Days Of Rest.....If you also factor in how Miami plays after a 20+ Point Win, the Heat have gone an amazing 9-0 S/U...2-0 ATS On The Road and 4-1 ATS after more than 2+ Days Of Rest...
I also believe that the 3-Peat is definitely on Lebron's mind.....This would put him in a class with Jordan.....Something I believe Lebron would truly treasure.....
Game #1 falls within a System Play.....67% Winning Percentage.....States to go for a Road Dog of less than 4 points, if the Dog has won 5 or less Road Games in their last 10 attempts and the Favorite has won 8 or more Home Games in their last 10 attempts.....
I believe this Series will be all about value and situational plays and Game #1 falls well within this range.....I believe the Miami Heat are a fantastic situational play here.....Everyone is counting the Heat out.....The Spurs have been waiting all year to blast Miami and win their 5th Championship.....Well, by the looks of it, this will be a long series and I'm giving Game #1 to Miami.....
Miami +4.0.....
Miami Moneyline.....
Good Luck.....