I was thinking about the total, taking the over, but now i dont know what to do....
The only factor pointing to the over in this game is the home plate umpire (Ed Hickox) IMO. But if you look at John Danks day/night splits you'll find an incredible disparity in numbers.....dude loves pitching day games. However, he only sports an (8 - 8) record under the sun which tells me that he doesn't get much run support in the afternoon. Don't know too much about Porcello other than his minor league background, but the scouting report says he has a great curveball and change up. (two pitches you'd look to run on) BUT did I mention the Sox have zero speed on the base pads. The "power happy" Sox won't see many fastballs today IMO and I don't see them manufacturing any runs. In a nutshell I'd say, be careful with an Over play here, especially in these cold and damp conditions.
I was thinking about the total, taking the over, but now i dont know what to do....
The only factor pointing to the over in this game is the home plate umpire (Ed Hickox) IMO. But if you look at John Danks day/night splits you'll find an incredible disparity in numbers.....dude loves pitching day games. However, he only sports an (8 - 8) record under the sun which tells me that he doesn't get much run support in the afternoon. Don't know too much about Porcello other than his minor league background, but the scouting report says he has a great curveball and change up. (two pitches you'd look to run on) BUT did I mention the Sox have zero speed on the base pads. The "power happy" Sox won't see many fastballs today IMO and I don't see them manufacturing any runs. In a nutshell I'd say, be careful with an Over play here, especially in these cold and damp conditions.
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